Market icon
Economy·Unemployment

February Unemployment Rate - Mexico

Market icon
Economy·Unemployment

February Unemployment Rate - Mexico

Ended: Mar 27

Ended: Mar 27

2.6% 100.0%

≤2.4% <1%

2.5% <1%

2.7% <1%

Polymarket

$51,182 Vol.

2.6% 100.0%

≤2.4% <1%

2.5% <1%

2.7% <1%

Polymarket

$51,182 Vol.

≤2.4%

$20,792 Vol.

No

2.5%

$7,081 Vol.

No

2.6%

$9,806 Vol.

Yes

2.7%

$3,243 Vol.

No

2.8%

$2,663 Vol.

No

2.9%

$2,979 Vol.

No

≥3.0%

$4,617 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI) for February 2026. The resolution source for this market is the National Survey of Occupation and Employment, published by INEGI every month at https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/programas/enoe/15ymas/ The next data release is scheduled for March 27, 2026. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Mexico's National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI) reported the February 2024 unemployment rate at 2.6%—a record low—down from 2.7% in January, cementing trader consensus on Polymarket with 100% implied probability for this outcome. Robust formal job growth, particularly in manufacturing and services, alongside steady remittance inflows and nearshoring momentum, underpinned pre-release expectations aligning with this figure, reflecting labor market resilience amid moderating inflation. Banco de México's recent policy communications reinforced stability, with no divergent leading indicators like jobless claims signaling upside risks. Though data revisions are infrequent, an unexpected methodological adjustment could marginally challenge this strong positioning prior to final confirmation.

Mexico's National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI) reported the February 2024 unemployment rate at 2.6%—a record low—down from 2.7% in January, cementing trader consensus on Polymarket with 100% implied probability for this outcome. Robust formal job growth, particularly in manufacturing and services, alongside steady remittance inflows and nearshoring momentum, underpinned pre-release expectations aligning with this figure, reflecting labor market resilience amid moderating inflation. Banco de México's recent policy communications reinforced stability, with no divergent leading indicators like jobless claims signaling upside risks. Though data revisions are infrequent, an unexpected methodological adjustment could marginally challenge this strong positioning prior to final confirmation.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve according to the unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI) for February 2026. The resolution source for this market is the National Survey of Occupation and Employment, published by INEGI every month at https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/programas/enoe/15ymas/ The next data release is scheduled for March 27, 2026. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Mexico's National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI) reported the February 2024 unemployment rate at 2.6%—a record low—down from 2.7% in January, cementing trader consensus on Polymarket with 100% implied probability for this outcome. Robust formal job growth, particularly in manufacturing and services, alongside steady remittance inflows and nearshoring momentum, underpinned pre-release expectations aligning with this figure, reflecting labor market resilience amid moderating inflation. Banco de México's recent policy communications reinforced stability, with no divergent leading indicators like jobless claims signaling upside risks. Though data revisions are infrequent, an unexpected methodological adjustment could marginally challenge this strong positioning prior to final confirmation.

Mexico's National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI) reported the February 2024 unemployment rate at 2.6%—a record low—down from 2.7% in January, cementing trader consensus on Polymarket with 100% implied probability for this outcome. Robust formal job growth, particularly in manufacturing and services, alongside steady remittance inflows and nearshoring momentum, underpinned pre-release expectations aligning with this figure, reflecting labor market resilience amid moderating inflation. Banco de México's recent policy communications reinforced stability, with no divergent leading indicators like jobless claims signaling upside risks. Though data revisions are infrequent, an unexpected methodological adjustment could marginally challenge this strong positioning prior to final confirmation.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"February Unemployment Rate - Mexico" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2.6%" at 100%, followed by "≤2.4%" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "February Unemployment Rate - Mexico" has generated $51.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "February Unemployment Rate - Mexico," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "February Unemployment Rate - Mexico" is "2.6%" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "≤2.4%" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "February Unemployment Rate - Mexico" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.