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Sports·EPL

Next Manchester United manager?

Market icon
Sports·EPL

Next Manchester United manager?

Michael Carrick 57%

Oliver Glasner 14%

Gareth Southgate 5.0%

Thomas Tuchel 4.8%

Polymarket

$591,244 Vol.

Michael Carrick 57%

Oliver Glasner 14%

Gareth Southgate 5.0%

Thomas Tuchel 4.8%

Polymarket

$591,244 Vol.

Michael Carrick

$276,117 Vol.

57%

Oliver Glasner

$62,501 Vol.

14%

Gareth Southgate

$21,782 Vol.

5%

Thomas Tuchel

$0 Vol.

5%

Luis Enrique

$4,791 Vol.

4%

Enzo Maresca

$12,961 Vol.

3%

Xavi

$4,603 Vol.

3%

Kieran McKenna

$8,038 Vol.

3%

Ole Gunnar Solskjær

$117,567 Vol.

3%

Xabi Alonso

$3,999 Vol.

1%

Darren Fletcher

$69,807 Vol.

1%

Laurent Blanc

$9,076 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Manchester United. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Manchester United; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors Michael Carrick at 57% implied probability as Manchester United's next permanent head coach, driven by his transformative interim stint since January 13, 2026, including a club-record six straight Premier League home wins and strong backing from the dressing room, as voiced by Amad Diallo and staff reports over the past week. The club's lack of formal talks with alternatives, despite ongoing evaluation, bolsters his position amid a late-season push. Oliver Glasner's 13.5% reflects Crystal Palace success but waned after recent comments signaling commitment there, while Thomas Tuchel (5.3%) and Gareth Southgate (5.1%) trail due to availability concerns and no fresh momentum, with others like Luis Enrique facing PSG contract extensions.

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Manchester United.

If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."

Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.

An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Manchester United; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$591,244
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 5, 2026, 6:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Manchester United. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Manchester United; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Manchester United. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Manchester United; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors Michael Carrick at 57% implied probability as Manchester United's next permanent head coach, driven by his transformative interim stint since January 13, 2026, including a club-record six straight Premier League home wins and strong backing from the dressing room, as voiced by Amad Diallo and staff reports over the past week. The club's lack of formal talks with alternatives, despite ongoing evaluation, bolsters his position amid a late-season push. Oliver Glasner's 13.5% reflects Crystal Palace success but waned after recent comments signaling commitment there, while Thomas Tuchel (5.3%) and Gareth Southgate (5.1%) trail due to availability concerns and no fresh momentum, with others like Luis Enrique facing PSG contract extensions.

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Manchester United.

If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."

Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.

An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Manchester United; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$591,244
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 5, 2026, 6:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Manchester United. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Manchester United; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Manchester United manager?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Michael Carrick" at 57%, followed by "Oliver Glasner" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 57¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Manchester United manager?" has generated $591.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Manchester United manager?," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Manchester United manager?" is "Michael Carrick" at 57%, meaning the market assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Oliver Glasner" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Manchester United manager?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.