Polymarket's trader consensus assigns a 99.4% implied probability to Amazon (AMZN) shares closing the week of March 30 in the $205-$210 range, driven by stable intraday trading on April 3 around $208—within a session low of $204.90 and high of $212.21—following a sharp rebound from the March 27 close of $199.34 amid initial fears over $200 billion in 2026 AI capital expenditures pressuring margins. The 3.6% surge on March 31 reflected sustained analyst buy ratings and AWS advancements, including OpenAI partnerships and new AI services, reinforcing e-commerce and cloud growth ahead of Q1 earnings near April 30. This positioning holds barring late-session volatility from macroeconomic shocks or surprise headlines that could drive a breakout.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$205-$210 98.0%
$210-$215 1.0%
$185-$190 <1%
$195-$200 <1%
$28,358 Vol.
$28,358 Vol.
<$185
<1%
$185-$190
<1%
$190-$195
<1%
$195-$200
<1%
$200-$205
<1%
$205-$210
98%
$210-$215
1%
$215-$220
-
$220-$225
<1%
$225-$230
<1%
>$230
<1%
$205-$210 98.0%
$210-$215 1.0%
$185-$190 <1%
$195-$200 <1%
$28,358 Vol.
$28,358 Vol.
<$185
<1%
$185-$190
<1%
$190-$195
<1%
$195-$200
<1%
$200-$205
<1%
$205-$210
98%
$210-$215
1%
$215-$220
-
$220-$225
<1%
$225-$230
<1%
>$230
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Market Opened: Mar 27, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket's trader consensus assigns a 99.4% implied probability to Amazon (AMZN) shares closing the week of March 30 in the $205-$210 range, driven by stable intraday trading on April 3 around $208—within a session low of $204.90 and high of $212.21—following a sharp rebound from the March 27 close of $199.34 amid initial fears over $200 billion in 2026 AI capital expenditures pressuring margins. The 3.6% surge on March 31 reflected sustained analyst buy ratings and AWS advancements, including OpenAI partnerships and new AI services, reinforcing e-commerce and cloud growth ahead of Q1 earnings near April 30. This positioning holds barring late-session volatility from macroeconomic shocks or surprise headlines that could drive a breakout.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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