Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 18°C or below in Beijing on April 14, driven by confirmed hourly observations from Beijing Capital International Airport (ZBAA) via METAR reports, which recorded a midday peak around 13–15°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and mist that suppressed solar insolation and daytime heating. Evening readings dipped to 10°C under clear skies, solidifying the outcome as the solar day ended. This diverges from typical mid-April averages of 19–20°C due to a cool air mass and northerly steering patterns. Final daily summary from the China Meteorological Administration is pending but unlikely to revise upward given standardized airport instrumentation; only a rare measurement error could challenge it.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on April 14?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 14?
18°C or below 100.0%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$155,509 Vol.
$155,509 Vol.
18°C or below
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
18°C or below 100.0%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$155,509 Vol.
$155,509 Vol.
18°C or below
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 12, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 18°C or below in Beijing on April 14, driven by confirmed hourly observations from Beijing Capital International Airport (ZBAA) via METAR reports, which recorded a midday peak around 13–15°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and mist that suppressed solar insolation and daytime heating. Evening readings dipped to 10°C under clear skies, solidifying the outcome as the solar day ended. This diverges from typical mid-April averages of 19–20°C due to a cool air mass and northerly steering patterns. Final daily summary from the China Meteorological Administration is pending but unlikely to revise upward given standardized airport instrumentation; only a rare measurement error could challenge it.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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