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Sports·Formula 1

Japanese Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position

Market icon
Sports·Formula 1

Japanese Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position

Andrea Kimi Antonelli 100.0%

Pierre Gasly <1%

Fernando Alonso <1%

Alexander Albon <1%

Polymarket

$346,525 Vol.

Andrea Kimi Antonelli 100.0%

Pierre Gasly <1%

Fernando Alonso <1%

Alexander Albon <1%

Polymarket

$346,525 Vol.

Pierre Gasly

$2,459 Vol.

No

Fernando Alonso

$0 Vol.

No

Alexander Albon

$2,419 Vol.

No

Gabriel Bortoleto

$2,410 Vol.

No

Sergio Perez

$2,572 Vol.

No

Charles Leclerc

$22,159 Vol.

No

Esteban Ocon

$2,993 Vol.

No

Lando Norris

$21,486 Vol.

No

Andrea Kimi Antonelli

$42,576 Vol.

Yes

Max Verstappen

$20,277 Vol.

No

Franco Colapinto

$2,364 Vol.

No

Carlos Sainz Jr.

$2,875 Vol.

No

Nico Hulkenberg

$2,674 Vol.

No

Valtteri Bottas

$2,596 Vol.

No

Lewis Hamilton

$18,738 Vol.

No

Oliver Bearman

$2,447 Vol.

No

Oscar Piastri

$31,750 Vol.

No

George Russell

$156,450 Vol.

No

Arvid Lindblad

$2,859 Vol.

No

Isack Hadjar

$1,958 Vol.

No

Liam Lawson

$2,463 Vol.

No

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 28, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 4, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Kimi Antonelli secured pole position for the Japanese Grand Prix at Suzuka with a blistering 1:28.778 Q3 lap, beating Mercedes teammate George Russell by 0.298 seconds in a front-row lockout during today's qualifying session, driving Polymarket traders to unanimous 100% consensus on his outcome. Mercedes' dominant single-lap pace on the high-speed Suzuka layout, fresh off Antonelli's prior China pole, overwhelmed rivals like Oscar Piastri in third and a shocked Max Verstappen eliminated in Q2 amid handling woes. This reflects the wisdom of crowds pricing in official results, though rare post-qualifying FIA penalties, grid drops, or investigations could theoretically challenge the pole assignment.

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 28, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 4, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.

For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$346,525
End Date
Apr 4, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 11, 2026, 7:32 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 28, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 4, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 28, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 4, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Kimi Antonelli secured pole position for the Japanese Grand Prix at Suzuka with a blistering 1:28.778 Q3 lap, beating Mercedes teammate George Russell by 0.298 seconds in a front-row lockout during today's qualifying session, driving Polymarket traders to unanimous 100% consensus on his outcome. Mercedes' dominant single-lap pace on the high-speed Suzuka layout, fresh off Antonelli's prior China pole, overwhelmed rivals like Oscar Piastri in third and a shocked Max Verstappen eliminated in Q2 amid handling woes. This reflects the wisdom of crowds pricing in official results, though rare post-qualifying FIA penalties, grid drops, or investigations could theoretically challenge the pole assignment.

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 28, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 4, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.

For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$346,525
End Date
Apr 4, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 11, 2026, 7:32 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 28, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 4, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Japanese Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 21 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Andrea Kimi Antonelli" at 100%, followed by "Pierre Gasly" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Japanese Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position" has generated $346.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 11, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Japanese Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position," browse the 21 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Japanese Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position" is "Andrea Kimi Antonelli" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Pierre Gasly" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Japanese Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.