Trader consensus prices Manchester City at 79.5% implied probability to finish Premier League 2nd, reflecting their current second-place standing nine points behind leader Arsenal after 30 matches, bolstered by a game in hand and superior goal difference over challengers. Arsenal's recent 1-0 grind-out win at Brighton on March 4 extended their title lead to nine points despite City's earlier momentum, positioning the Gunners at 9% for a potential drop to runner-up if City overtakes them in April's head-to-head clash. Manchester United's 4.4% share stems from their third-place surge to 55 points via consistent form, though a 16-point deficit to City looms large; Liverpool and others trail far in the table amid recent struggles, cementing the top trio's separation in the race for Champions League spots.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedMan City 80%
Arsenal 9%
Man United 4.4%
Liverpool <1%
$1,651,966 Vol.
$1,651,966 Vol.
Man City
80%
Arsenal
9%
Man United
4%
Liverpool
1%
Brentford
1%
Aston Villa
1%
Chelsea
1%
Fulham
<1%
Brighton
<1%
Bournemouth
<1%
Everton
<1%
Sunderland
<1%
Newcastle
<1%
Crystal Palace
<1%
Man City 80%
Arsenal 9%
Man United 4.4%
Liverpool <1%
$1,651,966 Vol.
$1,651,966 Vol.
Man City
80%
Arsenal
9%
Man United
4%
Liverpool
1%
Brentford
1%
Aston Villa
1%
Chelsea
1%
Fulham
<1%
Brighton
<1%
Bournemouth
<1%
Everton
<1%
Sunderland
<1%
Newcastle
<1%
Crystal Palace
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes 2nd in the final standings of the 2025–26 English Premier League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish 2nd in the 2025-26 EPL season (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 English Premier League season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2025, 3:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes 2nd in the final standings of the 2025–26 English Premier League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish 2nd in the 2025-26 EPL season (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 English Premier League season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Manchester City at 79.5% implied probability to finish Premier League 2nd, reflecting their current second-place standing nine points behind leader Arsenal after 30 matches, bolstered by a game in hand and superior goal difference over challengers. Arsenal's recent 1-0 grind-out win at Brighton on March 4 extended their title lead to nine points despite City's earlier momentum, positioning the Gunners at 9% for a potential drop to runner-up if City overtakes them in April's head-to-head clash. Manchester United's 4.4% share stems from their third-place surge to 55 points via consistent form, though a 16-point deficit to City looms large; Liverpool and others trail far in the table amid recent struggles, cementing the top trio's separation in the race for Champions League spots.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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