Kimi Antonelli delivered a stunning pole lap of 1:28.778 in Q3 at Suzuka, securing Mercedes the constructor pole position for the Japanese Grand Prix with George Russell locking out the front row in second, just 0.298 seconds back. This outcome stems from Mercedes' commanding weekend form, topping FP1 with a 1-2 via Russell and Antonelli, and staying competitive in FP2 despite McLaren's Oscar Piastri setting the pace. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects the official qualifying results confirmed hours ago, underscoring Mercedes' superior single-lap pace and setup at the demanding Suzuka circuit. Rare post-session scenarios like technical disqualifications from scrutineering or grid penalties could theoretically alter the outcome, but such disruptions are highly unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedMercedes 100.0%
Alpine <1%
Aston Martin <1%
Williams <1%
$12,383 Vol.
$12,383 Vol.
Apr 4, 2026
Alpine
No
Aston Martin
No
Williams
No
Audi Revolut
No
Cadillac
No
Ferrari
No
Tgr Haas
No
Mclaren Mastercard
No
Mercedes
Yes
Red Bull
No
Racing Bulls
No
Mercedes 100.0%
Alpine <1%
Aston Martin <1%
Williams <1%
$12,383 Vol.
$12,383 Vol.
Apr 4, 2026
Alpine
$1,203 Vol.
No
Aston Martin
$1,194 Vol.
No
Williams
$2,178 Vol.
No
Audi Revolut
$0 Vol.
No
Cadillac
$1,812 Vol.
No
Ferrari
$173 Vol.
No
Tgr Haas
$1,346 Vol.
No
Mclaren Mastercard
$791 Vol.
No
Mercedes
$1,344 Vol.
Yes
Red Bull
$1,077 Vol.
No
Racing Bulls
$1,265 Vol.
No
This is a polymarket on the constructor team that achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 28, 2026.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 4, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Kimi Antonelli delivered a stunning pole lap of 1:28.778 in Q3 at Suzuka, securing Mercedes the constructor pole position for the Japanese Grand Prix with George Russell locking out the front row in second, just 0.298 seconds back. This outcome stems from Mercedes' commanding weekend form, topping FP1 with a 1-2 via Russell and Antonelli, and staying competitive in FP2 despite McLaren's Oscar Piastri setting the pace. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects the official qualifying results confirmed hours ago, underscoring Mercedes' superior single-lap pace and setup at the demanding Suzuka circuit. Rare post-session scenarios like technical disqualifications from scrutineering or grid penalties could theoretically alter the outcome, but such disruptions are highly unlikely.
This is a polymarket on the constructor team that achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 28, 2026.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 4, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 4, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Market Opened: Mar 11, 2026, 7:32 AM ET
Volume
$12,383End Date
Apr 4, 2026Market Opened
Mar 11, 2026, 7:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This is a polymarket on the constructor team that achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 28, 2026.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 4, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Kimi Antonelli delivered a stunning pole lap of 1:28.778 in Q3 at Suzuka, securing Mercedes the constructor pole position for the Japanese Grand Prix with George Russell locking out the front row in second, just 0.298 seconds back. This outcome stems from Mercedes' commanding weekend form, topping FP1 with a 1-2 via Russell and Antonelli, and staying competitive in FP2 despite McLaren's Oscar Piastri setting the pace. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects the official qualifying results confirmed hours ago, underscoring Mercedes' superior single-lap pace and setup at the demanding Suzuka circuit. Rare post-session scenarios like technical disqualifications from scrutineering or grid penalties could theoretically alter the outcome, but such disruptions are highly unlikely.
This is a polymarket on the constructor team that achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 28, 2026.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 4, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 4, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$12,383End Date
Apr 4, 2026Market Opened
Mar 11, 2026, 7:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Kimi Antonelli delivered a stunning pole lap of 1:28.778 in Q3 at Suzuka, securing Mercedes the constructor pole position for the Japanese Grand Prix with George Russell locking out the front row in second, just 0.298 seconds back. This outcome stems from Mercedes' commanding weekend form, topping FP1 with a 1-2 via Russell and Antonelli, and staying competitive in FP2 despite McLaren's Oscar Piastri setting the pace. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects the official qualifying results confirmed hours ago, underscoring Mercedes' superior single-lap pace and setup at the demanding Suzuka circuit. Rare post-session scenarios like technical disqualifications from scrutineering or grid penalties could theoretically alter the outcome, but such disruptions are highly unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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