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Sports·Golf

Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Market icon
Sports·Golf

Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Scottie Scheffler 16%

Jon Rahm 7.5%

Rory McIlroy 8%

Bryson Dechambeau 8%

Polymarket

$60,472,688 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler 16%

Jon Rahm 7.5%

Rory McIlroy 8%

Bryson Dechambeau 8%

Polymarket

$60,472,688 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler

$734,386 Vol.

16%

Jon Rahm

$419,523 Vol.

8%

Rory McIlroy

$183,144 Vol.

8%

Bryson Dechambeau

$209,658 Vol.

8%

Ludvig Aberg

$351,451 Vol.

5%

Xander Schauffele

$8,386,744 Vol.

5%

Matt Fitzpatrick

$4,349,656 Vol.

4%

Patrick Reed

$190,952 Vol.

3%

Hideki Matsuyama

$383,975 Vol.

3%

Tommy Fleetwood

$252,887 Vol.

3%

Cameron Young

$2,730,731 Vol.

3%

Justin Rose

$388,606 Vol.

3%

Jordan Spieth

$4,784,653 Vol.

2%

Collin Morikawa

$274,663 Vol.

2%

Brooks Koepka

$188,284 Vol.

2%

Akshay Bhatia

$220,041 Vol.

2%

Adam Scott

$1,747,212 Vol.

2%

Robert MacIntyre

$4,023,511 Vol.

2%

Viktor Hovland

$4,985,829 Vol.

2%

Sepp Straka

$279,338 Vol.

1%

Nicolai Hojgaard

$246,773 Vol.

1%

Justin Thomas

$154,641 Vol.

1%

Shane Lowry

$6,612,303 Vol.

1%

Min Woo Lee

$678,169 Vol.

1%

Tyrrell Hatton

$2,268,121 Vol.

1%

Russell Henley

$809,537 Vol.

1%

Jason Day

$3,604,849 Vol.

1%

Patrick Cantlay

$200,721 Vol.

1%

Joaquin Niemann

$194,420 Vol.

1%

Sam Burns

$237,194 Vol.

1%

Maverick McNealy

$151,651 Vol.

1%

Sahith Theegala

$397,388 Vol.

1%

Sungjae Im

$134,580 Vol.

1%

Wyndham Clark

$111,055 Vol.

1%

Cameron Smith

$101,148 Vol.

1%

Corey Conners

$206,135 Vol.

1%

Brian Harman

$154,117 Vol.

1%

Rasmus Hojgaard

$208,690 Vol.

1%

Max Homa

$267,747 Vol.

1%

Keegan Bradley

$309,204 Vol.

<1%

Will Zalatoris

$229,626 Vol.

<1%

Tiger Woods

$614,054 Vol.

<1%

Tony Finau

$292,521 Vol.

<1%

Sergio Garcia

$263,654 Vol.

<1%

Thomas Detry

$225,562 Vol.

<1%

Tom Kim

$642,749 Vol.

<1%

Billy Horschel

$484,914 Vol.

<1%

Phil Mickelson

$336,865 Vol.

<1%

Charl Schwartzel

$415,518 Vol.

<1%

Aaron Rai

$453,989 Vol.

<1%

Bubba Watson

$215,496 Vol.

<1%

Dustin Johnson

$186,800 Vol.

<1%

Danny Willett

$347,832 Vol.

<1%

Byeong Hun An

$695,186 Vol.

<1%

Fred Couples

$649,222 Vol.

<1%

Zach Johnson

$585,552 Vol.

<1%

Davis Thompson

$621,451 Vol.

<1%

Denny McCarthy

$661,330 Vol.

<1%

Taylor Pendrith

$417,673 Vol.

<1%

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Scottie Scheffler's strong Augusta National course history, including the lowest 10-year scoring average at -40 to par, anchors his position as trader consensus favorite at 15.5% implied probability, despite he and Rory McIlroy barely making the cut at last week's Players Championship where Ludvig Aberg fired a course-record-tying 63 to lead halfway. Jon Rahm, McIlroy, and Bryson DeChambeau cluster at 7.5% on recent momentum—Rahm's LIV form surging ahead of peers—and past major success, while Aberg (5.4%) and Xander Schauffele (5.3%) gain from Players contention. Matt Fitzpatrick's Valspar win elevates him to 4.0%, but injuries like Collin Morikawa's back issue and McIlroy's recovery keep the elite field tightly contested ahead of Thursday's tee times.

Scottie Scheffler's strong Augusta National course history, including the lowest 10-year scoring average at -40 to par, anchors his position as trader consensus favorite at 15.5% implied probability, despite he and Rory McIlroy barely making the cut at last week's Players Championship where Ludvig Aberg fired a course-record-tying 63 to lead halfway. Jon Rahm, McIlroy, and Bryson DeChambeau cluster at 7.5% on recent momentum—Rahm's LIV form surging ahead of peers—and past major success, while Aberg (5.4%) and Xander Schauffele (5.3%) gain from Players contention. Matt Fitzpatrick's Valspar win elevates him to 4.0%, but injuries like Collin Morikawa's back issue and McIlroy's recovery keep the elite field tightly contested ahead of Thursday's tee times.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Scottie Scheffler's strong Augusta National course history, including the lowest 10-year scoring average at -40 to par, anchors his position as trader consensus favorite at 15.5% implied probability, despite he and Rory McIlroy barely making the cut at last week's Players Championship where Ludvig Aberg fired a course-record-tying 63 to lead halfway. Jon Rahm, McIlroy, and Bryson DeChambeau cluster at 7.5% on recent momentum—Rahm's LIV form surging ahead of peers—and past major success, while Aberg (5.4%) and Xander Schauffele (5.3%) gain from Players contention. Matt Fitzpatrick's Valspar win elevates him to 4.0%, but injuries like Collin Morikawa's back issue and McIlroy's recovery keep the elite field tightly contested ahead of Thursday's tee times.

Scottie Scheffler's strong Augusta National course history, including the lowest 10-year scoring average at -40 to par, anchors his position as trader consensus favorite at 15.5% implied probability, despite he and Rory McIlroy barely making the cut at last week's Players Championship where Ludvig Aberg fired a course-record-tying 63 to lead halfway. Jon Rahm, McIlroy, and Bryson DeChambeau cluster at 7.5% on recent momentum—Rahm's LIV form surging ahead of peers—and past major success, while Aberg (5.4%) and Xander Schauffele (5.3%) gain from Players contention. Matt Fitzpatrick's Valspar win elevates him to 4.0%, but injuries like Collin Morikawa's back issue and McIlroy's recovery keep the elite field tightly contested ahead of Thursday's tee times.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Augusta National Invitational - Winner " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 59+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Scottie Scheffler" at 16%, followed by "Jon Rahm" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 16¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " has generated $60.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 29, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Augusta National Invitational - Winner ," browse the 59+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " is "Scottie Scheffler" at 16%, meaning the market assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jon Rahm" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.