Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a Miami high of 76-77°F on March 19, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast predicting a daytime maximum around 76°F under partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds following a cool front. Ensemble models from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF align closely, showing persistent mid-70s temperatures amid cooler-than-average March conditions, consistent with recent sea surface temperatures in the mid-70s°F off South Florida. Historical data supports this, as Miami's March 19 average high is 79°F, but frontal passages often cap peaks 2-4°F below normal. Realistic challenges include a stalled front allowing warm advection from the south or sunny skies boosting boundary layer heating beyond model projections, though low-probability convective activity could temper extremes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on March 19?
Highest temperature in Miami on March 19?
76-77°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
65°F or below
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
Yes
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84°F or higher
No
76-77°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
65°F or below
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
Yes
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 15, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a Miami high of 76-77°F on March 19, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast predicting a daytime maximum around 76°F under partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds following a cool front. Ensemble models from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF align closely, showing persistent mid-70s temperatures amid cooler-than-average March conditions, consistent with recent sea surface temperatures in the mid-70s°F off South Florida. Historical data supports this, as Miami's March 19 average high is 79°F, but frontal passages often cap peaks 2-4°F below normal. Realistic challenges include a stalled front allowing warm advection from the south or sunny skies boosting boundary layer heating beyond model projections, though low-probability convective activity could temper extremes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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