Market icon

Oscars 2026: Best Picture Nominations

$929,613 Vol.

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed movie is nominated for the 98th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2025 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$929,613
End Date
Jan 22, 2026
Created At
Sep 26, 2025, 9:12 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.

$929,613 Vol.

Market icon

Oscars 2026: Best Picture Nominations

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

One Battle After Another

$204,990 Vol.

99%

Marty Supreme

$39,127 Vol.

99%

Sinners

$28,734 Vol.

99%

Hamnet

$63,862 Vol.

98%

Sentimental Value

$11,059 Vol.

96%

Frankenstein

$45,644 Vol.

96%

It Was Just an Accident

$33,417 Vol.

92%

Train Dreams

$29,770 Vol.

75%

Bugonia

$36,941 Vol.

62%

Wicked: For Good

$54,205 Vol.

37%

F1

$16,120 Vol.

15%

Avatar: Fire and Ash

$37,644 Vol.

14%

Jay Kelly

$44,638 Vol.

14%

No Other Choice

$40,119 Vol.

13%

Weapons

$23,305 Vol.

8%

The Testament of Ann Lee

$25,237 Vol.

5%

Nouvelle Vague

$5,608 Vol.

5%

Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery

$3,585 Vol.

3%

Rental Family

$31,677 Vol.

3%

The Smashing Machine

$24,354 Vol.

3%

Sorry Baby

$1,729 Vol.

3%

A House of Dynamite

$16,903 Vol.

2%

Anemone

$23,132 Vol.

2%

Highest 2 Lowest

$6,386 Vol.

2%

The Life of Chuck

$27,520 Vol.

1%

The Lost Bus

$16,629 Vol.

1%

Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere

$7,102 Vol.

1%

Die My Love

$20,968 Vol.

1%

Thunderbolts

$4,397 Vol.

<1%

After the Hunt

$938 Vol.

<1%

Novocaine

$1,019 Vol.

<1%

Warfare

$1,323 Vol.

<1%

Sound of Falling

$1,586 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$929,613
End Date
Jan 22, 2026
Created At
Sep 26, 2025, 9:12 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.