Scottie Scheffler's world No. 1 status, two prior green jackets, and elite strokes gained tee-to-green metrics—bolstered by his early 2026 California desert victory—anchor trader consensus at 15.5% implied probability for the Masters winner, setting him apart in this wide-open Augusta National field. Rory McIlroy's recent Arnold Palmer Invitational withdrawal due to injury tempers his 7.5% share despite career Grand Slam pursuit, while Bryson DeChambeau matches it on surging LIV form with back-to-back wins, including a playoff over Rahm, leveraging power on par-5s. Jon Rahm's 7.1% reflects LIV points lead and 2023 triumph, but Scheffler's precision approach play and scrambling edge differentiate amid recent Players Championship momentum for several contenders like Ludvig Aberg and Xander Schauffele.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedScottie Scheffler 16%
Rory McIlroy 8%
Bryson Dechambeau 8%
Jon Rahm 7.1%
$59,720,013 Vol.
$59,720,013 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
16%
Rory McIlroy
8%
Bryson Dechambeau
8%
Jon Rahm
7%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Justin Rose
3%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Cameron Young
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
2%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Min Woo Lee
2%
Robert MacIntyre
1%
Viktor Hovland
1%
Sepp Straka
1%
Jason Day
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Tiger Woods
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Max Homa
1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Will Zalatoris
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Scottie Scheffler 16%
Rory McIlroy 8%
Bryson Dechambeau 8%
Jon Rahm 7.1%
$59,720,013 Vol.
$59,720,013 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
16%
Rory McIlroy
8%
Bryson Dechambeau
8%
Jon Rahm
7%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Justin Rose
3%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Cameron Young
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
2%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Min Woo Lee
2%
Robert MacIntyre
1%
Viktor Hovland
1%
Sepp Straka
1%
Jason Day
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Tiger Woods
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Max Homa
1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Will Zalatoris
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Scottie Scheffler's world No. 1 status, two prior green jackets, and elite strokes gained tee-to-green metrics—bolstered by his early 2026 California desert victory—anchor trader consensus at 15.5% implied probability for the Masters winner, setting him apart in this wide-open Augusta National field. Rory McIlroy's recent Arnold Palmer Invitational withdrawal due to injury tempers his 7.5% share despite career Grand Slam pursuit, while Bryson DeChambeau matches it on surging LIV form with back-to-back wins, including a playoff over Rahm, leveraging power on par-5s. Jon Rahm's 7.1% reflects LIV points lead and 2023 triumph, but Scheffler's precision approach play and scrambling edge differentiate amid recent Players Championship momentum for several contenders like Ludvig Aberg and Xander Schauffele.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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