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Paetongtarn Shinawatra out as Prime Minister of Thailand in July?

Market icon

Paetongtarn Shinawatra out as Prime Minister of Thailand in July?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$51,927 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$51,927 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Paetongtarn Shinawatra ceases to be the Prime Minister of Thailand for any period of time between July 2 and July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Paetongtarn Shinawatra's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be the government of Thailand, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$51,927
End Date
Jul 31, 2025
Market Opened
Jul 2, 2025, 12:22 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Paetongtarn Shinawatra ceases to be the Prime Minister of Thailand for any period of time between July 2 and July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Paetongtarn Shinawatra's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Thailand, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Paetongtarn Shinawatra ceases to be the Prime Minister of Thailand for any period of time between July 2 and July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Paetongtarn Shinawatra's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be the government of Thailand, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$51,927
End Date
Jul 31, 2025
Market Opened
Jul 2, 2025, 12:22 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Paetongtarn Shinawatra ceases to be the Prime Minister of Thailand for any period of time between July 2 and July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Paetongtarn Shinawatra's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Thailand, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Paetongtarn Shinawatra out as Prime Minister of Thailand in July?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Paetongtarn Shinawatra out as Prime Minister of Thailand in July?" has generated $51.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Paetongtarn Shinawatra out as Prime Minister of Thailand in July?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Paetongtarn Shinawatra out as Prime Minister of Thailand in July?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Paetongtarn Shinawatra out as Prime Minister of Thailand in July?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.