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Sports·Golf

Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Market icon
Sports·Golf

Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Scottie Scheffler 16%

Rory McIlroy 8%

Bryson Dechambeau 8%

Jon Rahm 7.1%

Polymarket

$59,680,104 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler 16%

Rory McIlroy 8%

Bryson Dechambeau 8%

Jon Rahm 7.1%

Polymarket

$59,680,104 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler

$615,298 Vol.

16%

Rory McIlroy

$181,873 Vol.

8%

Bryson Dechambeau

$200,921 Vol.

8%

Jon Rahm

$398,491 Vol.

7%

Xander Schauffele

$8,372,746 Vol.

5%

Ludvig Aberg

$337,641 Vol.

5%

Matt Fitzpatrick

$4,334,986 Vol.

4%

Justin Rose

$380,833 Vol.

3%

Tommy Fleetwood

$245,046 Vol.

3%

Cameron Young

$2,722,699 Vol.

3%

Hideki Matsuyama

$374,415 Vol.

2%

Collin Morikawa

$264,337 Vol.

2%

Jordan Spieth

$4,777,780 Vol.

2%

Patrick Reed

$187,542 Vol.

2%

Brooks Koepka

$187,074 Vol.

2%

Akshay Bhatia

$219,196 Vol.

2%

Viktor Hovland

$4,977,069 Vol.

2%

Robert MacIntyre

$4,012,428 Vol.

2%

Min Woo Lee

$677,413 Vol.

1%

Jason Day

$3,597,431 Vol.

1%

Shane Lowry

$6,605,205 Vol.

1%

Sepp Straka

$274,291 Vol.

1%

Adam Scott

$1,738,517 Vol.

1%

Justin Thomas

$154,030 Vol.

1%

Tyrrell Hatton

$2,266,547 Vol.

1%

Russell Henley

$808,980 Vol.

1%

Nicolai Hojgaard

$240,867 Vol.

1%

Patrick Cantlay

$199,567 Vol.

1%

Tiger Woods

$613,273 Vol.

1%

Sam Burns

$236,984 Vol.

1%

Maverick McNealy

$150,406 Vol.

1%

Joaquin Niemann

$192,936 Vol.

1%

Sungjae Im

$133,360 Vol.

1%

Cameron Smith

$85,262 Vol.

1%

Wyndham Clark

$102,895 Vol.

1%

Sahith Theegala

$393,740 Vol.

1%

Brian Harman

$152,078 Vol.

1%

Rasmus Hojgaard

$207,435 Vol.

1%

Corey Conners

$127,155 Vol.

1%

Keegan Bradley

$306,235 Vol.

1%

Max Homa

$262,260 Vol.

1%

Will Zalatoris

$227,572 Vol.

<1%

Tony Finau

$291,436 Vol.

<1%

Bubba Watson

$191,389 Vol.

<1%

Sergio Garcia

$249,423 Vol.

<1%

Thomas Detry

$224,221 Vol.

<1%

Tom Kim

$625,844 Vol.

<1%

Billy Horschel

$468,097 Vol.

<1%

Phil Mickelson

$327,079 Vol.

<1%

Charl Schwartzel

$396,713 Vol.

<1%

Aaron Rai

$436,745 Vol.

<1%

Dustin Johnson

$186,467 Vol.

<1%

Danny Willett

$340,555 Vol.

<1%

Byeong Hun An

$684,273 Vol.

<1%

Fred Couples

$547,339 Vol.

<1%

Zach Johnson

$575,591 Vol.

<1%

Davis Thompson

$607,409 Vol.

<1%

Denny McCarthy

$567,801 Vol.

<1%

Taylor Pendrith

$416,400 Vol.

<1%

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Scottie Scheffler's status as world No. 1 and two-time Masters champion (2022, 2024) drives his trader consensus lead at 15.5% implied probability, bolstered by his season-opening win at The American Express—his 20th PGA Tour victory—and a 68-cut streak entering Augusta National. Rory McIlroy (7.5%), the 2025 defending champion who completed the career Grand Slam, and Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%), riding back-to-back LIV wins with improved Augusta finishes, trail closely in a wide-open field lacking a dominant favorite. Jon Rahm (7.1%) leverages his past green jacket and LIV points lead, while differentiators like Scheffler's elite ball-striking and par-5 scoring (+Scheffler leads historical scoring at -40 to par), Rory's closing prowess, and DeChambeau's power off the tee highlight key edges amid no major injuries or withdrawals reshaping the leaderboard.

Scottie Scheffler's status as world No. 1 and two-time Masters champion (2022, 2024) drives his trader consensus lead at 15.5% implied probability, bolstered by his season-opening win at The American Express—his 20th PGA Tour victory—and a 68-cut streak entering Augusta National. Rory McIlroy (7.5%), the 2025 defending champion who completed the career Grand Slam, and Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%), riding back-to-back LIV wins with improved Augusta finishes, trail closely in a wide-open field lacking a dominant favorite. Jon Rahm (7.1%) leverages his past green jacket and LIV points lead, while differentiators like Scheffler's elite ball-striking and par-5 scoring (+Scheffler leads historical scoring at -40 to par), Rory's closing prowess, and DeChambeau's power off the tee highlight key edges amid no major injuries or withdrawals reshaping the leaderboard.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Scottie Scheffler's status as world No. 1 and two-time Masters champion (2022, 2024) drives his trader consensus lead at 15.5% implied probability, bolstered by his season-opening win at The American Express—his 20th PGA Tour victory—and a 68-cut streak entering Augusta National. Rory McIlroy (7.5%), the 2025 defending champion who completed the career Grand Slam, and Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%), riding back-to-back LIV wins with improved Augusta finishes, trail closely in a wide-open field lacking a dominant favorite. Jon Rahm (7.1%) leverages his past green jacket and LIV points lead, while differentiators like Scheffler's elite ball-striking and par-5 scoring (+Scheffler leads historical scoring at -40 to par), Rory's closing prowess, and DeChambeau's power off the tee highlight key edges amid no major injuries or withdrawals reshaping the leaderboard.

Scottie Scheffler's status as world No. 1 and two-time Masters champion (2022, 2024) drives his trader consensus lead at 15.5% implied probability, bolstered by his season-opening win at The American Express—his 20th PGA Tour victory—and a 68-cut streak entering Augusta National. Rory McIlroy (7.5%), the 2025 defending champion who completed the career Grand Slam, and Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%), riding back-to-back LIV wins with improved Augusta finishes, trail closely in a wide-open field lacking a dominant favorite. Jon Rahm (7.1%) leverages his past green jacket and LIV points lead, while differentiators like Scheffler's elite ball-striking and par-5 scoring (+Scheffler leads historical scoring at -40 to par), Rory's closing prowess, and DeChambeau's power off the tee highlight key edges amid no major injuries or withdrawals reshaping the leaderboard.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Augusta National Invitational - Winner " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 59+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Scottie Scheffler" at 16%, followed by "Rory McIlroy" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 16¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " has generated $59.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 29, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Augusta National Invitational - Winner ," browse the 59+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " is "Scottie Scheffler" at 16%, meaning the market assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Rory McIlroy" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.