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Sports·Golf

Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Market icon
Sports·Golf

Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Scottie Scheffler 16%

Rory McIlroy 8%

Bryson Dechambeau 8%

Jon Rahm 7.4%

Polymarket

$58,686,538 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler 16%

Rory McIlroy 8%

Bryson Dechambeau 8%

Jon Rahm 7.4%

Polymarket

$58,686,538 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler

$548,083 Vol.

16%

Rory McIlroy

$180,016 Vol.

8%

Bryson Dechambeau

$195,609 Vol.

8%

Jon Rahm

$393,389 Vol.

7%

Ludvig Aberg

$314,543 Vol.

5%

Xander Schauffele

$8,349,755 Vol.

5%

Matt Fitzpatrick

$4,322,710 Vol.

4%

Cameron Young

$2,710,685 Vol.

3%

Justin Rose

$358,401 Vol.

3%

Tommy Fleetwood

$235,663 Vol.

3%

Collin Morikawa

$249,493 Vol.

3%

Hideki Matsuyama

$363,737 Vol.

2%

Akshay Bhatia

$206,403 Vol.

2%

Brooks Koepka

$180,270 Vol.

2%

Patrick Reed

$169,624 Vol.

2%

Viktor Hovland

$4,971,615 Vol.

2%

Jordan Spieth

$4,769,649 Vol.

2%

Robert MacIntyre

$4,002,241 Vol.

2%

Shane Lowry

$6,594,792 Vol.

1%

Sepp Straka

$270,228 Vol.

1%

Justin Thomas

$149,497 Vol.

1%

Min Woo Lee

$664,255 Vol.

1%

Tiger Woods

$601,258 Vol.

1%

Tyrrell Hatton

$2,263,765 Vol.

1%

Russell Henley

$803,308 Vol.

1%

Patrick Cantlay

$198,856 Vol.

1%

Adam Scott

$1,720,699 Vol.

1%

Joaquin Niemann

$171,696 Vol.

1%

Sam Burns

$236,674 Vol.

1%

Maverick McNealy

$149,269 Vol.

1%

Jason Day

$3,555,320 Vol.

1%

Sungjae Im

$132,911 Vol.

1%

Cameron Smith

$83,790 Vol.

1%

Corey Conners

$126,701 Vol.

1%

Wyndham Clark

$100,914 Vol.

1%

Brian Harman

$145,714 Vol.

1%

Rasmus Hojgaard

$205,193 Vol.

1%

Keegan Bradley

$302,810 Vol.

1%

Nicolai Hojgaard

$203,363 Vol.

1%

Max Homa

$258,271 Vol.

1%

Sahith Theegala

$390,895 Vol.

1%

Thomas Detry

$191,540 Vol.

1%

Will Zalatoris

$224,980 Vol.

<1%

Tony Finau

$290,944 Vol.

<1%

Sergio Garcia

$245,285 Vol.

<1%

Phil Mickelson

$326,388 Vol.

<1%

Tom Kim

$605,574 Vol.

<1%

Billy Horschel

$451,834 Vol.

<1%

Charl Schwartzel

$380,487 Vol.

<1%

Aaron Rai

$434,110 Vol.

<1%

Bubba Watson

$151,807 Vol.

<1%

Dustin Johnson

$166,561 Vol.

<1%

Danny Willett

$320,371 Vol.

<1%

Byeong Hun An

$639,550 Vol.

<1%

Fred Couples

$453,900 Vol.

<1%

Zach Johnson

$474,877 Vol.

<1%

Davis Thompson

$564,312 Vol.

<1%

Taylor Pendrith

$397,314 Vol.

<1%

Denny McCarthy

$516,144 Vol.

<1%

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Scottie Scheffler's recent dominance on the PGA Tour, including victories at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and Players Championship, positions him as the clear trader favorite at 16% implied probability heading into the Masters, bolstered by his elite ball-striking and strong Augusta history with a runner-up finish last year. Rory McIlroy and Bryson DeChambeau share 7.5% amid solid early-season form—McIlroy's wins in Dubai and Pebble Beach chase the career Grand Slam, while DeChambeau's LIV Golf power and major pedigree shine—edging Jon Rahm's 7.4% as defending champion despite lighter PGA exposure. Rising stars like Ludvig Aberg (5.3%) gain from Valero Texas Open contention, but the wide-open field reflects Augusta's unpredictability, demanding precision around Amen Corner amid favorable weather forecasts and no major withdrawals.

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament.

If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.

If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$58,686,538
End Date
Apr 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Scottie Scheffler's recent dominance on the PGA Tour, including victories at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and Players Championship, positions him as the clear trader favorite at 16% implied probability heading into the Masters, bolstered by his elite ball-striking and strong Augusta history with a runner-up finish last year. Rory McIlroy and Bryson DeChambeau share 7.5% amid solid early-season form—McIlroy's wins in Dubai and Pebble Beach chase the career Grand Slam, while DeChambeau's LIV Golf power and major pedigree shine—edging Jon Rahm's 7.4% as defending champion despite lighter PGA exposure. Rising stars like Ludvig Aberg (5.3%) gain from Valero Texas Open contention, but the wide-open field reflects Augusta's unpredictability, demanding precision around Amen Corner amid favorable weather forecasts and no major withdrawals.

Scottie Scheffler's recent dominance on the PGA Tour, including victories at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and Players Championship, positions him as the clear trader favorite at 16% implied probability heading into the Masters, bolstered by his elite ball-striking and strong Augusta history with a runner-up finish last year. Rory McIlroy and Bryson DeChambeau share 7.5% amid solid early-season form—McIlroy's wins in Dubai and Pebble Beach chase the career Grand Slam, while DeChambeau's LIV Golf power and major pedigree shine—edging Jon Rahm's 7.4% as defending champion despite lighter PGA exposure. Rising stars like Ludvig Aberg (5.3%) gain from Valero Texas Open contention, but the wide-open field reflects Augusta's unpredictability, demanding precision around Amen Corner amid favorable weather forecasts and no major withdrawals.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Augusta National Invitational - Winner " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 59+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Scottie Scheffler" at 16%, followed by "Rory McIlroy" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 16¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " has generated $58.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 29, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Augusta National Invitational - Winner ," browse the 59+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " is "Scottie Scheffler" at 16%, meaning the market assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Rory McIlroy" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.