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Sports·FIDE

2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament: Winner

Market icon
Sports·FIDE

2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament: Winner

Other (incl. Anna Muzychuk) 46%

Zhu Jiner 21%

Aleksandra Goryachkina 16%

Kateryna Lagno 14%

Polymarket
NEW

Other (incl. Anna Muzychuk) 46%

Zhu Jiner 21%

Aleksandra Goryachkina 16%

Kateryna Lagno 14%

Polymarket
NEW

Other (incl. Anna Muzychuk)

$497 Vol.

46%

Zhu Jiner

$402 Vol.

21%

Aleksandra Goryachkina

$677 Vol.

16%

Kateryna Lagno

$602 Vol.

14%

Bibisara Assaubayeva

$705 Vol.

7%

Tan Zhongyi

$578 Vol.

5%

Vaishali R

$630 Vol.

5%

Divya Deshmukh

$524 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament scheduled for March 28 - April 16, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament per the rules of the FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament is cancelled, or postponed after April 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anna Muzychuk's surge to sole lead at 4/6 in the ongoing FIDE Women's Candidates double round-robin has propelled the "Other" category—including her—to 42.5% trader consensus, reflecting her key round-6 victory over top-rated Zhu Jiner (2578 Elo, world #2) just two days ago. Late replacement for Koneru Humpy's pre-tournament withdrawal due to regional security concerns, Muzychuk's unbeaten run (two wins amid draws) edges her ahead of five players tied at 3/6—Zhu Jiner, Aleksandra Goryachkina, Kateryna Lagno, Divya Deshmukh, and Vaishali Rameshbabu—driving market favoritism despite the early stage. Lower probabilities for Tan Zhongyi and Bibisara Assaubayeva (both 2.5/6) underscore their slower starts in this Cyprus showdown for Ju Wenjun's challenger spot.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament scheduled for March 28 - April 16, 2026.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament per the rules of the FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament is cancelled, or postponed after April 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,826
End Date
Apr 17, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 3, 2026, 11:50 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament scheduled for March 28 - April 16, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament per the rules of the FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament is cancelled, or postponed after April 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament scheduled for March 28 - April 16, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament per the rules of the FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament is cancelled, or postponed after April 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anna Muzychuk's surge to sole lead at 4/6 in the ongoing FIDE Women's Candidates double round-robin has propelled the "Other" category—including her—to 42.5% trader consensus, reflecting her key round-6 victory over top-rated Zhu Jiner (2578 Elo, world #2) just two days ago. Late replacement for Koneru Humpy's pre-tournament withdrawal due to regional security concerns, Muzychuk's unbeaten run (two wins amid draws) edges her ahead of five players tied at 3/6—Zhu Jiner, Aleksandra Goryachkina, Kateryna Lagno, Divya Deshmukh, and Vaishali Rameshbabu—driving market favoritism despite the early stage. Lower probabilities for Tan Zhongyi and Bibisara Assaubayeva (both 2.5/6) underscore their slower starts in this Cyprus showdown for Ju Wenjun's challenger spot.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament scheduled for March 28 - April 16, 2026.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament per the rules of the FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament is cancelled, or postponed after April 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,826
End Date
Apr 17, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 3, 2026, 11:50 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament scheduled for March 28 - April 16, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament per the rules of the FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament is cancelled, or postponed after April 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament: Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Other (incl. Anna Muzychuk)" at 46%, followed by "Zhu Jiner" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 46¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament: Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 3, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament: Winner," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament: Winner" is "Other (incl. Anna Muzychuk)" at 46%, meaning the market assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Zhu Jiner" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament: Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.