Trader consensus prices Anish Giri at a dominant 100% implied probability for victory over Fabiano Caruana in Round 9 of the FIDE Candidates 2026 Open, reflecting Giri's confirmed win with Black in their classical chess matchup earlier today in Cyprus. Caruana, appearing shaken from his prior-round loss, faltered in a painful middlegame, allowing Giri—a 2753-rated contender with a slight historical edge in their encounters—to deliver a convincing finish via 42...f5+ and subsequent checkmate threats. This result catapults Giri into sole second place, 1.5 points behind leader Javokhir Sindarov with five rounds left; barring an unprecedented score appeal or rules dispute, no realistic scenarios challenge the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf Anish Giri wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 10:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://lichess.org/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If Anish Giri wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 10:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://lichess.org/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices Anish Giri at a dominant 100% implied probability for victory over Fabiano Caruana in Round 9 of the FIDE Candidates 2026 Open, reflecting Giri's confirmed win with Black in their classical chess matchup earlier today in Cyprus. Caruana, appearing shaken from his prior-round loss, faltered in a painful middlegame, allowing Giri—a 2753-rated contender with a slight historical edge in their encounters—to deliver a convincing finish via 42...f5+ and subsequent checkmate threats. This result catapults Giri into sole second place, 1.5 points behind leader Javokhir Sindarov with five rounds left; barring an unprecedented score appeal or rules dispute, no realistic scenarios challenge the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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