NVIDIA's share price has surged over 170% in the past year on explosive AI-driven demand for its data center GPUs, with February 2025 earnings delivering Q4 revenue of $35.1 billion—a 94% year-over-year increase that crushed analyst estimates and propelled the stock above $130 post-10-for-1 split. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this momentum, pricing in elevated implied probabilities for further gains amid sustained hyperscaler capex and Blackwell chip rollout momentum from the March GTC conference. High trading volume and a forward P/E ratio exceeding 40x underscore premium valuation risks, while upcoming FOMC rate decisions and April tariff policy updates could sway tech sentiment ahead of the March 27 close. Volatility remains elevated at 50% implied, with key support near $125.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$170
65%
$175
16%
$180
2%
$185
2%
$190
2%
$652 Vol.
$170
65%
$175
16%
$180
2%
$185
2%
$190
2%
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Market Opened: Mar 26, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...NVIDIA's share price has surged over 170% in the past year on explosive AI-driven demand for its data center GPUs, with February 2025 earnings delivering Q4 revenue of $35.1 billion—a 94% year-over-year increase that crushed analyst estimates and propelled the stock above $130 post-10-for-1 split. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this momentum, pricing in elevated implied probabilities for further gains amid sustained hyperscaler capex and Blackwell chip rollout momentum from the March GTC conference. High trading volume and a forward P/E ratio exceeding 40x underscore premium valuation risks, while upcoming FOMC rate decisions and April tariff policy updates could sway tech sentiment ahead of the March 27 close. Volatility remains elevated at 50% implied, with key support near $125.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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