Trader consensus prices Kateryna Lagno at 100% implied probability for victory over Divya Deshmukh in Round 13 of the FIDE Women's Candidates Tournament 2026, reflecting her confirmed 1-0 win on April 14 after Deshmukh resigned amid a decisive blunder around move 15 (15...Be5??" allowed a winning advantage). The higher-rated Lagno (2508) capitalized on the positional error by her 2497-rated opponent, who had drawn her in Round 7's 135-move marathon but faltered here despite earlier tournament wins like against Anna Muzychuk. This result boosts Lagno to 6.5/13 points amid tight standings, with the game fully resolved per official FIDE and chess.com records; only an extraordinary appeal could challenge it, though reversals are virtually nonexistent at this level.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf Kateryna Lagno wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 12, 2026, 10:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://lichess.org/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If Kateryna Lagno wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 12, 2026, 10:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://lichess.org/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices Kateryna Lagno at 100% implied probability for victory over Divya Deshmukh in Round 13 of the FIDE Women's Candidates Tournament 2026, reflecting her confirmed 1-0 win on April 14 after Deshmukh resigned amid a decisive blunder around move 15 (15...Be5??" allowed a winning advantage). The higher-rated Lagno (2508) capitalized on the positional error by her 2497-rated opponent, who had drawn her in Round 7's 135-move marathon but faltered here despite earlier tournament wins like against Anna Muzychuk. This result boosts Lagno to 6.5/13 points amid tight standings, with the game fully resolved per official FIDE and chess.com records; only an extraordinary appeal could challenge it, though reversals are virtually nonexistent at this level.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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