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Sports·MLS

MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner

Market icon
Sports·MLS

MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner

Lionel Messi 41%

Sam Surridge 14.2%

Dejan Joveljić 4.2%

Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 4.0%

Polymarket
NEW

Lionel Messi 41%

Sam Surridge 14.2%

Dejan Joveljić 4.2%

Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 4.0%

Polymarket
NEW

Lionel Messi

$577 Vol.

41%

Sam Surridge

$181 Vol.

23%

Dejan Joveljić

$0 Vol.

4%

Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting

$0 Vol.

4%

Evander

$0 Vol.

4%

Tadeo Allende

$0 Vol.

3%

Germán Berterame

$130 Vol.

2%

Brian White

$0 Vol.

2%

Hugo Cuypers

$0 Vol.

1%

Denis Bouanga

$0 Vol.

1%

Alonso Martínez

$0 Vol.

1%

Anders Dreyer

$0 Vol.

1%

Tai Baribo

$0 Vol.

1%

Hany Mukhtar

$0 Vol.

1%

Danny Musovski

$0 Vol.

1%

Prince-Osei Owusu

$0 Vol.

1%

Diego Rossi

$0 Vol.

<1%

Philip Zinckernagel

$0 Vol.

<1%

Djordje Mihailovic

$0 Vol.

<1%

Milan Iloski

$0 Vol.

<1%

Albert Rusnák

$0 Vol.

<1%

Idan Toklomati

$0 Vol.

<1%

Marco Pašalić

$0 Vol.

<1%

Cheikh Sabaly

$0 Vol.

<1%

Louis Munteanu

$0 Vol.

<1%

Kévin Denkey

$0 Vol.

<1%

Martín Ojeda

$0 Vol.

<1%

Petar Musa

$175 Vol.

40%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLS Golden Boot. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Petar Musa's explosive early 2026 form, including a second MLS hat-trick in a 3-3 draw versus San Diego FC and five goals across four matches, has propelled him to the top of trader consensus at 39.9% implied probability for the MLS Golden Boot, building on his record-tying 19 goals from 2025 that rank him fourth in league scoring since arriving at FC Dallas. Sam Surridge trails closely at 22.6% after leading MLS with seven goals in four games, highlighted by a hat-trick in Nashville SC's 4-0 rout of Orlando City and earning Player of the Month honors for February/March. Lionel Messi's 21.0% share reflects four goals for Inter Miami, including milestone strikes, though his pace lags the frontrunners amid a congested schedule. With only 4-5 games played, sustained health and team attacking output will shape the long regular season race.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLS Golden Boot.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,062
End Date
Nov 22, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 18, 2026, 1:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLS Golden Boot. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLS Golden Boot. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Petar Musa's explosive early 2026 form, including a second MLS hat-trick in a 3-3 draw versus San Diego FC and five goals across four matches, has propelled him to the top of trader consensus at 39.9% implied probability for the MLS Golden Boot, building on his record-tying 19 goals from 2025 that rank him fourth in league scoring since arriving at FC Dallas. Sam Surridge trails closely at 22.6% after leading MLS with seven goals in four games, highlighted by a hat-trick in Nashville SC's 4-0 rout of Orlando City and earning Player of the Month honors for February/March. Lionel Messi's 21.0% share reflects four goals for Inter Miami, including milestone strikes, though his pace lags the frontrunners amid a congested schedule. With only 4-5 games played, sustained health and team attacking output will shape the long regular season race.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLS Golden Boot.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,062
End Date
Nov 22, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 18, 2026, 1:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLS Golden Boot. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 28 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Petar Musa" at 40%, followed by "Sam Surridge" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 40¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Feb 18, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner," browse the 28 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner" is "Petar Musa" at 40%, meaning the market assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sam Surridge" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.