Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.

Market icon

Houthis agree to end attacks on shipping before May?

$958,347 Vol.

<1% chance

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis agree to halt attacks on Red Sea shipping by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Official unilateral announcements from the Houthis confirming the end of attacks on shipping will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

Any agreement or announcement which covers either all Red Sea shipping or U.S. shipping and naval vessels in the Red Sea will qualify.

If an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of when the attacks are scheduled to stop.

This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from the Houthis; however, statements from the U.S. government or a wide consensus of credible media reporting confirming such an agreement has been made will qualify.
Volume
$958,347
End Date
Apr 30, 2025
Created At
Mar 16, 2025, 12:06 AM UTC

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

shield

Beware of external links.

Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.

$958,347 Vol.

Market icon

Houthis agree to end attacks on shipping before May?

<1% chance

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis agree to halt attacks on Red Sea shipping by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Official unilateral announcements from the Houthis confirming the end of attacks on shipping will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

Any agreement or announcement which covers either all Red Sea shipping or U.S. shipping and naval vessels in the Red Sea will qualify.

If an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of when the attacks are scheduled to stop.

This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from the Houthis; however, statements from the U.S. government or a wide consensus of credible media reporting confirming such an agreement has been made will qualify.
Volume
$958,347
End Date
Apr 30, 2025
Created At
Mar 16, 2025, 12:06 AM UTC

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

shield

Beware of external links.