Market icon
Politics·Thailand-Cambodia

Next Prime Minister of Thailand

Market icon
Politics·Thailand-Cambodia

Next Prime Minister of Thailand

Anutin Charnvirakul 100.0%

Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut <1%

Julapun Amornvivat <1%

Paetongtarn Shinawatra <1%

Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

Anutin Charnvirakul 100.0%

Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut <1%

Julapun Amornvivat <1%

Paetongtarn Shinawatra <1%

Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

Market icon

Anutin Charnvirakul

$0 Vol.

Yes

Market icon

Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut

$0 Vol.

No

Market icon

Julapun Amornvivat

$0 Vol.

No

Market icon

Paetongtarn Shinawatra

$0 Vol.

No

Market icon

Chaikasem Nitisiri

$0 Vol.

No

Market icon

Prawit Wongsuwan

$0 Vol.

No

Market icon

Yodchanan Wongsawat

$0 Vol.

No

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Thailand on February 8, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially selected and appointed to be Prime Minister of Thailand following the 2026 general legislative election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally selected for the role of Prime Minister and appointed to the role by the king of Thailand. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is selected and appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Thailand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anutin Charnvirakul's dominant position as Thailand's next prime minister on Polymarket reflects his nomination by the Bhumjaithai Party, the ruling coalition's second-largest partner, amid ongoing instability following the Constitutional Court's ethics ruling against former PM Srettha Thavisin. Traders price in strong parliamentary support from Pheu Thai allies and military-backed factions, enabling a likely vote majority in the coming session. Recent coalition maneuvers have sidelined Paetongtarn Shinawatra's candidacy, solidifying Anutin's path. Challenges could arise from opposition Democrats led by Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut gaining unexpected votes, fresh court interventions, or internal Pheu Thai dissent fracturing the alliance.

Anutin Charnvirakul's dominant position as Thailand's next prime minister on Polymarket reflects his nomination by the Bhumjaithai Party, the ruling coalition's second-largest partner, amid ongoing instability following the Constitutional Court's ethics ruling against former PM Srettha Thavisin. Traders price in strong parliamentary support from Pheu Thai allies and military-backed factions, enabling a likely vote majority in the coming session. Recent coalition maneuvers have sidelined Paetongtarn Shinawatra's candidacy, solidifying Anutin's path. Challenges could arise from opposition Democrats led by Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut gaining unexpected votes, fresh court interventions, or internal Pheu Thai dissent fracturing the alliance.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Thailand on February 8, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially selected and appointed to be Prime Minister of Thailand following the 2026 general legislative election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally selected for the role of Prime Minister and appointed to the role by the king of Thailand. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is selected and appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Thailand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anutin Charnvirakul's dominant position as Thailand's next prime minister on Polymarket reflects his nomination by the Bhumjaithai Party, the ruling coalition's second-largest partner, amid ongoing instability following the Constitutional Court's ethics ruling against former PM Srettha Thavisin. Traders price in strong parliamentary support from Pheu Thai allies and military-backed factions, enabling a likely vote majority in the coming session. Recent coalition maneuvers have sidelined Paetongtarn Shinawatra's candidacy, solidifying Anutin's path. Challenges could arise from opposition Democrats led by Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut gaining unexpected votes, fresh court interventions, or internal Pheu Thai dissent fracturing the alliance.

Anutin Charnvirakul's dominant position as Thailand's next prime minister on Polymarket reflects his nomination by the Bhumjaithai Party, the ruling coalition's second-largest partner, amid ongoing instability following the Constitutional Court's ethics ruling against former PM Srettha Thavisin. Traders price in strong parliamentary support from Pheu Thai allies and military-backed factions, enabling a likely vote majority in the coming session. Recent coalition maneuvers have sidelined Paetongtarn Shinawatra's candidacy, solidifying Anutin's path. Challenges could arise from opposition Democrats led by Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut gaining unexpected votes, fresh court interventions, or internal Pheu Thai dissent fracturing the alliance.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Prime Minister of Thailand" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Anutin Charnvirakul" at 100%, followed by "Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Next Prime Minister of Thailand" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 16, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Next Prime Minister of Thailand," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Prime Minister of Thailand" is "Anutin Charnvirakul" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Prime Minister of Thailand" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.