Name: Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in June?
Start: 2025-06-05T19:50:24.219221Z
End: 2025-06-30T00:00:00Z

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that Donald Trump has visited visited Little Saint James by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place Trump on the island. 

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. 


Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in June?

Elon Musk has publicly claimed that Donald Trump is named in the Jeffrey Epstein files, suggesting this is why they remain unreleased, sparking intense debate and speculation. This accusation has led to calls from Democrats and others for the full release of the Epstein documents, while Trump and his supporters deny the allegations and question Musk's motives.

Musk Accuses Trump

I was hired to lead Jeffrey Epstein’s defense as his criminal lawyer 9 days before he died.  He sought my advice for months before that.  I can say authoritatively, unequivocally, and definitively that he had no information to hurt President Trump.  I specifically asked him!

It is totally inconceivable that there would be something incriminating about Trump in the Epstein files and yet the Democrats kept that information to themselves for all these years. Sure, you can say that they are also incriminated in the files. But so what? They would have

Let me get this straight:

Democrats tried to put Trump in prison for 700 years, take his business empire from him, impeach him twice, take him off the ballot, and censor him on all social media - all the while they were sitting on info that Trump was on the Epstein list? 

This

Donald Trump is NOT in the Epstein Files- here are the facts. https://t.co/Fwvou9uKtx

In 1992 Trump partied with Jeffrey Epstein. Just gonna leave this here: https://t.co/eUFm7cGVab

BREAKING NOW: 🚨  Jeffrey Epstein's lawyer reveals unequivocally that Trump WAS NOT on the Epstein client List. 

"I was hired to lead Jeffrey Epstein’s defense as his criminal lawyer 9 days before he died."

"He sought my advice for months before that.  I can say

If Trump was in the Epstein files it would have been released a decade ago and there wouldn't have been any need to make up a fake Russian hooker dossier

You have to see the genius at play here. 

Elon Musk and President Trump stage a “massive” public feud, slinging insults and grabbing every headline. 

The media eats it up, focusing on their clash. 

Then, BOOM—Elon drops the Epstein bombshell, claiming Trump’s in the files. https://t.co/lQ645Fi5FI

NEW: Democrats on the House Oversight Committee are asking DOJ's Bondi and FBI's Patel to "immediately clarify" whether Musk's claims about Trump and the Epstein files are true, @Axios has learned. https://t.co/M98PxZ9WkE

🇺🇸 | LO ÚLTIMO: Elon musk republicó en su cuenta X/Twitter un video de Trump de fiesta con Epstein en 1992. https://t.co/Zkwhe8ZXdk

What is Trump hiding?

Release the Epstein files. https://t.co/bTgDjtpCQe

Elon Musk is now sharing footage of Trump partying with Jeffrey Epstein. 

What a glorious day.🍿 https://t.co/tgHcdMvkp7

I can tell you unequivocally as someone who would know that President Trump never did anything wrong with Jeffrey Epstein. https://t.co/bd7y8dnd3P

Jeffery Epstein was Palantir’s main funder 

Palantir wants to make a kill list of American citizens 

Trump partners with Palantir to give all our information to them 

Elon now says Trump is blackmailed by Epstein 

Is it all making sense now?

Elon Musk says Trump is in the Epstein files:

“Time to drop the really big bomb: [Donald Trump] is in the Epstein files. That is the real reason they have not been made public. Have a nice day, DJT!” https://t.co/WzkolmwzrL

If I was accused of fucking kids by Elon Musk I would immediately release the files and clear my name 

If Trump doesn't release the Epstein files now it will be clear that he is compromised

FOX: Would you declassify the 9/11 files?
TRUMP: Yes.
FOX: Would you declassify the JFK files?
TRUMP: Yes.
FOX: Would you declassify all the Epstein files?
TRUMP: Well... uh... I don't know about the Epstein files as much...

Why won't Trump's DOJ release the Epstein files? 🤔 https://t.co/M1YlyzZKxZ

Let's be fair here. Just because Elon says that Trump is in the Epstein files and just because there are dozens of photos and videos with Trump &amp; Epstein together and just because Trump called Epstein a "terrific guy" who "likes beautiful women as much as I do, and many of them

President Trump &amp; Elon Musk’s Fake Feud: Democrats Took The Bait &amp; Are Demanding The Release Of The Jeffrey Epstein Files! 🤣🤣🤣

Checkmate. ✅

My thoughts and read the full thread below.👇🏻 https://t.co/yDzTMh9tnI https://t.co/nvTD9vPobV

There is zero doubt in my mind that Trump is named in the Epstein files.

Elon is telling the truth.
 https://t.co/Bi52XFT31W

There’s only one solution here — Musk spills the tea on how they rigged the election and releases the Epstein files on Trump, and Trump cuts Elon’s government contracts and deports him the fuck home.

Win/win.

Whoops. 

Here’s leaked audio of Jeffrey Epstein saying Trump was his closest friend for 10 years. 

Have a good day Donald. 

 https://t.co/jc0eYAxj2l https://t.co/plMAEuYzRC

Breaking Elon / Trump / Epstein Coverup Exclusive: Are 47 and Musk Staging This Historic Fight As Part Of A Secret Agenda?  https://t.co/p7OW5lUgZ9

Donald Trump is unusually quiet today after Elon Musk accused him of being “in the Epstein files.”

Why?

Chris Cuomo just dropped a bombshell theory—and it makes complete sense.

If he’s right, this feud could explode into something much bigger.

🧵 THREAD https://t.co/O1ZrAxKAZR

Proof that Trump is *Not* in the Epstein Files: 🧵

First off, ask yourself this: If there was incriminating evidence against Trump in the Epstein files, would the Deep State have just kept it a secret and just watched Trump take office -- TWICE?!

Please. They released the https://t.co/PvvwVnJ8eT

The BIG Question Nobody Is Asking: When Will Trump Respond To Elon Musk’s Jeffrey Epstein Allegations   https://t.co/elyu8N0xip

THE TRUTH ABOUT TRUMP &amp; EPSTEIN. The truth must be stated and not overlooked. Yes, Trump is in the Epstein files but not as many would think. So technically, Elon is not lying. Trump just is not implicated in the Epstein files in a nefarious sick way like many others are such as https://t.co/A6y5zDoM8v

BREAKING: Trump REFUSES to take questions following the end of a public event. This is very unusual for Trump. He doesn’t want to be asked about Elon blowing open the Epstein Files scandal. What a disastrous day for this White House.   https://t.co/lBeUSqOzQM

Donald Trump was the ONLY person who helped Epstein victims:

"Trump is the only person who picked up the phone and said, let’s just talk. He was very helpful in the information he gave." - the lawyer for Epstein's victims
 https://t.co/22ci5n0Tnn

🚨 BREAKING: The Michael Wolff x James Truman podcast detonated a political nuke.

According to the transcript, Epstein didn’t just know Trump, he studied him. Obsessed over him. Documented him.

Wolff describes Trump’s behavior as egotistical, manipulative, and deeply

I called for the full release of the Epstein Files a month ago because of my suspicion that @AGPamBondi was concealing the files to protect Donald Trump.

Now my suspicion has been confirmed. 

Release the #EpsteinFiles now! https://t.co/USh9iUhJtv

Nine years ago, Ghislaine Maxwell allegedly admitted that Jeffrey Epstein kept videotapes of Donald Trump. https://t.co/aKlPgzcncY

Elon Musk shares new post:

“Time to drop the really big bomb. [Donald Trump] is in the Epstein files. That is the real reason they have not been made public. Have a nice day, DJT!” https://t.co/h2xLbCzNsu

JUST IN: 🇺🇸 Elon Musk says President Trump "is in the Epstein files. That is the real reason they have not been made public." https://t.co/cpJCD1UFB8

If Trump was in the Epstein files, the Democrat machine would’ve released it to save Kamala.

You just can’t convince me otherwise.

Michael Wolff dropped a bombshell; he’s got a recording of Jeffrey Epstein spilling insider details about Trump’s White House, describing it as a chaotic circus that Trump himself stoked. https://t.co/VSSuNSS7af

Donald Trump, 10 years ago:  "Epstein...that island was really a cesspool, no question about it, just ask Prince Andrew, he'll tell you." https://t.co/eipXo4cJYG

MAJOR BREAKING: Elon Musk says Trump is in the Epstein Files and that's why they have not been released to the public https://t.co/TgAC3WEKOQ

🚨🇺🇸 ALERTE INFO | "Donald Trump est dans les dossiers Epstein. C'est la véritable raison pour laquelle ils n'ont pas été rendus publics", A BALANCÉ ELON MUSK. (X) https://t.co/nWjc54d9Lg

Elon Musk's post about Trump and Epstein was reckless. 

He crossed a line and lost the debate as soon as that post was sent. 

Trump now needs to focus on tax cuts and delivering results for the American People who elected him.

And we should all support our President 🇺🇸 https://t.co/YqHtsepviU

BREAKING: Elon Musk says that Donald Trump is in the Epstein files

BREAKING: 🇺🇸 Elon Musk says US President Trump is in the Epstein files and "that is the real reason they have not been made public." https://t.co/fZgepkAtXU

Live Exclusive! Alex Jones Responds To Elon Musk’s Epstein Files Allegation Against President Trump https://t.co/M5bXUxqr0z

If you think the Trump-Elon fight is big, wait until @elonmusk mentions Israel. I don't know if he has big enough balls to do that. But now we're at least finally talking about the real reasons the Epstein files haven't been released. What has enough power to stop both parties?

Did you know that Jeffery Epstein introduced Trump to Melania?

Elon Musk's comments about Trump and Epstein just forced the issue. 

Now, the only way to clear Donald Trump's name is to release the entirety of the Epstein files for the world to see. 

Kash Patel is the head of the FBI. 

He has the power to make this happen. 

It's time. https://t.co/Cpshr1xYL3

NEW: Trump says Elon has Trump DERANGEMENT syndrome.

Now Elon’s going SCORCHED EARTH. He’s taking his rockets home and saying Trump is in EPSTEIN FILES.

Is the bromance OFFICIALLY over? Or is this just guys being guys? https://t.co/6CGS63sAhl

Elon: "Trump is in the Epstein files!!!"

Also Elon: "Hey Trump, can you babysit my son?" https://t.co/WOI2X1UGEq

Investigative journalist George Webb claims it’s no secret that Donald Trump is named in the Epstein files and suggests Elon Musk’s comments don’t reflect the full truth.

Webb says multiple witnesses reported that Trump attended the early portions of Epstein’s parties but https://t.co/L6j9hUd2bU

If Trump team released the Epstein Files and it implicated almost all Democrat and establishment donors and politicians, guess what the media would do?

Deny it and bury it

But now that they think it could hurt Trump, guess what they’re going to do?

Ojo a esto. 
-Elon Musk dice que Trump aparece en los papeles de Epstein y que se acabará sabiendo.
-Además pide la destitución de Trump como presidente. 
-Trump contraataca diciendo que para ahorrar dinero hay que acabar con los contratos públicos de Musk.

Todo ha explotado. https://t.co/cRZEkLVZAg

The White House responds to Musk saying the Epstein files haven't been made public because Trump is in them, with press secretary Karoline Leavitt telling @Sam_Waldenberg, “This is an unfortunate episode from Elon, who is unhappy with the One Big Beautiful Bill because it does

Is this some sort of perverse scheme to force the release of the Epstein files?

How great it would be to have a horde of bad guys publicly exposed.

Then Trump and Elon break out the champagne. 

Elon says, “Told you I could get Democrats to scream for that list.”

Laughter!

Trump and Epstein were close friends. Trump is in the Epstein files. 

Fact https://t.co/7mDOCI5t33

WORLD EXCLUSIVE: Roger Stone Responds To Elon Musk &amp; President Trump / Epstein Files Allegations!

@RogerJStoneJr https://t.co/ZIsrOGjGX7

BREAKING: Elon Musk has said: Trump is in the Epstein files. This is the real reason they have not been made public. https://t.co/W8NMxacwqw

🚨#BREAKING: Democrats are now demanding the release of the Epstein files after Elon Musk reportedly claimed that President Donald Trump is named in them—suggesting this is the real reason the documents have been kept from the public

BREAKING: Elon Musk claims Trump is in the Epstein files &amp; that is why they haven't been released https://t.co/qazLmA04p5

Here is Donald Trump, Jeffrey Epstein, and Ghislaine Maxwell together at a party in 1992. https://t.co/nxSqgKpwm7

No shot. We know Epstein had Trump's phone number; White House 47 released that publicly too. If there was any more to it, Biden and the Democrat DOJ would have 1000% released it. https://t.co/bKtE1whMxK

REPORTERS: “Mr. President, any comment on Elon Musk?”

TRUMP: [silent]

TACO 🌮 

When Elon was praising him, Trump couldn’t shut up. Now that SpaceX is threatening to pull out and the Epstein files are circling back? 

Suddenly, the king of truth socials forgets how to speak. https://t.co/Q76236p009

Notice how the Dems are only interested in the Epstein files, now that they think Trump is implicated.

They’ve been calling it a conspiracy theory for 15 years, and NOW they care?

They don’t care about the children or widespread human trafficking.

They just want to get Trump.

The relationship between Trump and Epstein is well established. Trump flew on Epstein’s plane at least 7 times. Though it’s not clear he ever went to the island .

Here is what Trump said about Epstein in a 2002 NY magazine profile: https://t.co/uHh0yrURD6 https://t.co/fwmahZoWar

Após brigar com Donald Trump, Elon Musk acaba de afirmar que o nome do presidente dos EUA consta nos documentos apreendidos com Jeffrey Epstein, que comandava um esquema de exploração e tráfico sexual, inclusive de crianças.

Os documentos indicariam os “clientes” de Epstein. https://t.co/1sBUoCqxhu

Elon Musk Baits Media &amp; Claims President Trump Is In The Epstein Files —  Prepare For An Epic Media Face Plant On This! 

Elon Musk just tweeted that President Trump is in the Jeffrey Epstein files and the Democrats and the media will no doubt have a field day with this. However, https://t.co/H07yvK00T4 https://t.co/8LFN0KV9h3

Donald Trump BANNED Jeffrey Epstein from Mar-a-Lago in 1999 https://t.co/pV85DBUUmv

Epstein files got to be released even if Trump is in there 💯

Elon says Trump is in the Epstein files—which doesn’t necessarily mean he’s been to the island.

But if he’s implying Trump is a p*do and he knew that while he was in the White House, at UFC fights, or chilling with Trump with his kid… why stay quiet until now?

That ain’t https://t.co/9kuKinq7tU

We told you Trump was in the Epstein files YEARS ago

BREAKING: Elon Musk alleges Trump is in the Epstein files.

"That is the real reason they have not been made public," he says. https://t.co/i9xb7u07sk

According to @elonmusk 

Trump  is on the Epstein list….

So naturally, he let him hang out with his kid🤦🏼‍♂️🤷🏼‍♂️

I DO NOT BELIEVE ELON! https://t.co/5jJNYYRpbM

JUST IN - Elon says "Trump is in the Epstein files. That is the real reason they have not been made public." https://t.co/PDeSHunOdT

Dear @ElonMusk

Did Trump kill Jeffrey Epstein?

BREAKING: Donald Trump’s White House is in a complete panic and doesn’t know how to handle the fact that they were personally responsible for preventing the release of the Epstein files. It’s been a no good, very bad day for Donald Trump.

Why hasn’t the White House denied Musk’s allegation that Trump is in the Epstein’s files?

Now this I do not believe for a second. If true the Epstein files, or at least Trump's involvement, would've leaked YEARS ago. Trump was among first to ostracise Epstein even banning him from Mar-a-Lago in 2008 after he harassed a teenager. https://t.co/hjLytwTcrv

NOW: Cuomo floats bombshell theory—says Trump’s silence on Musk’s Epstein claims might mean a massive defamation lawsuit is coming.

Chris Cuomo thinks this whole thing could get very ugly—and fast.

“Trump hasn't responded. Some are taking this as an admission. Not me.”

“I https://t.co/qYrJw5z0T9

This tweet from Elon Musk shows, again, that I was right: Trump is all over the Epstein files.

I urge the Department of Justice to release all the Epstein files. What is the Trump Administration hiding?

cc:
@GlennKesslerWP https://t.co/AmNMWhpi8T

Elon Musk tweets, "Time to drop the really big bomb: Donald Trump is in the Epstein files. That is the real reason they have not been made public." https://t.co/Z6kTkijJwz

🚨#BREAKING: ELON MUSK GOES NUCLEAR ON DONALD TRUMP

Elon has EXPOSED Donald Trump on being on the EPSTEIN LIST!!

This is why the Epstein files have not been made public! 

History is being written on the X right now. https://t.co/mpyO5q08Kc

How do you force the Democrats and RINOs to demand the release of the Epstein files? 

Just tell them Trump is named in them. 

The show has begun. https://t.co/boyhg89t7F

My wife said this is all a psyop to get the media and Democrats screaming and demanding that the Epstein files be released ... and Trump won't be there. https://t.co/wqHDXanc9L

There's no reason to take seriously anything Elon Musk says during a textbook case of narcissistic collapse, but if anyone in Washington is likely to have been blackmailed by Epstein it's Donald John Trump. https://t.co/TwloHMCPbB

To be fair, Trump is on tape talking about how Epstein likes the ladies young, wished his co child rapist partner well and Epstein said they were best friends.

Still, pretty weird to only say something because Trump supports a terrible spending bill.

Epstein introduced Trump to Melania…

🇮🇱🇮🇱🇮🇱

🚨EXPLOSIVE: Holy f*cking shit. Elon just posted that Donald Trump is in the Epstein files and is the reason they have not been made public. Oh. My. God. https://t.co/Jg9RhWupvb

In the past few hours, Elon Musk has:

•Called Trump a liar
•Said Trump is on the Epstein files and that’s why they haven’t been released
•Said Trump should be removed from office

It really just doesn’t get better than this!

Elon Musk just reposted this

"America voted to: balance the budget, release the Epstein files. If Trump does that, he’ll be hailed as a hero. If not, the American people will replace him." https://t.co/PIxFq4QZQt

🚨 ELON MUSK GOES NUCLEAR ON PRESIDENT TRUMP. CLAIMS TRUMP IS IN EPSTEIN FILES! https://t.co/Arbig9tjJU

It’s not people. It’s principles.

America voted to:
- balance the budget
- release the Epstein files

If Trump does that, he’ll be hailed as a hero.

If not, the American people will replace him.

of the people
by the people
for the people

That’s what makes America great. https://t.co/wx6TEE5GhN

NEW: Jesse Watters says Elon Musk doesn’t actually know if Trump is in the Epstein files.

“No one knows what the list is. He didn’t know.”

Watters added the Trump–Musk feud is like a roommate squabble.

“These guys are like roommates. They were living in close quarters for, https://t.co/2s4bU29opL

Elon just forced Trump's hand.

The only way for Trump to clear his name is to release the Epstein files in full.

Elon said Trump should be impeached and is in the Epstein files. 

Trump threatened to revoke all of Elon’s federal grants. 

There is an emergency meeting going on right now in the Oval Office and Elon hasn’t posted in two hours. 

That’s what you missed if you have a real job.

🚨 BREAKING: Trump administration responds to Elon Musk's claim that Trump is covering up the Epstein files because he's in them

“This is an unfortunate episode from Elon, who is unhappy with the One Big Beautiful Bill because it does not include the policies he wanted. The https://t.co/XGG45mnqlm

ELON MUSK: Trump’s in the Epstein files so I let my son hang out with him… 

Fucking nonsense. 

Elon Musk is a liar. 

 https://t.co/ZXcYdIGKXP

"If Trump is in the Epstein files, why didn't Joe Biden release them?"

Because Joe is in there too retard

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that Donald Trump has visited visited Little Saint James by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place Trump on the island.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.


Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that Elon Musk has visited visited Little Saint James by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place Elon Musk on the island.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Evidence Elon Musk went to Epstein's Island made public in 2025?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET:

- Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public
- Trump out as President
- Trump impeached
- Any Trump cabinet member out

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Trump-Epstein+Parlay.pdf

Trump-Epstein Parlay

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially appoints, or announces the appointment of a special prosecutor, special counsel, or other independent prosecutor to investigate matters related to Jeffrey Epstein by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.  Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
 
To qualify, the appointee must be explicitly tasked with investigating the Epstein case. A public statement from Trump, the White House, or the Department of Justice confirming the appointment will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution regardless of when the appointment goes into effect. 

General statements of intent without a named appointee will not qualify. 

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the Trump administration or a consensus of credible reporting.

Trump appoints special prosecutor for Epstein case in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration (including any federal court) publicly releases previously unreleased files pertaining to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein which contain any mention of the listed individual between November 18 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only previously unreleased files which contain novel material not previously available to the public will qualify. Documents that are merely re-released, have had redactions removed, repackaged, or newly publicized versions of already available information do not qualify.

Any mention of the listed individual in connection with Jeffrey Epstein will qualify, regardless of if connected to nefarious or illegal activities.

Previously unreleased files is inclusive of any written, audio, photo or video documentation (e.g., qualifying photos which depict the listed individual will count).

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files?

The Epstein Files Transparency Act requires the Department of Justice to release all unclassified Epstein-related documents within 30 days of its enactment, setting the legal deadline for publication at 11:59 PM Eastern Time on December 19, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration publicly releases any files pertaining to Jeffrey Epstein on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any release will qualify, including re-releases, partial releases, unsubstantive materials, or documents whose contents were already known from prior reporting.

Qualifying releases must be made by the Executive Branch itself, such as through an official government website, press release, or FOIA reading room. Transmissions solely to courts, Congress, or other non-Executive entities do not qualify unless the Executive Branch subsequently makes the files publicly accessible.

The following will not qualify:
-Announcements of releases that are not implemented within this market’s timeframe.
-Releases made exclusively by courts, Congress or its committees, state or local governments, private entities, or leaks not officially attributable to the Executive Branch.
-Leaked, unofficial, or anonymously sourced disclosures.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Trump admin release any Epstein files on December 19?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if definitive evidence confirming the the incident on August 10, 2019, involving Jeffrey Epstein involved foul play is released by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Statements from the U.S. government indicating that there was foul play will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from any US government agency, law enforcement agencies, and courts, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed in 2025?

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration publicly releases any files pertaining to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein, which weren’t previously public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying file must contain substantive information pertaining to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein. 

The following will qualify: 
-Previously released documents in which redactions containing new substantive content such as names of associates or practices directly pertaining to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein were removed. 
-Documents that weren’t previously public and contain information pertaining to  the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein, even if that information was already known from previous releases (e.g. a previously unreleased document pertaining to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein which mentions Ghislaine Maxwell will qualify even if the information itself isn’t novel) 

The following will not qualify:
-Trivial metadata-only releases, duplicative redactions, or administrative cover sheets without substantive content.
-Files which were created after the start of the Trump Administration (January 20, 2025, 12:00 PM ET).
-Announcements of declassifications or releases that are not implemented within this market's timeframe.
-Releases made exclusively by federal courts (including unsealings), Congress or its committees, state or local governments, private entities, or leaks not officially attributable to the Executive Branch.
-Releases made by non-Executive entities, even if based on Executive Branch filings or requests.
-Court-ordered FOIA disclosures or FOIA litigation records provided by a court.
-Leaked, unofficial, or anonymously sourced disclosures will not qualify 

For a release to qualify, the Executive Branch must itself publish the files to the public, such as through an official website, public press release, or FOIA reading room. Transmissions to Congress, courts, or other non-Executive entities do not qualify unless the Executive Branch subsequently makes the files publicly accessible.

FOIA responses qualify only if the Executive Branch agency itself publicly releases the responsive files. FOIA disclosures published by courts as part of litigation do not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the listed state between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state’s airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump, or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Donald Trump visit Florida in 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if incontrovertible proof is publicly revealed that Jeff Epstein, the New York financier, is still alive between July 13 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.


Is Jeffrey Epstein alive?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues a presidential veto, by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, of any bill or resolution that explicitly mandates, compels, or formally calls for the public release of documents related to Jeffrey Epstein. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source will be official congressional records and a consensus of credible reporting.

Trump vetoes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if previously unreleased evidence definitively confirming that either Jeffrey Epstein or Ghislaine Maxwell were Mossad operatives is made public by December 31 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market ‘operative’ includes any direct involvement in assisting or providing information to Mossad.

Official confirmation from the Trump administration or the Israeli government will qualify as definitive evidence.  

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. 

Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives in 2025?

If Donald J. Trump visits Israel by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Israel. Whether or not Trump enters Israeli airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Trump, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Trump visit Israel again by Dec 31?

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits North Korea between August 4 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."

For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell publicly accuses Donald Trump of criminal wrongdoing between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify, she must explicitly state that Trump committed one or more specific crimes, or clearly refer to him as a criminal and Trump must be named directly.

The accusation must be made Maxwell and made public within the specified date range. 

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Ghislaine Maxwell accuses Trump of being a criminal?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell publicly accuses Donald Trump of sexual misconduct between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify, she must explicitly state that Trump engaged in sexual misconduct, or clearly describe behavior that meets that description. Sexual misconduct includes, but is not limited to, sexual harassment, sexual assault, unwanted advances, infidelity, affairs, or pedophilia. Trump must be named directly.

The accusation must be made by Maxwell and made public within the specified date range.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting

Ghislaine Maxwell accuses Trump of sexual misconduct?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump publicly claims that any of the moon landings were faked by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The claim must come directly from Trump via a verified social media account, official public statement, or during a recorded interview, speech, or rally. Indirect remarks, jokes, or quotes taken out of context will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be statements made by Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used to confirm the legitimacy of such statements.

Trump says Moon Landing faked in 2025?

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

Trump impeached by end of 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump golfs on over 25% of days between January 20 and December 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to https://trumpgolftrack.com as of January 2, 2026, 12:00 PM. However, definitive photo or video evidence confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to supplement the tally if the trumpgolftrack.com tally is incomplete. 

 


Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?

In November 2025, Donald Trump indicated his intent to urge the United States Justice Department to investigate alleged ties between Jeffrey Epstein and Bill Clinton. (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trump-says-he-will-ask-justice-department-probe-epstein-ties-with-bill-clinton-2025-11-14/)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bill Clinton is indicted on federal charges or otherwise formally charged with any federal crime by the United States of America between November 14, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Bill Clinton be federally indicted by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if previously unreleased documents containing evidence that Jeffrey Epstein blackmailed any individual are made public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Blackmail is defined as any use or attempted use of compromising materials or information (such as photos, videos, documents, or incriminating knowledge) to coerce, extort, manipulate, or otherwise gain leverage over a specific person or persons.

Qualifying evidence that Epstein blackmailed any individual requires one of the following:

- A direct statement within the newly released files demonstrating that Epstein blackmailed any individual or group. 

- A clear consensus of credible reporting indicating that the newly released files show that Epstein blackmailed any individual or group.

- A clear consensus of credible reporting indicating that Epstein used any materials released as part of the newly released files for blackmail.

General references to Epstein possessing damaging information, vague insinuations, or speculative commentary will not qualify.

Mentions of “leverage,” “influence,” “favors,” or similar language will not qualify unless clearly tied to the use or attempted use of compromising materials for blackmail as defined in this market.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be the content of any released files and a consensus of credible reporting.


Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025? 

This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence confirming that Donald Trump is Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator of Bitcoin, is made public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Qualifying evidence includes, but is not limited to verified documentation, blockchain evidence, or other definitive evidence.

Unverified or anonymous claims, speculation, memes, jokes, sarcasm, or unsubstantiated reports will not qualify.

Unsubstantiated claims made by Trump will not alone qualify. 

The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting and official information from Donald Trump.

Trump confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if files which were not previously public and which pertain to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein are made public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, and those files contain a list of individuals associated with Epstein in connection with his illegal activities, including but not limited to sex trafficking or related crimes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

To qualify, the files must contain names in a context equivalent to what is commonly referred to as Epstein’s “client list”—that is, a document that explicitly identifies a list or set of individuals as being directly connected to, participating in, facilitating, funding, soliciting, or otherwise being implicated in Jeffrey Epstein’s illegal activities.

A document may qualify even if it does not contain explicit incriminating language on its face, so long as credible reporting or accompanying official context confirms that the released document is an incriminating client list or functionally equivalent roster of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activity.

The following will not qualify:

- Flight logs, passenger manifests, visitor logs, or transportation records which merely show individuals traveling with, meeting with, or visiting Epstein without any explicit or contextual tie to criminal activity.

- Contact books, address lists, social calendars, guest lists, schedules, correspondence logs, or similar documents that include names solely due to social contact, proximity, acquaintance, or logistical interaction with Epstein.

- Any document listing individuals without accompanying language, context, or credible reporting that connects those individuals to Epstein’s illegal activity.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be the released files themselves and a consensus of credible reporting.

Epstein client list released in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump and/or Melania Trump announce their intention to divorce between December 31, 2024 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement by December 31, 2025 of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.

The resolution source will be statements from Donald Trump and/or Melania Trump , and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.

Trump divorce in 2025?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if definitive evidence confirming that Jeffrey Epstein acted as a foreign agent—defined as someone operating under the direction, control, or sponsorship of a foreign government—is made public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A “foreign agent” is defined as an agent, asset, informant, operative, or equivalent who acted on behalf of, or under the direction, control, or sponsorship of, a foreign government or its intelligence or security services. Evidence or reporting that merely alleges, speculates, or suggests possible foreign government ties will not qualify unless presented as established fact.

Epstein must have actually taken actions on behalf of a foreign government. Mere contact, cooperation, or association with foreign government officials or entities will not qualify without evidence of direction, control, or sponsorship.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from any U.S. government agency, law enforcement agencies, and courts. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Epstein confirmed as foreign agent in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk serves any time in custody in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between June 5, and  December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Trump jail Elon Musk?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping, Vladimir Putin, and Kim Jong Un all meet with Donald Trump between October 24, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both the listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Trump meets Xi, Putin, and Kim by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. President Donald Trump visits the Gaza Strip by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip. Whether or not Trump enters the Gaza Strip's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.

A visit to any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip, including visits to buffer zones, counts.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, or official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Trump visit Gaza by Dec 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG) buys any amount of $TRUMP (https://solscan.io/token/6p6xgHyF7AeE6TZkSmFsko444wqoP15icUSqi2jfGiPN), either directly or through a subsidiary, between July 21, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be announcements through official information from TMTG, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Trump Media buy $TRUMP in 2025?

Donald Trump is set to make an appearance at the 48th Annual Kennedy Center Honors, which is scheduled to air on December 23, 2025 (https://www.npr.org/2025/12/05/nx-s1-5607173/kennedy-center-honors-trump).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled appearance at the Kennedy Center Honors event on December 7, 2025. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by December 23, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in June?

Market Context

Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in June?

Rules

Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in June?

Market Context

Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in June?

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