Trader consensus heavily favors Brazil at 78% implied probability to win Group C, driven by their elite talent depth including Vinícius Júnior and Raphinha, five-time champion pedigree, and tactical balance under Carlo Ancelotti, despite Rodrygo's season-ending ACL tear in early March, Neymar's fitness concerns, Alisson's recent injury absence, and a 2-1 friendly loss to 10-man France two days ago at Gillette Stadium—highlighting defensive integration issues. Morocco holds steady at 16% on 2022 semifinal momentum, rapid transitions led by Hakimi and Díaz, and fresh FIFA clearance of seven dual nationals like Issa Diop yesterday, offsetting the early March coaching switch to Mohamed Ouahbi. Scotland (4.1%) and Haiti (1.2%) trail as structured underdogs with upset potential via set pieces and athleticism.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedBrazil 78%
Morocco 16%
Scotland 4.1%
Haiti 1.2%
$65,402 Vol.
$65,402 Vol.
Brazil
78%
Morocco
16%
Scotland
4%
Haiti
1%
Brazil 78%
Morocco 16%
Scotland 4.1%
Haiti 1.2%
$65,402 Vol.
$65,402 Vol.
Brazil
78%
Morocco
16%
Scotland
4%
Haiti
1%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Brazil at 78% implied probability to win Group C, driven by their elite talent depth including Vinícius Júnior and Raphinha, five-time champion pedigree, and tactical balance under Carlo Ancelotti, despite Rodrygo's season-ending ACL tear in early March, Neymar's fitness concerns, Alisson's recent injury absence, and a 2-1 friendly loss to 10-man France two days ago at Gillette Stadium—highlighting defensive integration issues. Morocco holds steady at 16% on 2022 semifinal momentum, rapid transitions led by Hakimi and Díaz, and fresh FIFA clearance of seven dual nationals like Issa Diop yesterday, offsetting the early March coaching switch to Mohamed Ouahbi. Scotland (4.1%) and Haiti (1.2%) trail as structured underdogs with upset potential via set pieces and athleticism.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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