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Sports·Golf

Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Market icon
Sports·Golf

Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Scottie Scheffler 16%

Bryson Dechambeau 8%

Jon Rahm 7.4%

Rory McIlroy 7%

Polymarket

$60,986,181 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler 16%

Bryson Dechambeau 8%

Jon Rahm 7.4%

Rory McIlroy 7%

Polymarket

$60,986,181 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler

$740,380 Vol.

16%

Bryson Dechambeau

$212,539 Vol.

8%

Jon Rahm

$423,332 Vol.

7%

Rory McIlroy

$185,355 Vol.

7%

Ludvig Aberg

$353,904 Vol.

5%

Matt Fitzpatrick

$4,353,838 Vol.

5%

Xander Schauffele

$8,390,581 Vol.

5%

Tommy Fleetwood

$256,427 Vol.

3%

Justin Rose

$392,125 Vol.

3%

Hideki Matsuyama

$386,980 Vol.

3%

Cameron Young

$2,734,937 Vol.

3%

Jordan Spieth

$4,789,406 Vol.

2%

Nicolai Hojgaard

$289,206 Vol.

2%

Collin Morikawa

$279,117 Vol.

2%

Akshay Bhatia

$314,348 Vol.

2%

Patrick Reed

$192,222 Vol.

2%

Brooks Koepka

$196,028 Vol.

2%

Viktor Hovland

$4,988,233 Vol.

2%

Robert MacIntyre

$4,028,286 Vol.

2%

Adam Scott

$1,750,060 Vol.

1%

Justin Thomas

$159,527 Vol.

1%

Sepp Straka

$279,774 Vol.

1%

Min Woo Lee

$678,704 Vol.

1%

Shane Lowry

$6,617,307 Vol.

1%

Russell Henley

$810,627 Vol.

1%

Tyrrell Hatton

$2,268,657 Vol.

1%

Patrick Cantlay

$201,280 Vol.

1%

Jason Day

$3,606,823 Vol.

1%

Sam Burns

$238,520 Vol.

1%

Maverick McNealy

$152,258 Vol.

1%

Joaquin Niemann

$194,798 Vol.

1%

Sungjae Im

$135,629 Vol.

1%

Sahith Theegala

$399,151 Vol.

1%

Tiger Woods

$615,774 Vol.

1%

Max Homa

$284,072 Vol.

1%

Brian Harman

$156,462 Vol.

1%

Rasmus Hojgaard

$209,618 Vol.

1%

Cameron Smith

$119,027 Vol.

1%

Corey Conners

$206,963 Vol.

1%

Wyndham Clark

$111,803 Vol.

1%

Will Zalatoris

$273,989 Vol.

1%

Keegan Bradley

$310,054 Vol.

<1%

Tony Finau

$299,489 Vol.

<1%

Sergio Garcia

$268,775 Vol.

<1%

Thomas Detry

$226,127 Vol.

<1%

Tom Kim

$646,699 Vol.

<1%

Billy Horschel

$487,049 Vol.

<1%

Phil Mickelson

$342,808 Vol.

<1%

Charl Schwartzel

$417,696 Vol.

<1%

Aaron Rai

$469,281 Vol.

<1%

Bubba Watson

$216,148 Vol.

<1%

Dustin Johnson

$205,726 Vol.

<1%

Danny Willett

$349,153 Vol.

<1%

Byeong Hun An

$745,854 Vol.

<1%

Fred Couples

$691,218 Vol.

<1%

Zach Johnson

$587,199 Vol.

<1%

Davis Thompson

$622,794 Vol.

<1%

Denny McCarthy

$705,757 Vol.

<1%

Taylor Pendrith

$418,775 Vol.

<1%

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Scottie Scheffler's trader consensus edge at 15.5% implied probability stems from his two prior Masters victories (2022, 2024), unmatched Augusta course history with multiple top-10s, and world No. 1 ball-striking prowess that navigates Amen Corner and undulating greens effectively, bolstered by an early 2026 PGA Tour win signaling peak form entering the week. Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) draws support from his power off the tee suiting Augusta's par 5s and recent major contention including the 2024 U.S. Open, while Jon Rahm (7.4%) banks on his 2023 green jacket win and elite short-game touch despite fewer starts on LIV Golf. Rory McIlroy (6.5%) tempts with elite distance chasing the career grand slam but carries historical Sunday struggles at Augusta. Ludvig Aberg (5.4%) emerges as a live contender via strong debut T2 last year and rising strokes gained metrics, underscoring the wide-open field's competitive depth with no probability exceeding 16%.

Scottie Scheffler's trader consensus edge at 15.5% implied probability stems from his two prior Masters victories (2022, 2024), unmatched Augusta course history with multiple top-10s, and world No. 1 ball-striking prowess that navigates Amen Corner and undulating greens effectively, bolstered by an early 2026 PGA Tour win signaling peak form entering the week. Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) draws support from his power off the tee suiting Augusta's par 5s and recent major contention including the 2024 U.S. Open, while Jon Rahm (7.4%) banks on his 2023 green jacket win and elite short-game touch despite fewer starts on LIV Golf. Rory McIlroy (6.5%) tempts with elite distance chasing the career grand slam but carries historical Sunday struggles at Augusta. Ludvig Aberg (5.4%) emerges as a live contender via strong debut T2 last year and rising strokes gained metrics, underscoring the wide-open field's competitive depth with no probability exceeding 16%.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Scottie Scheffler's trader consensus edge at 15.5% implied probability stems from his two prior Masters victories (2022, 2024), unmatched Augusta course history with multiple top-10s, and world No. 1 ball-striking prowess that navigates Amen Corner and undulating greens effectively, bolstered by an early 2026 PGA Tour win signaling peak form entering the week. Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) draws support from his power off the tee suiting Augusta's par 5s and recent major contention including the 2024 U.S. Open, while Jon Rahm (7.4%) banks on his 2023 green jacket win and elite short-game touch despite fewer starts on LIV Golf. Rory McIlroy (6.5%) tempts with elite distance chasing the career grand slam but carries historical Sunday struggles at Augusta. Ludvig Aberg (5.4%) emerges as a live contender via strong debut T2 last year and rising strokes gained metrics, underscoring the wide-open field's competitive depth with no probability exceeding 16%.

Scottie Scheffler's trader consensus edge at 15.5% implied probability stems from his two prior Masters victories (2022, 2024), unmatched Augusta course history with multiple top-10s, and world No. 1 ball-striking prowess that navigates Amen Corner and undulating greens effectively, bolstered by an early 2026 PGA Tour win signaling peak form entering the week. Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) draws support from his power off the tee suiting Augusta's par 5s and recent major contention including the 2024 U.S. Open, while Jon Rahm (7.4%) banks on his 2023 green jacket win and elite short-game touch despite fewer starts on LIV Golf. Rory McIlroy (6.5%) tempts with elite distance chasing the career grand slam but carries historical Sunday struggles at Augusta. Ludvig Aberg (5.4%) emerges as a live contender via strong debut T2 last year and rising strokes gained metrics, underscoring the wide-open field's competitive depth with no probability exceeding 16%.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Augusta National Invitational - Winner " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 59+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Scottie Scheffler" at 16%, followed by "Bryson Dechambeau" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 16¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " has generated $61 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 29, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Augusta National Invitational - Winner ," browse the 59+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " is "Scottie Scheffler" at 16%, meaning the market assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bryson Dechambeau" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.