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Sports·Awards

MLB: NL Manager of the Year

Market icon
Sports·Awards

MLB: NL Manager of the Year

Carlos Mendoza 43%

Torey Lovullo 35%

Blake Butera 35%

Walt Weiss 34%

Polymarket
NEW

Carlos Mendoza 43%

Torey Lovullo 35%

Blake Butera 35%

Walt Weiss 34%

Polymarket
NEW

Carlos Mendoza

$9,308 Vol.

43%

Torey Lovullo

$0 Vol.

35%

Blake Butera

$0 Vol.

35%

Walt Weiss

$0 Vol.

34%

Terry Francona

$0 Vol.

34%

Don Kelly

$0 Vol.

34%

Dave Roberts

$0 Vol.

34%

Craig Counsell

$0 Vol.

34%

Warren Schaeffer

$0 Vol.

34%

Pat Murphy

$0 Vol.

34%

Rob Thomson

$0 Vol.

34%

Tony Vitello

$0 Vol.

34%

Clayton McCullough

$0 Vol.

34%

Craig Stammen

$0 Vol.

34%

Oliver Marmol

$0 Vol.

34%

This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 National League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus slightly favors Carlos Mendoza at 42.5% implied probability for NL Manager of the Year, reflecting optimism around the Mets' deep roster and potential rebound from their 83-79 2025 finish amid NL East parity. The field remains tightly contested, with Torey Lovullo, Blake Butera, and a cluster at 34.5%—including newcomers Walt Weiss (Braves), Terry Francona (Reds finalist), Warren Schaeffer (Rockies), Tony Vitello (Giants), and Craig Stammen (Padres)—highlighting the NL's managerial turnover and bets on surprise turnarounds. Historical BBWAA patterns reward overachievers securing playoffs or divisions; early 2026 results, roster health, and exceeding projections will be pivotal swing factors in this fluid market.

Trader consensus slightly favors Carlos Mendoza at 42.5% implied probability for NL Manager of the Year, reflecting optimism around the Mets' deep roster and potential rebound from their 83-79 2025 finish amid NL East parity. The field remains tightly contested, with Torey Lovullo, Blake Butera, and a cluster at 34.5%—including newcomers Walt Weiss (Braves), Terry Francona (Reds finalist), Warren Schaeffer (Rockies), Tony Vitello (Giants), and Craig Stammen (Padres)—highlighting the NL's managerial turnover and bets on surprise turnarounds. Historical BBWAA patterns reward overachievers securing playoffs or divisions; early 2026 results, roster health, and exceeding projections will be pivotal swing factors in this fluid market.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 National League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus slightly favors Carlos Mendoza at 42.5% implied probability for NL Manager of the Year, reflecting optimism around the Mets' deep roster and potential rebound from their 83-79 2025 finish amid NL East parity. The field remains tightly contested, with Torey Lovullo, Blake Butera, and a cluster at 34.5%—including newcomers Walt Weiss (Braves), Terry Francona (Reds finalist), Warren Schaeffer (Rockies), Tony Vitello (Giants), and Craig Stammen (Padres)—highlighting the NL's managerial turnover and bets on surprise turnarounds. Historical BBWAA patterns reward overachievers securing playoffs or divisions; early 2026 results, roster health, and exceeding projections will be pivotal swing factors in this fluid market.

Trader consensus slightly favors Carlos Mendoza at 42.5% implied probability for NL Manager of the Year, reflecting optimism around the Mets' deep roster and potential rebound from their 83-79 2025 finish amid NL East parity. The field remains tightly contested, with Torey Lovullo, Blake Butera, and a cluster at 34.5%—including newcomers Walt Weiss (Braves), Terry Francona (Reds finalist), Warren Schaeffer (Rockies), Tony Vitello (Giants), and Craig Stammen (Padres)—highlighting the NL's managerial turnover and bets on surprise turnarounds. Historical BBWAA patterns reward overachievers securing playoffs or divisions; early 2026 results, roster health, and exceeding projections will be pivotal swing factors in this fluid market.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: NL Manager of the Year" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Carlos Mendoza" at 43%, followed by "Torey Lovullo" at 35%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 43¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"MLB: NL Manager of the Year" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 26, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "MLB: NL Manager of the Year," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: NL Manager of the Year" is "Carlos Mendoza" at 43%, meaning the market assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Torey Lovullo" at 35%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: NL Manager of the Year" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.