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Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Market icon

Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Scottie Scheffler 16%

Rory McIlroy 8%

Bryson Dechambeau 8%

Jon Rahm 7.1%

Polymarket

$59,720,013 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler 16%

Rory McIlroy 8%

Bryson Dechambeau 8%

Jon Rahm 7.1%

Polymarket

$59,720,013 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler

$618,860 Vol.

16%

Rory McIlroy

$181,939 Vol.

8%

Bryson Dechambeau

$207,999 Vol.

8%

Jon Rahm

$398,833 Vol.

7%

Ludvig Aberg

$342,052 Vol.

5%

Matt Fitzpatrick

$4,337,234 Vol.

5%

Xander Schauffele

$8,374,803 Vol.

5%

Justin Rose

$380,968 Vol.

3%

Tommy Fleetwood

$245,088 Vol.

3%

Cameron Young

$2,723,713 Vol.

3%

Hideki Matsuyama

$374,668 Vol.

2%

Jordan Spieth

$4,778,274 Vol.

2%

Collin Morikawa

$264,642 Vol.

2%

Patrick Reed

$187,693 Vol.

2%

Brooks Koepka

$187,259 Vol.

2%

Akshay Bhatia

$219,256 Vol.

2%

Min Woo Lee

$677,553 Vol.

2%

Robert MacIntyre

$4,012,964 Vol.

1%

Viktor Hovland

$4,977,409 Vol.

1%

Sepp Straka

$274,351 Vol.

1%

Jason Day

$3,597,836 Vol.

1%

Shane Lowry

$6,605,416 Vol.

1%

Adam Scott

$1,738,701 Vol.

1%

Justin Thomas

$154,068 Vol.

1%

Tyrrell Hatton

$2,267,006 Vol.

1%

Russell Henley

$809,040 Vol.

1%

Nicolai Hojgaard

$240,992 Vol.

1%

Patrick Cantlay

$199,627 Vol.

1%

Sam Burns

$237,044 Vol.

1%

Tiger Woods

$613,462 Vol.

1%

Maverick McNealy

$150,609 Vol.

1%

Joaquin Niemann

$192,996 Vol.

1%

Sungjae Im

$133,420 Vol.

1%

Cameron Smith

$85,322 Vol.

1%

Corey Conners

$127,265 Vol.

1%

Wyndham Clark

$102,955 Vol.

1%

Sahith Theegala

$393,800 Vol.

1%

Brian Harman

$152,138 Vol.

1%

Rasmus Hojgaard

$208,013 Vol.

1%

Max Homa

$262,320 Vol.

1%

Keegan Bradley

$306,395 Vol.

<1%

Will Zalatoris

$227,632 Vol.

<1%

Tony Finau

$291,496 Vol.

<1%

Sergio Garcia

$249,483 Vol.

<1%

Thomas Detry

$224,281 Vol.

<1%

Tom Kim

$625,904 Vol.

<1%

Billy Horschel

$468,301 Vol.

<1%

Phil Mickelson

$327,139 Vol.

<1%

Charl Schwartzel

$396,773 Vol.

<1%

Aaron Rai

$436,805 Vol.

<1%

Bubba Watson

$192,913 Vol.

<1%

Dustin Johnson

$186,527 Vol.

<1%

Danny Willett

$340,711 Vol.

<1%

Byeong Hun An

$684,338 Vol.

<1%

Fred Couples

$555,238 Vol.

<1%

Zach Johnson

$575,651 Vol.

<1%

Davis Thompson

$607,469 Vol.

<1%

Denny McCarthy

$569,295 Vol.

<1%

Taylor Pendrith

$416,460 Vol.

<1%

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Scottie Scheffler's world No. 1 status, two prior green jackets, and elite strokes gained tee-to-green metrics—bolstered by his early 2026 California desert victory—anchor trader consensus at 15.5% implied probability for the Masters winner, setting him apart in this wide-open Augusta National field. Rory McIlroy's recent Arnold Palmer Invitational withdrawal due to injury tempers his 7.5% share despite career Grand Slam pursuit, while Bryson DeChambeau matches it on surging LIV form with back-to-back wins, including a playoff over Rahm, leveraging power on par-5s. Jon Rahm's 7.1% reflects LIV points lead and 2023 triumph, but Scheffler's precision approach play and scrambling edge differentiate amid recent Players Championship momentum for several contenders like Ludvig Aberg and Xander Schauffele.

Scottie Scheffler's world No. 1 status, two prior green jackets, and elite strokes gained tee-to-green metrics—bolstered by his early 2026 California desert victory—anchor trader consensus at 15.5% implied probability for the Masters winner, setting him apart in this wide-open Augusta National field. Rory McIlroy's recent Arnold Palmer Invitational withdrawal due to injury tempers his 7.5% share despite career Grand Slam pursuit, while Bryson DeChambeau matches it on surging LIV form with back-to-back wins, including a playoff over Rahm, leveraging power on par-5s. Jon Rahm's 7.1% reflects LIV points lead and 2023 triumph, but Scheffler's precision approach play and scrambling edge differentiate amid recent Players Championship momentum for several contenders like Ludvig Aberg and Xander Schauffele.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Scottie Scheffler's world No. 1 status, two prior green jackets, and elite strokes gained tee-to-green metrics—bolstered by his early 2026 California desert victory—anchor trader consensus at 15.5% implied probability for the Masters winner, setting him apart in this wide-open Augusta National field. Rory McIlroy's recent Arnold Palmer Invitational withdrawal due to injury tempers his 7.5% share despite career Grand Slam pursuit, while Bryson DeChambeau matches it on surging LIV form with back-to-back wins, including a playoff over Rahm, leveraging power on par-5s. Jon Rahm's 7.1% reflects LIV points lead and 2023 triumph, but Scheffler's precision approach play and scrambling edge differentiate amid recent Players Championship momentum for several contenders like Ludvig Aberg and Xander Schauffele.

Scottie Scheffler's world No. 1 status, two prior green jackets, and elite strokes gained tee-to-green metrics—bolstered by his early 2026 California desert victory—anchor trader consensus at 15.5% implied probability for the Masters winner, setting him apart in this wide-open Augusta National field. Rory McIlroy's recent Arnold Palmer Invitational withdrawal due to injury tempers his 7.5% share despite career Grand Slam pursuit, while Bryson DeChambeau matches it on surging LIV form with back-to-back wins, including a playoff over Rahm, leveraging power on par-5s. Jon Rahm's 7.1% reflects LIV points lead and 2023 triumph, but Scheffler's precision approach play and scrambling edge differentiate amid recent Players Championship momentum for several contenders like Ludvig Aberg and Xander Schauffele.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Augusta National Invitational - Winner " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 59+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Scottie Scheffler" at 16%, followed by "Rory McIlroy" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 16¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " has generated $59.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 29, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Augusta National Invitational - Winner ," browse the 59+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " is "Scottie Scheffler" at 16%, meaning the market assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Rory McIlroy" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.