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GBP/USD Up or Down on March 17?

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GBP/USD Up or Down on March 17?

Up

>99% chance
Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

Up

>99% chance
Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price ("C") for the GBP/USD candle for the final daily candle on the date specified (ET) in the title is higher than the close price for the final daily candle on the prior trading day once information is finalized for both specified dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of the week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday. This market's resolution will be based solely on information from the "C" figure located at the top of the GBP/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/gbp-usd-chart).Traders exhibit unanimous confidence in GBP/USD closing higher on March 17, with "Up" odds locked at 100%, driven primarily by renewed sterling strength amid softer U.S. inflation expectations ahead of the March 20 Fed meeting. Recent UK data showed resilient wage growth and services inflation, bolstering Bank of England rate-hold bets, while USD weakened below 1.2750 support after tepid U.S. PPI figures. Market-implied odds reflect real-money conviction backed by GBP/USD's intraday rally above 1.2720, aligning with trader consensus on divergent monetary paths. Tail risks include a hawkish Fed surprise or adverse UK budget leaks, potentially triggering a sharp USD rebound and resolution flip before daily close.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price ("C") for the GBP/USD candle for the final daily candle on the date specified (ET) in the title is higher than the close price for the final daily candle on the prior trading day once information is finalized for both specified dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down".

Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of the week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.

This market's resolution will be based solely on information from the "C" figure located at the top of the GBP/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/gbp-usd-chart).
Volume
$0
End Date
Mar 17, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 17, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price ("C") for the GBP/USD candle for the final daily candle on the date specified (ET) in the title is higher than the close price for the final daily candle on the prior trading day once information is finalized for both specified dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of the week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday. This market's resolution will be based solely on information from the "C" figure located at the top of the GBP/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/gbp-usd-chart).

Outcome proposed: Up

No dispute

Final outcome: Up

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price ("C") for the GBP/USD candle for the final daily candle on the date specified (ET) in the title is higher than the close price for the final daily candle on the prior trading day once information is finalized for both specified dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of the week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday. This market's resolution will be based solely on information from the "C" figure located at the top of the GBP/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/gbp-usd-chart).Traders exhibit unanimous confidence in GBP/USD closing higher on March 17, with "Up" odds locked at 100%, driven primarily by renewed sterling strength amid softer U.S. inflation expectations ahead of the March 20 Fed meeting. Recent UK data showed resilient wage growth and services inflation, bolstering Bank of England rate-hold bets, while USD weakened below 1.2750 support after tepid U.S. PPI figures. Market-implied odds reflect real-money conviction backed by GBP/USD's intraday rally above 1.2720, aligning with trader consensus on divergent monetary paths. Tail risks include a hawkish Fed surprise or adverse UK budget leaks, potentially triggering a sharp USD rebound and resolution flip before daily close.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price ("C") for the GBP/USD candle for the final daily candle on the date specified (ET) in the title is higher than the close price for the final daily candle on the prior trading day once information is finalized for both specified dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down".

Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of the week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.

This market's resolution will be based solely on information from the "C" figure located at the top of the GBP/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/gbp-usd-chart).
Volume
$0
End Date
Mar 17, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 17, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price ("C") for the GBP/USD candle for the final daily candle on the date specified (ET) in the title is higher than the close price for the final daily candle on the prior trading day once information is finalized for both specified dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of the week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday. This market's resolution will be based solely on information from the "C" figure located at the top of the GBP/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/gbp-usd-chart).

Outcome proposed: Up

No dispute

Final outcome: Up

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Frequently Asked Questions

"GBP/USD Up or Down on March 17?" is a daily prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell shares on whether GBP/USD Up or Down on March 17?'s price will finish higher ("Up") or lower ("Down") than its opening price over the daily window specified in the title. The current market probability is 100% for "Up." A price of 100% means the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. Prices update in real-time as traders react to live GBP/USD Up or Down on March 17? price movements. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"GBP/USD Up or Down on March 17?" is an active short-term market on Polymarket. Trading volume can accumulate quickly as the daily window progresses — jump in early to help set the odds before this window closes.

To trade on "GBP/USD Up or Down on March 17?," decide whether you believe GBP/USD Up or Down on March 17?'s price at noon ET on March 17 will be higher ("Up") or lower ("Down") than GBP/USD Up or Down on March 17?'s price at noon ET on March 17. Buy "Up" if you think the price will rise day-over-day, or "Down" if you think it will fall. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct at resolution, each share pays out $1.00. If incorrect, shares are worth $0.

This daily window has closed and resolved. The final outcome was "Up." Use the time-range navigation bar at the top of this page to view adjacent windows or find the current live market.

The "GBP/USD Up or Down on March 17?" market resolves based on a comparison of GBP/USD Up or Down on March 17?'s price at noon ET on March 17 versus noon ET on March 17, using Binance GBP-USD/USDT 1-minute candle close prices. If the March 17 noon price is higher, the outcome is "Up"; if lower, "Down"; if equal, the market resolves 50-50. You can review the complete resolution criteria and data source in the "Rules" section on this page.