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NFL Draft 2026: First Overall Pick

Market icon

NFL Draft 2026: First Overall Pick

Fernando Mendoza 96%

Francis Mauigoa <1%

Dante Moore <1%

Caleb Lomu <1%

Polymarket

$242,017 Vol.

Fernando Mendoza 96%

Francis Mauigoa <1%

Dante Moore <1%

Caleb Lomu <1%

Polymarket

$242,017 Vol.

Fernando Mendoza

$20,641 Vol.

96%

Francis Mauigoa

$4,502 Vol.

1%

Dante Moore

$19,101 Vol.

1%

Caleb Lomu

$6,052 Vol.

1%

Rueben Bain Jr

$40,531 Vol.

1%

Jordyn Tyson

$7,054 Vol.

<1%

Arvell Reese

$5,949 Vol.

<1%

Spencer Fano

$7,026 Vol.

<1%

Ty Simpson

$6,519 Vol.

<1%

Carson Beck

$5,076 Vol.

<1%

Nico Iamaleava

$9,731 Vol.

<1%

Arch Manning

$17,574 Vol.

<1%

Keldric Faulk

$6,351 Vol.

<1%

David Bailey

$5,644 Vol.

<1%

Kyron Drones

$5,375 Vol.

<1%

Aidan Chiles

$6,449 Vol.

<1%

LaNorris Sellers

$4,297 Vol.

<1%

Caleb Downs

$6,048 Vol.

<1%

Drew Allar

$7,166 Vol.

<1%

John Mateer

$2,452 Vol.

<1%

Garrett Nussmeier

$5,014 Vol.

<1%

Cade Klubnik

$7,980 Vol.

<1%

Jayden Maiava

$6,358 Vol.

<1%

Sam Leavitt

$16,663 Vol.

<1%

T.J. Parker

$5,802 Vol.

<1%

Taylen Green

$6,662 Vol.

<1%

Matayo Uiagalelei

$0 Vol.

<1%

Jalon Daniels

$0 Vol.

<1%

Miller Moss

$0 Vol.

<1%

Peter Woods

$0 Vol.

<1%

Sawyer Robertson

$0 Vol.

<1%

Raylen Wilson

$0 Vol.

<1%

Conner Weigman

$0 Vol.

<1%

Cashius Howell

$0 Vol.

<1%

Kadyn Proctor

$0 Vol.

<1%

LT Overton

$0 Vol.

<1%

This is a polymarket to predict which player is drafted #1 overall in the 2026 NFL Draft.

If the listed player is drafted first overall in the 2026 NFL Draft, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or not completed by July 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$242,017
End Date
Apr 25, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2025, 4:20 PM ET
This is a polymarket to predict which player is drafted #1 overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the listed player is drafted first overall in the 2026 NFL Draft, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or not completed by July 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"NFL Draft 2026: First Overall Pick " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 36 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Fernando Mendoza" at 96%, followed by "Francis Mauigoa" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "NFL Draft 2026: First Overall Pick " has generated $242K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "NFL Draft 2026: First Overall Pick ," browse the 36 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NFL Draft 2026: First Overall Pick " is "Fernando Mendoza" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Francis Mauigoa" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NFL Draft 2026: First Overall Pick " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.