Market icon
Sports·Soccer

MLS Cup Winner 2026

Market icon
Sports·Soccer

MLS Cup Winner 2026

Inter Miami CF 20%

Los Angeles FC 17%

San Diego FC 9.8%

Vancouver Whitecaps FC 8.0%

Polymarket

$11,145,742 Vol.

Inter Miami CF 20%

Los Angeles FC 17%

San Diego FC 9.8%

Vancouver Whitecaps FC 8.0%

Polymarket

$11,145,742 Vol.

Inter Miami CF

$6,627 Vol.

20%

Los Angeles FC

$12,148 Vol.

17%

San Diego FC

$1,188,261 Vol.

10%

Vancouver Whitecaps FC

$344,866 Vol.

8%

Nashville SC

$174,216 Vol.

5%

New York City FC

$405,348 Vol.

4%

Seattle Sounders FC

$639,378 Vol.

4%

FC Cincinnati

$376,829 Vol.

4%

Real Salt Lake

$2,369,973 Vol.

3%

New York Red Bulls

$52,816 Vol.

2%

Toronto FC

$12,309 Vol.

2%

Philadelphia Union

$45,911 Vol.

2%

Columbus Crew

$2,843,755 Vol.

2%

Orlando City SC

$1,753,310 Vol.

2%

Charlotte FC

$244,938 Vol.

2%

LA Galaxy

$3,676 Vol.

2%

San Jose Earthquakes

$416,949 Vol.

1%

Atlanta United FC

$1,655 Vol.

1%

Austin FC

$16,631 Vol.

1%

Minnesota United FC

$71,526 Vol.

1%

Chicago Fire FC

$1,138 Vol.

1%

Colorado Rapids

$28,739 Vol.

1%

FC Dallas

$1,325 Vol.

1%

Houston Dynamo FC

$46,431 Vol.

1%

Portland Timbers

$25,079 Vol.

1%

St. Louis City SC

$56,607 Vol.

<1%

New England Revolution

$1,369 Vol.

<1%

D.C. United

$1,072 Vol.

<1%

CF Montréal

$987 Vol.

<1%

Sporting Kansas City

$1,869 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Inter Miami CF tops trader consensus at 19.5% implied probability as defending MLS Cup champions, bolstered by Lionel Messi's ongoing impact—including a free-kick equalizer and assist in their recent 3-2 win over New York City FC—and offseason center-back signing Micael from Palmeiras for defensive depth amid a repeat push. LAFC trails closely at 17% after a historic start conceding zero goals through early matches and a Concacaf Champions Cup triumph, showcasing elite defensive metrics. San Diego FC's 9.8% reflects an undefeated run despite a late draw versus Real Salt Lake, while Vancouver Whitecaps (8%) lead in goals scored (14) but suffered a first loss to San Jose Earthquakes. Nashville SC at 5.1% gains from hot form including a 5-0 rout of Orlando City, yet the top cluster underscores league-wide parity after five matchdays, with no team pulling ahead amid schedule strength, international breaks, and playoff path uncertainties.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$11,145,742
End Date
Dec 19, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 17, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Inter Miami CF tops trader consensus at 19.5% implied probability as defending MLS Cup champions, bolstered by Lionel Messi's ongoing impact—including a free-kick equalizer and assist in their recent 3-2 win over New York City FC—and offseason center-back signing Micael from Palmeiras for defensive depth amid a repeat push. LAFC trails closely at 17% after a historic start conceding zero goals through early matches and a Concacaf Champions Cup triumph, showcasing elite defensive metrics. San Diego FC's 9.8% reflects an undefeated run despite a late draw versus Real Salt Lake, while Vancouver Whitecaps (8%) lead in goals scored (14) but suffered a first loss to San Jose Earthquakes. Nashville SC at 5.1% gains from hot form including a 5-0 rout of Orlando City, yet the top cluster underscores league-wide parity after five matchdays, with no team pulling ahead amid schedule strength, international breaks, and playoff path uncertainties.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$11,145,742
End Date
Dec 19, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 17, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

Market icon

Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?

28%
Market icon

Will Javier Mascherano win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year?

34%
Market icon

Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?

43%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"MLS Cup Winner 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Inter Miami CF" at 20%, followed by "Los Angeles FC" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 20¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 20% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLS Cup Winner 2026" has generated $11.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLS Cup Winner 2026," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLS Cup Winner 2026" is "Inter Miami CF" at 20%, meaning the market assigns a 20% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Los Angeles FC" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLS Cup Winner 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.