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Will Amazon (AMZN) close above ___ end of March?

Market icon

Will Amazon (AMZN) close above ___ end of March?

$151,638 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$151,638 Vol.

Polymarket

$150

$2,493 Vol.

Yes

$160

$1,625 Vol.

Yes

$170

$845 Vol.

Yes

$180

$2,854 Vol.

Yes

$190

$6,017 Vol.

Yes

$200

$8,932 Vol.

Yes

$210

$10,530 Vol.

No

$220

$4,250 Vol.

No

$230

$3,522 Vol.

No

$240

$953 Vol.

No

$250

$2,770 Vol.

No

$260

$77,708 Vol.

No

$270

$29,140 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.Amazon shares closed March 31, 2026, at $209.03 after trading in a $200-$215 range throughout the month, driven by sustained trader confidence in AWS revenue growth and e-commerce margin improvements from Q4 2025 results reported in February. Analyst consensus remains strongly bullish, with 58 firms setting an average 12-month price target of $286—implying over 35% upside—reflecting expectations for continued cloud dominance and AI-driven efficiencies amid competitive positioning in digital advertising. Broader market dynamics, including Treasury yield fluctuations and consumer spending trends, introduced modest volatility, with shares down 2.8% month-to-date. Q1 2026 earnings on April 30 will be pivotal, scrutinizing revenue trajectories and forward guidance against consensus estimates.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Volume
$151,638
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 27, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.Amazon shares closed March 31, 2026, at $209.03 after trading in a $200-$215 range throughout the month, driven by sustained trader confidence in AWS revenue growth and e-commerce margin improvements from Q4 2025 results reported in February. Analyst consensus remains strongly bullish, with 58 firms setting an average 12-month price target of $286—implying over 35% upside—reflecting expectations for continued cloud dominance and AI-driven efficiencies amid competitive positioning in digital advertising. Broader market dynamics, including Treasury yield fluctuations and consumer spending trends, introduced modest volatility, with shares down 2.8% month-to-date. Q1 2026 earnings on April 30 will be pivotal, scrutinizing revenue trajectories and forward guidance against consensus estimates.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Volume
$151,638
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 27, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Amazon (AMZN) close above ___ end of March?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "$150" at 100%, followed by "$160" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Amazon (AMZN) close above ___ end of March?" has generated $151.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Amazon (AMZN) close above ___ end of March?," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Will Amazon (AMZN) close above ___ end of March?" is "$150" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "$160" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Will Amazon (AMZN) close above ___ end of March?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.