Trader consensus favors the New York Yankees at 34.5% implied probability to win the 2026 AL East, driven by their star-laden core of Aaron Judge, Gerrit Cole, and Juan Soto—whose monster 2024 campaigns and World Series run despite a 4-1 Finals loss to the Dodgers underscore sustained contention power amid re-signing buzz. Boston Red Sox (25.5%) gain traction from a late-2024 surge fueled by young hitters like Jarren Duran, Ceddanne Rafaela, and Rafael Devers, plus a deep farm system bolstering pitching depth. Toronto Blue Jays (24.0%) lean on Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Bo Bichette extensions but face rotation uncertainties post-2024 fade. Baltimore Orioles (19.5%) contend with elite prospects like Jackson Holliday yet absorb a quick Wild Card exit reality check, while Tampa Bay Rays (6.6%) prioritize rebuild via trades and pitching prospect accumulation over immediate division push.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedNew York Yankees 35%
Toronto Blue Jays 33%
Boston Red Sox 26%
Baltimore Orioles 20%
NEW
NEW
Oct 11, 2026
New York Yankees
35%
Toronto Blue Jays
24%
Boston Red Sox
26%
Baltimore Orioles
20%
Tampa Bay Rays
7%
New York Yankees 35%
Toronto Blue Jays 33%
Boston Red Sox 26%
Baltimore Orioles 20%
NEW
NEW
Oct 11, 2026
New York Yankees
$0 Vol.
35%
Toronto Blue Jays
$91 Vol.
24%
Boston Red Sox
$0 Vol.
26%
Baltimore Orioles
$0 Vol.
20%
Tampa Bay Rays
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB American League East division.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the team whose listed nickname comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named the 2026 American League East division champion per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors the New York Yankees at 34.5% implied probability to win the 2026 AL East, driven by their star-laden core of Aaron Judge, Gerrit Cole, and Juan Soto—whose monster 2024 campaigns and World Series run despite a 4-1 Finals loss to the Dodgers underscore sustained contention power amid re-signing buzz. Boston Red Sox (25.5%) gain traction from a late-2024 surge fueled by young hitters like Jarren Duran, Ceddanne Rafaela, and Rafael Devers, plus a deep farm system bolstering pitching depth. Toronto Blue Jays (24.0%) lean on Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Bo Bichette extensions but face rotation uncertainties post-2024 fade. Baltimore Orioles (19.5%) contend with elite prospects like Jackson Holliday yet absorb a quick Wild Card exit reality check, while Tampa Bay Rays (6.6%) prioritize rebuild via trades and pitching prospect accumulation over immediate division push.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB American League East division.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the team whose listed nickname comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named the 2026 American League East division champion per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the team whose listed nickname comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named the 2026 American League East division champion per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 19, 2026, 12:47 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 11, 2026Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 12:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB American League East division.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the team whose listed nickname comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named the 2026 American League East division champion per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors the New York Yankees at 34.5% implied probability to win the 2026 AL East, driven by their star-laden core of Aaron Judge, Gerrit Cole, and Juan Soto—whose monster 2024 campaigns and World Series run despite a 4-1 Finals loss to the Dodgers underscore sustained contention power amid re-signing buzz. Boston Red Sox (25.5%) gain traction from a late-2024 surge fueled by young hitters like Jarren Duran, Ceddanne Rafaela, and Rafael Devers, plus a deep farm system bolstering pitching depth. Toronto Blue Jays (24.0%) lean on Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Bo Bichette extensions but face rotation uncertainties post-2024 fade. Baltimore Orioles (19.5%) contend with elite prospects like Jackson Holliday yet absorb a quick Wild Card exit reality check, while Tampa Bay Rays (6.6%) prioritize rebuild via trades and pitching prospect accumulation over immediate division push.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB American League East division.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the team whose listed nickname comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named the 2026 American League East division champion per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the team whose listed nickname comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named the 2026 American League East division champion per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 11, 2026Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 12:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors the New York Yankees at 34.5% implied probability to win the 2026 AL East, driven by their star-laden core of Aaron Judge, Gerrit Cole, and Juan Soto—whose monster 2024 campaigns and World Series run despite a 4-1 Finals loss to the Dodgers underscore sustained contention power amid re-signing buzz. Boston Red Sox (25.5%) gain traction from a late-2024 surge fueled by young hitters like Jarren Duran, Ceddanne Rafaela, and Rafael Devers, plus a deep farm system bolstering pitching depth. Toronto Blue Jays (24.0%) lean on Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Bo Bichette extensions but face rotation uncertainties post-2024 fade. Baltimore Orioles (19.5%) contend with elite prospects like Jackson Holliday yet absorb a quick Wild Card exit reality check, while Tampa Bay Rays (6.6%) prioritize rebuild via trades and pitching prospect accumulation over immediate division push.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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