Scottie Scheffler tops trader consensus at 15.5% implied probability to win the 2026 Masters at Augusta National, reflecting his world No. 1 ball-striking dominance, two prior green jackets (2022, 2024), and unmatched course history with the lowest score to par over the last decade. Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) and Jon Rahm (7.4%) surge on LIV Golf momentum, highlighted by DeChambeau's back-to-back wins and playoff triumph over Rahm last week in South Africa, amplifying their par-5 scoring edge on Augusta's demanding layout. Defending champion Rory McIlroy (6.5%) leverages eight top-10s in 12 recent starts despite uneven 2026 form, while Ludvig Aberg (5.4%) and Matt Fitzpatrick (5.1%) contend via elite strokes gained tee-to-green stats in a wide-open field prone to upsets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedScottie Scheffler 16%
Bryson Dechambeau 8%
Jon Rahm 7.5%
Rory McIlroy 7%
$60,989,848 Vol.
$60,989,848 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
16%
Bryson Dechambeau
8%
Jon Rahm
8%
Rory McIlroy
7%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Justin Rose
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Cameron Young
3%
Nicolai Hojgaard
2%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Adam Scott
2%
Justin Thomas
1%
Sepp Straka
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Jason Day
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Tiger Woods
1%
Max Homa
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Will Zalatoris
1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Scottie Scheffler 16%
Bryson Dechambeau 8%
Jon Rahm 7.5%
Rory McIlroy 7%
$60,989,848 Vol.
$60,989,848 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
16%
Bryson Dechambeau
8%
Jon Rahm
8%
Rory McIlroy
7%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Justin Rose
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Cameron Young
3%
Nicolai Hojgaard
2%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Adam Scott
2%
Justin Thomas
1%
Sepp Straka
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Jason Day
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Tiger Woods
1%
Max Homa
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Will Zalatoris
1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Scottie Scheffler tops trader consensus at 15.5% implied probability to win the 2026 Masters at Augusta National, reflecting his world No. 1 ball-striking dominance, two prior green jackets (2022, 2024), and unmatched course history with the lowest score to par over the last decade. Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) and Jon Rahm (7.4%) surge on LIV Golf momentum, highlighted by DeChambeau's back-to-back wins and playoff triumph over Rahm last week in South Africa, amplifying their par-5 scoring edge on Augusta's demanding layout. Defending champion Rory McIlroy (6.5%) leverages eight top-10s in 12 recent starts despite uneven 2026 form, while Ludvig Aberg (5.4%) and Matt Fitzpatrick (5.1%) contend via elite strokes gained tee-to-green stats in a wide-open field prone to upsets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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