Polymarket's tightly matched market-implied odds—clustered at 44-45.5% across $80-$110 bins for Netflix (NFLX) week-ending April 27 close—reflect trader uncertainty post-Q1 2026 earnings on April 16, where revenue and EPS beat estimates but Q2 guidance disappointed, triggering a 13% share price plunge to around $92. A $25 billion buyback announcement provides downside cushion near $90 support, bolstering bulls alongside analyst consensus targets averaging $115 amid ad revenue doubling trajectory to $3 billion. Bears cite leadership transition with co-CEO Reed Hastings' exit and streaming rivalry from Disney, amplifying swings; absent fresh catalysts, technicals near 52-week lows differentiate rebound versus further erosion.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$70-$80 44%
$80-$90 44%
$90-$100 44%
$100-$110 44%
<$50
5%
$50-$60
42%
$60-$70
43%
$70-$80
44%
$80-$90
44%
$90-$100
44%
$100-$110
44%
$110-$120
43%
$120-$130
41%
$130-$140
40%
>$140
1%
$70-$80 44%
$80-$90 44%
$90-$100 44%
$100-$110 44%
<$50
5%
$50-$60
42%
$60-$70
43%
$70-$80
44%
$80-$90
44%
$90-$100
44%
$100-$110
44%
$110-$120
43%
$120-$130
41%
$130-$140
40%
>$140
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Market Opened: Apr 24, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket's tightly matched market-implied odds—clustered at 44-45.5% across $80-$110 bins for Netflix (NFLX) week-ending April 27 close—reflect trader uncertainty post-Q1 2026 earnings on April 16, where revenue and EPS beat estimates but Q2 guidance disappointed, triggering a 13% share price plunge to around $92. A $25 billion buyback announcement provides downside cushion near $90 support, bolstering bulls alongside analyst consensus targets averaging $115 amid ad revenue doubling trajectory to $3 billion. Bears cite leadership transition with co-CEO Reed Hastings' exit and streaming rivalry from Disney, amplifying swings; absent fresh catalysts, technicals near 52-week lows differentiate rebound versus further erosion.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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