Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar faces minimal opposition in Michigan's 2nd Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat covering central Michigan and parts of the Grand Rapids area. He secured 65% of the vote in 2024, and nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as safe or solid Republican ahead of the August primary and November general election. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing in their primary, but the district's consistent partisan lean and the incumbent's established support sustain the current trader consensus. Late developments such as a major national shift in voter sentiment or an unusually strong Democratic performance could narrow the margin, though structural factors make significant change unlikely before November.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMI-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
MI-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$45,962 Vol.
$45,962 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
95%
Parti démocrate
6%
$45,962 Vol.
$45,962 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$21,645 Vol.
95%
Parti démocrate
$24,317 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar faces minimal opposition in Michigan's 2nd Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat covering central Michigan and parts of the Grand Rapids area. He secured 65% of the vote in 2024, and nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as safe or solid Republican ahead of the August primary and November general election. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing in their primary, but the district's consistent partisan lean and the incumbent's established support sustain the current trader consensus. Late developments such as a major national shift in voter sentiment or an unusually strong Democratic performance could narrow the margin, though structural factors make significant change unlikely before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$45,962Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar faces minimal opposition in Michigan's 2nd Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat covering central Michigan and parts of the Grand Rapids area. He secured 65% of the vote in 2024, and nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as safe or solid Republican ahead of the August primary and November general election. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing in their primary, but the district's consistent partisan lean and the incumbent's established support sustain the current trader consensus. Late developments such as a major national shift in voter sentiment or an unusually strong Democratic performance could narrow the margin, though structural factors make significant change unlikely before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$45,962Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar faces minimal opposition in Michigan's 2nd Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat covering central Michigan and parts of the Grand Rapids area. He secured 65% of the vote in 2024, and nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as safe or solid Republican ahead of the August primary and November general election. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing in their primary, but the district's consistent partisan lean and the incumbent's established support sustain the current trader consensus. Late developments such as a major national shift in voter sentiment or an unusually strong Democratic performance could narrow the margin, though structural factors make significant change unlikely before November.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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