Trader consensus favors Mason Greenwood at 50% implied probability to claim the Ligue 1 top goalscorer title, propelled by Joaquín Panichelli's season-ending ACL tear in late March training that sidelined the former leader after 16 goals for Strasbourg. Greenwood now holds a clear edge with 15 strikes in 26 appearances for high-flying Marseille, boasting superior goals-per-game rate amid their title push and favorable remaining fixtures. Rennes' Esteban Lepaul trails closely at 14 goals from 27 games (35% odds), buoyed by consistent recent form including a March tally, positioning him as the prime challenger in a tight race with 7-8 matches left. Lower probabilities for Desire Doué, Bradley Barcola, and others reflect their distant tallies and tougher paths.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedMason Greenwood 46%
Esteban Lepaul 35.4%
Bradley Barcola 6.5%
Joaquin Panichelli 2.9%
$78,486 Vol.
$78,486 Vol.
Mason Greenwood
50%
Esteban Lepaul
35%
Bradley Barcola
6%
Joaquin Panichelli
3%
Ludovic Ajorque
1%
Achraf Hakimi
1%
Folarin Balogun
1%
Amine Gouiri
1%
Ousmane Dembele
1%
Mika Biereth
1%
Matias Goncalo Ramos
1%
Arnaud Kalimuendo
1%
Breel Embolo
1%
Georges Mikautadze
1%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Martin Satriano
1%
Abdoulaye Toure
1%
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
1%
Anssumane Fati
1%
Frank Magri
1%
Mostafa Mohamed
1%
Santiago Hidalgo
<1%
Jean Philippe Krasso
<1%
Olivier Giroud
<1%
Ferreira Vitinha
<1%
Wesley Said
<1%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
<1%
Igor Paixao
<1%
Desire Doue
7%
Emanuel Emegha
<1%
Terem Moffi
<1%
Matthis Abline
<1%
Cheikh Sabaly
<1%
Moses Simon
<1%
Sambou Soumano
<1%
Lassine Sinayoko
<1%
Gauthier Hein
<1%
Mason Greenwood 46%
Esteban Lepaul 35.4%
Bradley Barcola 6.5%
Joaquin Panichelli 2.9%
$78,486 Vol.
$78,486 Vol.
Mason Greenwood
50%
Esteban Lepaul
35%
Bradley Barcola
6%
Joaquin Panichelli
3%
Ludovic Ajorque
1%
Achraf Hakimi
1%
Folarin Balogun
1%
Amine Gouiri
1%
Ousmane Dembele
1%
Mika Biereth
1%
Matias Goncalo Ramos
1%
Arnaud Kalimuendo
1%
Breel Embolo
1%
Georges Mikautadze
1%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Martin Satriano
1%
Abdoulaye Toure
1%
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
1%
Anssumane Fati
1%
Frank Magri
1%
Mostafa Mohamed
1%
Santiago Hidalgo
<1%
Jean Philippe Krasso
<1%
Olivier Giroud
<1%
Ferreira Vitinha
<1%
Wesley Said
<1%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
<1%
Igor Paixao
<1%
Desire Doue
7%
Emanuel Emegha
<1%
Terem Moffi
<1%
Matthis Abline
<1%
Cheikh Sabaly
<1%
Moses Simon
<1%
Sambou Soumano
<1%
Lassine Sinayoko
<1%
Gauthier Hein
<1%
If the listed player finishes as the sole top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Ligue 1 season, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Only goals scored in Ligue 1 matches will count. Goals scored in other competitions (e.g., Coupe de France, Champions League, Europa League, international matches) will not count for this market.
If multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, the market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2025–26 Ligue 1 season is canceled or not completed by August 1, 2026, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official statistics from the Ligue 1. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2025, 5:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the listed player finishes as the sole top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Ligue 1 season, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Only goals scored in Ligue 1 matches will count. Goals scored in other competitions (e.g., Coupe de France, Champions League, Europa League, international matches) will not count for this market.
If multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, the market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2025–26 Ligue 1 season is canceled or not completed by August 1, 2026, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official statistics from the Ligue 1. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Mason Greenwood at 50% implied probability to claim the Ligue 1 top goalscorer title, propelled by Joaquín Panichelli's season-ending ACL tear in late March training that sidelined the former leader after 16 goals for Strasbourg. Greenwood now holds a clear edge with 15 strikes in 26 appearances for high-flying Marseille, boasting superior goals-per-game rate amid their title push and favorable remaining fixtures. Rennes' Esteban Lepaul trails closely at 14 goals from 27 games (35% odds), buoyed by consistent recent form including a March tally, positioning him as the prime challenger in a tight race with 7-8 matches left. Lower probabilities for Desire Doué, Bradley Barcola, and others reflect their distant tallies and tougher paths.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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