Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices Netflix (NFLX) shares closing the week of March 30 in the $90-$100 range at a 99.6% implied probability, backed by real capital reflecting skin-in-the-game certainty after the official March 30 closing price of $92.97—down 0.49% from March 27's $93.43 amid low-volume, range-bound trading in the low $90s. This positioning stems from stable subscriber growth signals and recent subscription price hikes announced March 26, which lifted shares 1.13% that day, yet kept valuation anchored below key resistance near $100 ahead of Q1 2026 earnings on April 16. While 52-week lows near $75 underscore downside risks, realistic challenges to this consensus would require a surprise catalyst like bullish analyst upgrades or macro risk-on flows driving a late-week breakout above $100, though subdued trading volume limits such volatility.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$90-$100 99.8%
$100-$110 <1%
$120-$130 <1%
$80-$90 <1%
$24,911 Vol.
$24,911 Vol.
Apr 3, 2026
<$50
<1%
$50-$60
<1%
$60-$70
<1%
$70-$80
<1%
$80-$90
<1%
$90-$100
100%
$100-$110
1%
$110-$120
<1%
$120-$130
1%
$130-$140
<1%
>$140
<1%
$90-$100 99.8%
$100-$110 <1%
$120-$130 <1%
$80-$90 <1%
$24,911 Vol.
$24,911 Vol.
Apr 3, 2026
<$50
$3,378 Vol.
<1%
$50-$60
$905 Vol.
<1%
$60-$70
$1,120 Vol.
<1%
$70-$80
$1,587 Vol.
<1%
$80-$90
$1,285 Vol.
<1%
$90-$100
$8,304 Vol.
100%
$100-$110
$2,026 Vol.
1%
$110-$120
$1,267 Vol.
<1%
$120-$130
$839 Vol.
1%
$130-$140
$3,343 Vol.
<1%
>$140
$857 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Netflix (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices Netflix (NFLX) shares closing the week of March 30 in the $90-$100 range at a 99.6% implied probability, backed by real capital reflecting skin-in-the-game certainty after the official March 30 closing price of $92.97—down 0.49% from March 27's $93.43 amid low-volume, range-bound trading in the low $90s. This positioning stems from stable subscriber growth signals and recent subscription price hikes announced March 26, which lifted shares 1.13% that day, yet kept valuation anchored below key resistance near $100 ahead of Q1 2026 earnings on April 16. While 52-week lows near $75 underscore downside risks, realistic challenges to this consensus would require a surprise catalyst like bullish analyst upgrades or macro risk-on flows driving a late-week breakout above $100, though subdued trading volume limits such volatility.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Netflix (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Market Opened: Mar 27, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Volume
$24,911End Date
Apr 3, 2026Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Netflix (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices Netflix (NFLX) shares closing the week of March 30 in the $90-$100 range at a 99.6% implied probability, backed by real capital reflecting skin-in-the-game certainty after the official March 30 closing price of $92.97—down 0.49% from March 27's $93.43 amid low-volume, range-bound trading in the low $90s. This positioning stems from stable subscriber growth signals and recent subscription price hikes announced March 26, which lifted shares 1.13% that day, yet kept valuation anchored below key resistance near $100 ahead of Q1 2026 earnings on April 16. While 52-week lows near $75 underscore downside risks, realistic challenges to this consensus would require a surprise catalyst like bullish analyst upgrades or macro risk-on flows driving a late-week breakout above $100, though subdued trading volume limits such volatility.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Netflix (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$24,911End Date
Apr 3, 2026Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices Netflix (NFLX) shares closing the week of March 30 in the $90-$100 range at a 99.6% implied probability, backed by real capital reflecting skin-in-the-game certainty after the official March 30 closing price of $92.97—down 0.49% from March 27's $93.43 amid low-volume, range-bound trading in the low $90s. This positioning stems from stable subscriber growth signals and recent subscription price hikes announced March 26, which lifted shares 1.13% that day, yet kept valuation anchored below key resistance near $100 ahead of Q1 2026 earnings on April 16. While 52-week lows near $75 underscore downside risks, realistic challenges to this consensus would require a surprise catalyst like bullish analyst upgrades or macro risk-on flows driving a late-week breakout above $100, though subdued trading volume limits such volatility.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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