Name: Crypto Fight Night: Hong Kong
Start: 2025-02-14T21:34:30.08384Z
End: 2025-02-20T12:00:00Z

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This is a market on predicting outcomes of cryptocurrency-related competitions and events in Hong Kong.

Bitlord (@crypto_bitlord7) is scheduled to fight “Korean Jew” (@koreanjewcrypto) on February 20, 2025 in Hong Kong. You can view this post to learn more: https://x.com/CryptoFightWeek/status/1889978602243997973

If Bitlord is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to “Bitlord”. If Korean Jew is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to “Korean Jew”.

If this fight is declared a draw, or if for any reason the match is not scored, postponed after March 20, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or cancelled, this market will resolve 50-50.


Bitlord vs. Korean Jew

My Mate Nate (@My_Mate_Nate) is scheduled to fight Dawood Savage (@dawoodsavage) on February 20, 2025, in Hong Kong. You can view this post to learn more: https://x.com/CryptoFightWeek/status/1889978602243997973.

If My Mate Nate is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to “My Mate Nate.”

If Dawood Savage is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to “Dawood Savage.”

If this fight is declared a draw, or if for any reason the match is not scored, postponed after March 20, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.

My Mate Nate vs. Dawood Savage

The Phoenix Biel (@Biel) is scheduled to fight The Iron Brit (@elliotlfg) on February 20, 2025, in Hong Kong. You can view this post to learn more: https://x.com/CryptoFightWeek/status/1889978602243997973.

If The Phoenix Biel is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to “Phoenix Biel.”

If The Iron Brit is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to “Iron Brit.”

If this fight is declared a draw, or if for any reason the match is not scored, postponed after March 20, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.

Phoenix Biel vs. Iron Brit

Sugar (@suganarium) is scheduled to fight Jack.Poor (@SolProfessor565) on February 20, 2025, in Hong Kong. You can view this post to learn more: https://x.com/CryptoFightWeek/status/1889978602243997973.

If sugaR is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to “sugaR.”

If Jack.Poor is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to “Jack.Poor.”

If this fight is declared a draw, or if for any reason the match is not scored, postponed after March 20, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.

sugaR vs. Jack.Poor

Grimace (@grimace85) is scheduled to fight DoubleYou (@DoubleyouW3) on February 20, 2025, in Hong Kong. You can view this post to learn more: https://x.com/CryptoFightWeek/status/1889978602243997973.

If Grimace is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to “Grimace.”

If DoubleYou is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to “DoubleYou.”

If this fight is declared a draw, or if for any reason the match is not scored, postponed after March 20, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.

Grimace vs. DoubleYou

NFT Kid (@kokid951) is scheduled to fight White Boy Summer (@WBS_Solana) on February 20, 2025, in Hong Kong. You can view this post to learn more: https://x.com/CryptoFightWeek/status/1889978602243997973.

If NFT Kid is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to “NFT Kid.”

If White Boy Summer is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to “White Boy Summer.”

If this fight is declared a draw, or if for any reason the match is not scored, postponed after March 20, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.

NFT Kid vs. White Boy Summer

Crypto Fight Night: Hong Kong

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Los Angeles Rams win the 2025-26 NFC Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the NFC Championship based on the rules of the NFL (e.g. they are eliminated in the playoff bracket), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Hive x Betmoar Genesis Cup, which is a trading competition scheduled to end December 16, 2025.

If the Genesis Cup is postponed after January 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared by January 31, 2026 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If multiple competitors are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the competitor whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Betmoar (see: https://www.betmoar.fun/contest/hive); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will GenesisCupChampion win the Genesis Cup?

Robinhood, through a joint venture with Susquehanna International Group, recently acquired a majority stake in MIAXdx, a Commodity Futures Trading Commission-licensed Designated Contract Market and Derivatives Clearing Organization, signaling Robinhood’s intent to deepen its involvement in prediction markets (see: https://robinhood.com/us/en/newsroom/robinhood-prediction-markets-joint-venture/).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robinhood makes at least one MIAXdx-cleared prediction market user-tradable on their U.S. platform in any U.S. state by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

“MIAXdx-cleared” means the prediction market contract is listed on the MIAXdx Designated Contract Market and subject to MIAXdx clearing. Prediction markets offered by Robinhood through KalshiEX, ForecastEX, or any other exchange will not count.

Announcements alone do not qualify; the product must be operational.

Any rebranding or renaming of MIAXdx will not affect the resolution of this market.

The primary source of resolution for this market will be information from the Robinhood U.S. trading platform and a consensus of credible reporting.

Robinhood launches prediction market through MIAXdx by March 31?

This market resolves to "Yes" if DraftKings makes at least one prediction market live and accessible to users on their U.S. platform in any U.S. state by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to "No."

A “prediction market” refers to a tradable binary contract on a future event that is executed on an exchange venue (e.g., a CFTC-regulated Designated Contract Market) and offered on inside DraftKings’ U.S. site/app. Whitelabeling with a partner DCM via an FCM or other integration will qualify however fixed-odds sportsbook bets and fantasy contests do not qualify. Announcements alone do not qualify; the product must be operational.

The resolution's source will be a consensus of credible reporting.  


Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? 

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any TradingView 1 minute candle for CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS between November 3, 2025, 11:00 AM ET and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS “Low” prices available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=CRYPTOCAP%3AOTHERS, with the chart settings on “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market depends solely on price data from the TradingView CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS chart. Prices from other sources, indices, or exchanges will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Altcoin market cap dip to $160B by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pump.fun launches a token and performs an airdrop by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from Pump.fun, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by March 31? 

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2026 NBA Finals based off the rules of the NBA.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NBA.

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Denver Broncos win the 2025-26 AFC Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the AFC Championship based on the rules of the NFL (e.g. they are eliminated in the playoff bracket), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

Will the Broncos win the AFC Championship?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup based off the rules of the NHL.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NHL.


Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

This market will resolve to the listed participant with the highest PnL at the end of the Defi App trading competition starting on November 10, 2025.

The resolution source will be the Defi App Leaderboard on https://app.defi.app/contest.

If two or more participants are tied for the highest PnL at the time of resolution, the market will resolve to the participant whose display name appears first in alphabetical order on the official Defi App leaderboard.

If the competition is not completed or the official leaderboard is unavailable, the market will remain open until reliable data is published by Defi App. If no such data becomes available by January 31, 2026 ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

Note: The official competition includes a large number of participants, however this market will resolve solely based on the listed group of KOL participants. Traders who are not eligible KOLs will not be considered. An eligible KOL will be considered to have won if they are the top trader out of eligible KOLs, regardless of if one of the non-KOL participants finishes ahead of them.

Will Pepper win the Defi App trading competition?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any weekly bar in the Kaito “Mindshare over time (L12M)” chart reaches a new all-time high at any point between November 19 and 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. If no new all-time high occurs, the market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source is the creator’s page on Kaito. The weekly bar chart can be viewed by clicking the creator’s name at: https://yaps.kaito.ai/ct-leaderboard

A weekly bar counts as long as its date range includes the target date. A weekly bar is considered finalized once a bar for the following week is published.

Only the weekly values shown in the L12M chart are used for resolution.

If the Kaito page is temporarily unavailable at resolution time, the market will remain open until it returns. If it becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve to “No.”

Proph3T mindshare all time high by March 31?

This market resolves to "Yes" if FanDuel makes at least one CME-cleared prediction market live and accessible to users on their U.S. platform in any U.S. state by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to "No."

“CME-cleared” means the contract is listed on a CME Group exchange as a Designated Contract Market and subject to CME clearing. Announcements alone do not qualify; the product must be operational.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. 

Fanduel launches prediction markets with CME by end of 2025?

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between September 19, 2025, 6 PM ET, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET:

- Artificial Intelligence is named TIME's Person of 2025
- GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam
- AI wins IMO gold medal
- AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark
- AI scores ≥85% on ARC-AGI-2

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

If resolution-relevant information regarding the events mentioned above is not available by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If by that date there is still no clear information indicating that one of the listed events has occurred,  this market will resolve to “Yes”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/AI.png
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/AI2.png

Nothing Ever Happens: AI Edition

This is a polymarket on whether the listed team will win the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

This is a polymarket on whether the listed team will win the 2025–26 UEFA Europa League.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Europa League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 UEFA Europa League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Europa League (https://www.uefa.com/uefaeuropaleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Crypto Fight Night: Hong Kong

Bitlord vs. Korean Jew
$22,856 Vol.
Bitlord

My Mate Nate vs. Dawood Savage
$1,611 Vol.
My Mate Nate

Grimace vs. DoubleYou
$420,475 Vol.
Grimace

Phoenix Biel vs. Iron Brit
$943 Vol.
Phoenix Biel

sugaR vs. Jack.Poor
$1,688 Vol.
SugaR

NFT Kid vs. White Boy Summer
$894 Vol.
NFT Kid

Market Context

Crypto Fight Night: Hong Kong

Rules

Crypto Fight Night: Hong Kong

Market Context

Crypto Fight Night: Hong Kong

About

Related

Crypto Fight Night: Hong Kong

Bitlord vs. Korean Jew$22,856 Vol.Bitlord

My Mate Nate vs. Dawood Savage$1,611 Vol.My Mate Nate

Grimace vs. DoubleYou$420,475 Vol.Grimace

Phoenix Biel vs. Iron Brit$943 Vol.Phoenix Biel

sugaR vs. Jack.Poor$1,688 Vol.SugaR

NFT Kid vs. White Boy Summer$894 Vol.NFT Kid

Market Context

Crypto Fight Night: Hong Kong

Rules

Crypto Fight Night: Hong Kong

Market Context

Crypto Fight Night: Hong Kong

About

Related

Bitlord vs. Korean Jew
$22,856 Vol.
Bitlord

My Mate Nate vs. Dawood Savage
$1,611 Vol.
My Mate Nate

Grimace vs. DoubleYou
$420,475 Vol.
Grimace

Phoenix Biel vs. Iron Brit
$943 Vol.
Phoenix Biel

sugaR vs. Jack.Poor
$1,688 Vol.
SugaR

NFT Kid vs. White Boy Summer
$894 Vol.
NFT Kid