How long will SBF's sentence be?
$1,259,486 Vol.
Mar 28, 2024
<5 years 0
5-10 years 0
10-20 years 0
20-30 years 0
Source: Polymarket.com
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
RESULT
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if SBF is sentenced to fewer than 5 years in prison for the charges for which he is presently on trial (as of March 14) by Dec 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the first sentence rendered by the court regarding SBF's present trial.
This market pertains to the actual time to be served in his sentence - e.g. if he is given concurrent sentences, the longest one is used. For this market's resolution, time SBF has already served will not be subtracted from the total amount of time he is sentenced for.
If no sentence is rendered by Dec 31, 2024, this market group will resolve to the top bracket (<5).
The primary resolution source will be official information from the US court system, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the first sentence rendered by the court regarding SBF's present trial.
This market pertains to the actual time to be served in his sentence - e.g. if he is given concurrent sentences, the longest one is used. For this market's resolution, time SBF has already served will not be subtracted from the total amount of time he is sentenced for.
If no sentence is rendered by Dec 31, 2024, this market group will resolve to the top bracket (<5).
The primary resolution source will be official information from the US court system, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$1,259,486
End Date
Mar 28, 2024
Resolver
0x2F5e3684cb...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Comments
Top Holders
Activity
Related
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Observer
1y ago
Is it just me or did he get off lightly?
PolymarketIsWors...
1y ago
gg
RobinNakamoto
1y ago
See you in 2049 Sammy Boy
Car
1y ago
25 years it is.
alias2of99
1y ago
Wen Polymarket on if President Biden gives SBF a pardon?
Apsalar
1y ago
broke: reducing his sentence due to his autism woke: reducing it due to his veganism
Quimbombo
1y ago
"Really he’s an awkward math nerd...He loves video games and veganism, and he’s compassionate to animals." - SBF Lawyer. Compassionate to animals.
0x4...b482
1y ago
This is an exciting morning...who's gonna celebrate with me if it hits.
41-17™askDomerWh...
1y ago
Perjury!
41-17™askDomerWh...
1y ago
Based Judge recognizes Bitcoin pumps don't mitigate criminal behavior
D.trump
1y ago
Free SBF 才是符合美国核心价值观
Nasreddin
1y ago
Why the large mispricing of 7c from 12c on the main SBF market? Seems like a nobrainer if you think SBF > 50 yrs to bet it all here...
Apsalar
1y ago
as far as i can tell there is just one difference between the two, which is that the other market includes exactly 50 years, while the >50 bracket here doesn't. But unless if you thinkt here's a 4 percent chance that his sentence is exactly 50 years, then that isn't a sufficient explanation. So i think a bigger factor is that in this market you can convert your NO shares.
41-17™askDomerWh...
1y ago
Dumbfuck Asspiler thinks there's not chance it will be 50 years when that is literally the most common sentence for this type of crime. TOTAL DUMBFUCK ASSPILER
41-17™askDomerWh...
1y ago
DUMFUQ DOMER UNDERWATER 😭
41-17™askDomerWh...
1y ago
Damn, Domer really racking up the Yes shares for all the losing brackets 😭
41-17™askDomerWh...
1y ago
My price average for my 40s shares is 20 cents, by the way, if anyone cares to assess the "risk" (more like BLESSING) that I will dump these dollars on you
41-17™askDomerWh...
1y ago
Well, I've had my fun for tonight. Gonna go out and do some crime. I'm sure it will turn out fine when I tell the judge "Sir, Solana BIG UP. And I am autistic!"
41-17™askDomerWh...
1y ago
Addendum: please note my positions are already in profit (both of them) yet I am not dumping.
41-17™askDomerWh...
1y ago
I love liquidity rewards sometimes. TYFYS, mispricers
Outcome: No
<5 years