Trader consensus on Polymarket has priced a 97% implied probability for Opendoor Technologies (OPEN) to close the week of March 30, 2026, between $4.00-$5.00, reflecting the stock's tight trading range over recent sessions—closing at $4.80 on March 27, $4.43 on March 30 amid a 7.7% intraday drop, and $4.68 on March 31 with elevated volume of 29 million shares. This stability stems from persistent real estate headwinds challenging Opendoor's iBuyer model, including sluggish home sales and elevated mortgage rates, following a post-Q4 2025 earnings beat that fueled a brief surge but led to a 24% three-month tumble. While locked in barring shocks, downside risks include weaker-than-expected housing data or broader market volatility pushing shares below $4; upside could arise from unexpected Federal Reserve dovishness lifting risk assets above $5.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$4.00-$5.00 89.1%
$3.00-$4.00 1.3%
$0-$1.00 <1%
$2.00-$3.00 <1%
$12,150 Vol.
$12,150 Vol.
<$0
<1%
$0-$1.00
1%
$1.00-$2.00
<1%
$2.00-$3.00
1%
$3.00-$4.00
1%
$4.00-$5.00
89%
$5.00-$6.00
1%
$6.00-$7.00
<1%
$7.00-$8.00
1%
$8.00-$9.00
<1%
>$9.00
<1%
$4.00-$5.00 89.1%
$3.00-$4.00 1.3%
$0-$1.00 <1%
$2.00-$3.00 <1%
$12,150 Vol.
$12,150 Vol.
<$0
<1%
$0-$1.00
1%
$1.00-$2.00
<1%
$2.00-$3.00
1%
$3.00-$4.00
1%
$4.00-$5.00
89%
$5.00-$6.00
1%
$6.00-$7.00
<1%
$7.00-$8.00
1%
$8.00-$9.00
<1%
>$9.00
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Opendoor (OPEN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Market Opened: Mar 27, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Opendoor (OPEN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket has priced a 97% implied probability for Opendoor Technologies (OPEN) to close the week of March 30, 2026, between $4.00-$5.00, reflecting the stock's tight trading range over recent sessions—closing at $4.80 on March 27, $4.43 on March 30 amid a 7.7% intraday drop, and $4.68 on March 31 with elevated volume of 29 million shares. This stability stems from persistent real estate headwinds challenging Opendoor's iBuyer model, including sluggish home sales and elevated mortgage rates, following a post-Q4 2025 earnings beat that fueled a brief surge but led to a 24% three-month tumble. While locked in barring shocks, downside risks include weaker-than-expected housing data or broader market volatility pushing shares below $4; upside could arise from unexpected Federal Reserve dovishness lifting risk assets above $5.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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