Market icon
Sports·Golf

PGA Tour: Valero Texas Open Winner

Market icon
Sports·Golf

PGA Tour: Valero Texas Open Winner

William Mouw 25.4%

Ludvig Aberg 5.8%

Tommy Fleetwood 4.8%

Russell Henley 4.5%

Polymarket
NEW

$58,635 Vol.

William Mouw 25.4%

Ludvig Aberg 5.8%

Tommy Fleetwood 4.8%

Russell Henley 4.5%

Polymarket
NEW

$58,635 Vol.

William Mouw

$888 Vol.

25%

Ludvig Aberg

$2,217 Vol.

6%

Tommy Fleetwood

$5 Vol.

5%

Russell Henley

$5 Vol.

5%

Si Woo Kim

$1,536 Vol.

4%

Jordan Spieth

$97 Vol.

4%

Robert MacIntyre

$5 Vol.

4%

Hideki Matsuyama

$308 Vol.

4%

Maverick McNealy

$128 Vol.

3%

Rickie Fowler

$6 Vol.

3%

Ryo Hisatsune

$1,145 Vol.

25%

Denny McCarthy

$1,155 Vol.

20%

Keith Mitchell

$227 Vol.

2%

Johnny Keefer

$6 Vol.

2%

Alexander Noren

$144 Vol.

2%

Brian Harman

$1,140 Vol.

20%

Nicolai Hojgaard

$786 Vol.

2%

Thorbjorn Olesen

$509 Vol.

2%

Patrick Rodgers

$1,475 Vol.

24%

Jordan L. Smith

$1,270 Vol.

25%

Mac Meissner

$5 Vol.

2%

JT Poston

$13 Vol.

2%

Marco Penge

$5 Vol.

1%

Tony Finau

$5 Vol.

1%

Alex Smalley

$5 Vol.

1%

J.J. Spaun

$30 Vol.

1%

Rico Hoey

$5 Vol.

1%

Austin Smotherman

$225 Vol.

1%

Andrew Novak

$255 Vol.

1%

Nick Dunlap

$30 Vol.

10%

Stephan Jaeger

$405 Vol.

1%

Chris Kirk

$1,063 Vol.

25%

Beau Hossler

$40 Vol.

1%

Lucas Glover

$25 Vol.

13%

Emiliano Grillo

$25 Vol.

13%

Mark Hubbard

$25 Vol.

12%

Michael Kim

$1,250 Vol.

20%

Christiaan Bezuidenhout

$10 Vol.

1%

Lee Hodges

$40 Vol.

1%

Charley Hoffman

$130 Vol.

1%

Ryan Gerard

$971 Vol.

1%

Max Homa

$210 Vol.

1%

Zach Bauchou

$110 Vol.

1%

Ze-Cheng Dou

$10 Vol.

1%

Bud Cauley

$10 Vol.

1%

Mackenzie Hughes

$15 Vol.

1%

Seamus Power

$10 Vol.

1%

Daniel Berger

$521 Vol.

1%

Tom Kim

$210 Vol.

1%

Kristoffer Reitan

$10 Vol.

1%

Adrien Dumont De Chassart

$35 Vol.

1%

Max McGreevy

$35 Vol.

1%

Hao-Tong Li

$10 Vol.

1%

Takumi Kanaya

$25 Vol.

1%

Billy Horschel

$15 Vol.

1%

Matt McCarty

$20 Vol.

1%

Henry Lebioda

$20 Vol.

1%

Chandler Blanchet

$210 Vol.

1%

Marcelo Rozo

$210 Vol.

1%

Webb Simpson

$210 Vol.

1%

Daniel Brown

$20 Vol.

1%

Austin Eckroat

$5 Vol.

1%

A.J. Ewart

$35 Vol.

1%

Chad Ramey

$5 Vol.

1%

Adrien Saddier

$5 Vol.

1%

Eric Cole

$5 Vol.

1%

Pierceson Coody

$1,860 Vol.

1%

Jeffrey Kang

$5 Vol.

1%

John Parry

$5 Vol.

1%

Andrew Putnam

$5 Vol.

1%

Ricky Castillo

$660 Vol.

<1%

David Ford

$5 Vol.

<1%

Kevin Roy

$5 Vol.

<1%

Patrick Fishburn

$135 Vol.

<1%

Tom Hoge

$25 Vol.

<1%

Seong-Hyeon Kim

$913 Vol.

<1%

Doug Ghim

$5 Vol.

<1%

Matthias Schmid

$1,175 Vol.

<1%

Brandt Snedeker

$5 Vol.

<1%

Steven Fisk

$5 Vol.

<1%

Pontus Nyholm

$5 Vol.

<1%

Gordon Sargent

$5 Vol.

<1%

Garrick Higgo

$5 Vol.

<1%

Luke Clanton

$5 Vol.

<1%

Matthieu Pavon

$5 Vol.

<1%

Peter Malnati

$5 Vol.

<1%

Rafael Campos

$125 Vol.

<1%

Adam Schenk

$5 Vol.

<1%

Chandler Phillips

$5 Vol.

<1%

Neal Shipley

$5 Vol.

<1%

Davis Chatfield

$5 Vol.

<1%

Brice Garnett

$5 Vol.

<1%

Christo Lamprecht

$5 Vol.

<1%

Kyoung-Hoon Lee

$120 Vol.

<1%

David Lipsky

$555 Vol.

<1%

Isaiah Salinda

$120 Vol.

<1%

Patton Kizzire

$5 Vol.

<1%

Joe Highsmith

$5 Vol.

<1%

Kensei Hirata

$23 Vol.

<1%

Collin Morikawa

$33,228 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Valero Texas Open tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valero Texas Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the Valero Texas Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by April 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).Trader consensus reflects a tightly contested Valero Texas Open field at TPC San Antonio's Oaks Course, with William Mouw, Chris Kirk, Jordan L. Smith, and Ryo Hisatsune clustered near 25% implied probabilities due to a depleted top tier from late withdrawals. Collin Morikawa's Tuesday exit citing lingering back spasms from THE PLAYERS Championship, alongside Daniel Berger, Pierceson Coody, and others like Nicolai Hojgaard, opened spots and shifted sentiment toward mid-range ball-strikers suited to the demanding par-72 layout's tough greens and potential north winds. Mouw's T33 debut here last year and Kirk's past top-10s highlight course fit, while broader Masters prep has sidelined stars like Aberg and Fleetwood from dominance, amplifying upset potential across the 150-player roster.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Valero Texas Open tournament.

If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valero Texas Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".

If an unlisted player wins the Valero Texas Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If no winner is announced by April 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Volume
$58,635
End Date
Apr 5, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 30, 2026, 12:05 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.pgatour.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Valero Texas Open tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valero Texas Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the Valero Texas Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by April 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Valero Texas Open tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valero Texas Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the Valero Texas Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by April 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).Trader consensus reflects a tightly contested Valero Texas Open field at TPC San Antonio's Oaks Course, with William Mouw, Chris Kirk, Jordan L. Smith, and Ryo Hisatsune clustered near 25% implied probabilities due to a depleted top tier from late withdrawals. Collin Morikawa's Tuesday exit citing lingering back spasms from THE PLAYERS Championship, alongside Daniel Berger, Pierceson Coody, and others like Nicolai Hojgaard, opened spots and shifted sentiment toward mid-range ball-strikers suited to the demanding par-72 layout's tough greens and potential north winds. Mouw's T33 debut here last year and Kirk's past top-10s highlight course fit, while broader Masters prep has sidelined stars like Aberg and Fleetwood from dominance, amplifying upset potential across the 150-player roster.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Valero Texas Open tournament.

If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valero Texas Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".

If an unlisted player wins the Valero Texas Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If no winner is announced by April 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Volume
$58,635
End Date
Apr 5, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 30, 2026, 12:05 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.pgatour.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Valero Texas Open tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valero Texas Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the Valero Texas Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by April 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).

Related

Market icon

Will Ryo Hisatsune finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Valero Texas Open?

53%
Market icon

Will Ludvig Aberg finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Valero Texas Open?

57%
Market icon

Will Tommy Fleetwood finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Valero Texas Open?

58%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"PGA Tour: Valero Texas Open Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 100+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "William Mouw" at 25%, followed by "Ryo Hisatsune" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 25¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "PGA Tour: Valero Texas Open Winner" has generated $58.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 30, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "PGA Tour: Valero Texas Open Winner," browse the 100+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "PGA Tour: Valero Texas Open Winner" is "William Mouw" at 25%, meaning the market assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ryo Hisatsune" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "PGA Tour: Valero Texas Open Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.