Inter Miami CF leads trader consensus at 17% implied probability to repeat as MLS Cup champions thanks to Lionel Messi's ongoing impact and defending title pedigree, despite a season-opening loss to LAFC and recent Concacaf Champions Cup elimination highlighting his advancing age. LAFC's perfect start with zero goals conceded through early matches has propelled them to 12.5%, underscoring defensive dominance and stars like Son Heung-min fueling West supremacy alongside Vancouver Whitecaps' balanced attack (14 goals scored, 2 conceded). San Diego FC's explosive 5-0 opener as expansion side bolsters their 9.8% share, while Nashville SC's hot streak keeps the top bunch tight; MLS parity, 34-game grind, and single-elimination playoffs amplify uncertainty for all Supporters' Shield and wild card contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedInter Miami CF 17%
Los Angeles FC 13%
San Diego FC 9.8%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC 8.0%
$11,352,039 Vol.
$11,352,039 Vol.
Inter Miami CF
17%
Los Angeles FC
13%
San Diego FC
10%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
8%
Nashville SC
5%
Seattle Sounders FC
4%
New York City FC
4%
FC Cincinnati
3%
Columbus Crew
2%
Real Salt Lake
2%
New York Red Bulls
2%
Toronto FC
2%
Orlando City SC
2%
LA Galaxy
2%
Charlotte FC
2%
Philadelphia Union
1%
Austin FC
1%
San Jose Earthquakes
1%
Atlanta United FC
1%
Minnesota United FC
1%
Houston Dynamo FC
1%
Chicago Fire FC
1%
Portland Timbers
1%
FC Dallas
1%
Colorado Rapids
1%
New England Revolution
<1%
St. Louis City SC
<1%
D.C. United
<1%
CF Montréal
<1%
Sporting Kansas City
<1%
Inter Miami CF 17%
Los Angeles FC 13%
San Diego FC 9.8%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC 8.0%
$11,352,039 Vol.
$11,352,039 Vol.
Inter Miami CF
17%
Los Angeles FC
13%
San Diego FC
10%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
8%
Nashville SC
5%
Seattle Sounders FC
4%
New York City FC
4%
FC Cincinnati
3%
Columbus Crew
2%
Real Salt Lake
2%
New York Red Bulls
2%
Toronto FC
2%
Orlando City SC
2%
LA Galaxy
2%
Charlotte FC
2%
Philadelphia Union
1%
Austin FC
1%
San Jose Earthquakes
1%
Atlanta United FC
1%
Minnesota United FC
1%
Houston Dynamo FC
1%
Chicago Fire FC
1%
Portland Timbers
1%
FC Dallas
1%
Colorado Rapids
1%
New England Revolution
<1%
St. Louis City SC
<1%
D.C. United
<1%
CF Montréal
<1%
Sporting Kansas City
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 17, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Inter Miami CF leads trader consensus at 17% implied probability to repeat as MLS Cup champions thanks to Lionel Messi's ongoing impact and defending title pedigree, despite a season-opening loss to LAFC and recent Concacaf Champions Cup elimination highlighting his advancing age. LAFC's perfect start with zero goals conceded through early matches has propelled them to 12.5%, underscoring defensive dominance and stars like Son Heung-min fueling West supremacy alongside Vancouver Whitecaps' balanced attack (14 goals scored, 2 conceded). San Diego FC's explosive 5-0 opener as expansion side bolsters their 9.8% share, while Nashville SC's hot streak keeps the top bunch tight; MLS parity, 34-game grind, and single-elimination playoffs amplify uncertainty for all Supporters' Shield and wild card contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions