Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 40.5% implied probability to NVDA closing the week of March 30 between $175-$180 and 36.0% to $170-$175, capturing a closely contested range amid recent share price volatility. The stock shed over 14% from its late-February peak near $195 following fiscal Q4 2026 earnings of $68.1 billion—driven by 75% data center revenue growth—but traders rotated out of AI leaders on valuation fatigue, with NVDA's forward P/E dipping below S&P 500 levels for the first time in years. Key swing factors include technical support at $170, geopolitical risks like Middle East tensions, and positive offsets such as Nvidia's $2 billion Marvell investment signaling ecosystem expansion; next catalysts feature macroeconomic releases and Q1 FY2027 earnings on May 20.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$175-$180 46%
$170-$175 36%
$180-$185 26.8%
$150-$155 10.0%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
<$150
1%
$150-$155
10%
$155-$160
7%
$160-$165
8%
$165-$170
12%
$170-$175
36%
$175-$180
40%
$180-$185
16%
$185-$190
6%
$190-$195
2%
>$195
1%
$175-$180 46%
$170-$175 36%
$180-$185 26.8%
$150-$155 10.0%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
<$150
$134 Vol.
1%
$150-$155
$20 Vol.
10%
$155-$160
$129 Vol.
7%
$160-$165
$1,884 Vol.
8%
$165-$170
$33 Vol.
12%
$170-$175
$863 Vol.
36%
$175-$180
$50 Vol.
40%
$180-$185
$31 Vol.
16%
$185-$190
$5 Vol.
6%
$190-$195
$120 Vol.
2%
>$195
$21 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 40.5% implied probability to NVDA closing the week of March 30 between $175-$180 and 36.0% to $170-$175, capturing a closely contested range amid recent share price volatility. The stock shed over 14% from its late-February peak near $195 following fiscal Q4 2026 earnings of $68.1 billion—driven by 75% data center revenue growth—but traders rotated out of AI leaders on valuation fatigue, with NVDA's forward P/E dipping below S&P 500 levels for the first time in years. Key swing factors include technical support at $170, geopolitical risks like Middle East tensions, and positive offsets such as Nvidia's $2 billion Marvell investment signaling ecosystem expansion; next catalysts feature macroeconomic releases and Q1 FY2027 earnings on May 20.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Market Opened: Mar 27, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Volume
$3,291End Date
Apr 3, 2026Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 40.5% implied probability to NVDA closing the week of March 30 between $175-$180 and 36.0% to $170-$175, capturing a closely contested range amid recent share price volatility. The stock shed over 14% from its late-February peak near $195 following fiscal Q4 2026 earnings of $68.1 billion—driven by 75% data center revenue growth—but traders rotated out of AI leaders on valuation fatigue, with NVDA's forward P/E dipping below S&P 500 levels for the first time in years. Key swing factors include technical support at $170, geopolitical risks like Middle East tensions, and positive offsets such as Nvidia's $2 billion Marvell investment signaling ecosystem expansion; next catalysts feature macroeconomic releases and Q1 FY2027 earnings on May 20.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$3,291End Date
Apr 3, 2026Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 40.5% implied probability to NVDA closing the week of March 30 between $175-$180 and 36.0% to $170-$175, capturing a closely contested range amid recent share price volatility. The stock shed over 14% from its late-February peak near $195 following fiscal Q4 2026 earnings of $68.1 billion—driven by 75% data center revenue growth—but traders rotated out of AI leaders on valuation fatigue, with NVDA's forward P/E dipping below S&P 500 levels for the first time in years. Key swing factors include technical support at $170, geopolitical risks like Middle East tensions, and positive offsets such as Nvidia's $2 billion Marvell investment signaling ecosystem expansion; next catalysts feature macroeconomic releases and Q1 FY2027 earnings on May 20.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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