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Oscars 2026: Best Picture Nominations

$757,105 Vol.

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed movie is nominated for the 98th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2025 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$757,105
End Date
Jan 22, 2026
Created At
Sep 26, 2025, 9:12 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$757,105 Vol.

Market icon

Oscars 2026: Best Picture Nominations

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

One Battle After Another

$172,826 Vol.

99%

Hamnet

$33,956 Vol.

99%

Marty Supreme

$38,771 Vol.

98%

Sinners

$21,359 Vol.

98%

Sentimental Value

$10,391 Vol.

96%

It Was Just an Accident

$22,371 Vol.

95%

Frankenstein

$41,505 Vol.

95%

Train Dreams

$26,524 Vol.

71%

Bugonia

$33,805 Vol.

61%

Wicked: For Good

$48,767 Vol.

37%

No Other Choice

$29,747 Vol.

16%

Avatar: Fire and Ash

$34,135 Vol.

14%

F1

$13,535 Vol.

10%

Weapons

$20,318 Vol.

9%

Jay Kelly

$35,660 Vol.

8%

The Testament of Ann Lee

$23,636 Vol.

6%

Sorry Baby

$777 Vol.

6%

Nouvelle Vague

$3,718 Vol.

6%

Warfare

$365 Vol.

4%

Die My Love

$4,392 Vol.

4%

Thunderbolts

$4,105 Vol.

4%

Sound of Falling

$1,327 Vol.

4%

Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere

$6,153 Vol.

3%

A House of Dynamite

$16,527 Vol.

3%

The Smashing Machine

$21,021 Vol.

3%

Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery

$3,197 Vol.

3%

Rental Family

$31,464 Vol.

2%

Novocaine

$614 Vol.

2%

Anemone

$22,731 Vol.

2%

After the Hunt

$334 Vol.

2%

The Lost Bus

$611 Vol.

1%

Highest 2 Lowest

$5,191 Vol.

1%

The Life of Chuck

$27,272 Vol.

1%

About

Volume
$757,105
End Date
Jan 22, 2026
Created At
Sep 26, 2025, 9:12 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.