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Obama or Biden tweets about Ukraine by Friday?

Market icon

Obama or Biden tweets about Ukraine by Friday?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$7,846 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$7,846 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama (@BarackObama) or Joe Biden (@JoeBiden) posts on X about Ukraine between February 28, 2025 3:00 PM ET, and March 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

A qualifying post includes any original post, repost, or reply either from Obama or Biden's verified X account that explicitly mentions Ukraine or Volodymyr Zelenskyy. The content or stance of the post does not matter, but vague references without directly naming Ukraine will not count.

The resolution source for this market is https://x.com/BarackObama and https://x.com/JoeBiden however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$7,846
End Date
Mar 7, 2025
Market Opened
Feb 28, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama (@BarackObama) or Joe Biden (@JoeBiden) posts on X about Ukraine between February 28, 2025 3:00 PM ET, and March 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A qualifying post includes any original post, repost, or reply either from Obama or Biden's verified X account that explicitly mentions Ukraine or Volodymyr Zelenskyy. The content or stance of the post does not matter, but vague references without directly naming Ukraine will not count. The resolution source for this market is https://x.com/BarackObama and https://x.com/JoeBiden however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama (@BarackObama) or Joe Biden (@JoeBiden) posts on X about Ukraine between February 28, 2025 3:00 PM ET, and March 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

A qualifying post includes any original post, repost, or reply either from Obama or Biden's verified X account that explicitly mentions Ukraine or Volodymyr Zelenskyy. The content or stance of the post does not matter, but vague references without directly naming Ukraine will not count.

The resolution source for this market is https://x.com/BarackObama and https://x.com/JoeBiden however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$7,846
End Date
Mar 7, 2025
Market Opened
Feb 28, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama (@BarackObama) or Joe Biden (@JoeBiden) posts on X about Ukraine between February 28, 2025 3:00 PM ET, and March 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A qualifying post includes any original post, repost, or reply either from Obama or Biden's verified X account that explicitly mentions Ukraine or Volodymyr Zelenskyy. The content or stance of the post does not matter, but vague references without directly naming Ukraine will not count. The resolution source for this market is https://x.com/BarackObama and https://x.com/JoeBiden however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Obama or Biden tweets about Ukraine by Friday?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Obama or Biden tweets about Ukraine by Friday?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Feb 28, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Obama or Biden tweets about Ukraine by Friday?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Obama or Biden tweets about Ukraine by Friday?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Obama or Biden tweets about Ukraine by Friday?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.