Denny McCarthy leads trader consensus at 25.4% implied probability for the Valero Texas Open winner, buoyed by his elite putting prowess—one of the PGA Tour's best in strokes gained: putting—and recent ball-striking uptick entering this pre-Masters tune-up at TPC San Antonio's Oaks Course. Pierceson Coody (19.1%) gains edge from Texas roots and solid approach play, while Emiliano Grillo (16.3%), Lucas Glover (15.9%), and Mark Hubbard (15.5%) cluster tightly behind on consistent irons and course history, reflecting no dominant force in a demanding layout favoring precision over power amid windy conditions. Big names like Ludvig Aberg and Tommy Fleetwood trail below 5% due to streaky tee-to-green form, underscoring upset potential and keeping the race competitive across rounds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedLudvig Aberg 4.9%
Tommy Fleetwood 4.8%
Russell Henley 4.5%
Si Woo Kim 4.5%
$48,724 Vol.
$48,724 Vol.
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Tommy Fleetwood
5%
Russell Henley
5%
Si Woo Kim
4%
Jordan Spieth
4%
Robert MacIntyre
4%
Hideki Matsuyama
4%
Maverick McNealy
3%
Rickie Fowler
3%
Denny McCarthy
24%
Keith Mitchell
2%
Johnny Keefer
2%
Alexander Noren
2%
Ryo Hisatsune
2%
Nicolai Hojgaard
2%
Thorbjorn Olesen
2%
Mac Meissner
2%
JT Poston
2%
Ricky Castillo
1%
Marco Penge
1%
Tony Finau
1%
Alex Smalley
1%
Brian Harman
1%
J.J. Spaun
1%
Rico Hoey
1%
Charley Hoffman
1%
Austin Smotherman
1%
Andrew Novak
1%
Nick Dunlap
13%
Stephan Jaeger
1%
Beau Hossler
1%
Patrick Rodgers
1%
Lucas Glover
16%
Emiliano Grillo
16%
Mark Hubbard
16%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
1%
Lee Hodges
1%
Jordan L. Smith
1%
Ryan Gerard
1%
Max Homa
1%
Zach Bauchou
1%
Ze-Cheng Dou
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Mackenzie Hughes
1%
Seamus Power
1%
Daniel Berger
1%
Tom Kim
1%
Kristoffer Reitan
1%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
1%
Chris Kirk
1%
Max McGreevy
1%
Hao-Tong Li
1%
Takumi Kanaya
1%
Seong-Hyeon Kim
1%
Billy Horschel
1%
Matt McCarty
1%
Henry Lebioda
1%
Chandler Blanchet
1%
Marcelo Rozo
1%
Webb Simpson
1%
Daniel Brown
1%
Austin Eckroat
1%
A.J. Ewart
1%
Chad Ramey
1%
Adrien Saddier
1%
Eric Cole
1%
Pierceson Coody
1%
Jeffrey Kang
1%
Michael Kim
1%
William Mouw
1%
John Parry
1%
Andrew Putnam
1%
David Ford
<1%
Kevin Roy
<1%
Patrick Fishburn
<1%
Tom Hoge
<1%
Doug Ghim
<1%
Matthias Schmid
<1%
Brandt Snedeker
<1%
Steven Fisk
<1%
Pontus Nyholm
<1%
Gordon Sargent
<1%
Garrick Higgo
<1%
Luke Clanton
<1%
Matthieu Pavon
<1%
Peter Malnati
<1%
Rafael Campos
<1%
Adam Schenk
<1%
Chandler Phillips
<1%
Neal Shipley
<1%
Davis Chatfield
<1%
Brice Garnett
<1%
Christo Lamprecht
<1%
Kyoung-Hoon Lee
<1%
David Lipsky
<1%
Isaiah Salinda
<1%
Patton Kizzire
<1%
Joe Highsmith
<1%
Kensei Hirata
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
Ludvig Aberg 4.9%
Tommy Fleetwood 4.8%
Russell Henley 4.5%
Si Woo Kim 4.5%
$48,724 Vol.
$48,724 Vol.
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Tommy Fleetwood
5%
Russell Henley
5%
Si Woo Kim
4%
Jordan Spieth
4%
Robert MacIntyre
4%
Hideki Matsuyama
4%
Maverick McNealy
3%
Rickie Fowler
3%
Denny McCarthy
24%
Keith Mitchell
2%
Johnny Keefer
2%
Alexander Noren
2%
Ryo Hisatsune
2%
Nicolai Hojgaard
2%
Thorbjorn Olesen
2%
Mac Meissner
2%
JT Poston
2%
Ricky Castillo
1%
Marco Penge
1%
Tony Finau
1%
Alex Smalley
1%
Brian Harman
1%
J.J. Spaun
1%
Rico Hoey
1%
Charley Hoffman
1%
Austin Smotherman
1%
Andrew Novak
1%
Nick Dunlap
13%
Stephan Jaeger
1%
Beau Hossler
1%
Patrick Rodgers
1%
Lucas Glover
16%
Emiliano Grillo
16%
Mark Hubbard
16%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
1%
Lee Hodges
1%
Jordan L. Smith
1%
Ryan Gerard
1%
Max Homa
1%
Zach Bauchou
1%
Ze-Cheng Dou
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Mackenzie Hughes
1%
Seamus Power
1%
Daniel Berger
1%
Tom Kim
1%
Kristoffer Reitan
1%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
1%
Chris Kirk
1%
Max McGreevy
1%
Hao-Tong Li
1%
Takumi Kanaya
1%
Seong-Hyeon Kim
1%
Billy Horschel
1%
Matt McCarty
1%
Henry Lebioda
1%
Chandler Blanchet
1%
Marcelo Rozo
1%
Webb Simpson
1%
Daniel Brown
1%
Austin Eckroat
1%
A.J. Ewart
1%
Chad Ramey
1%
Adrien Saddier
1%
Eric Cole
1%
Pierceson Coody
1%
Jeffrey Kang
1%
Michael Kim
1%
William Mouw
1%
John Parry
1%
Andrew Putnam
1%
David Ford
<1%
Kevin Roy
<1%
Patrick Fishburn
<1%
Tom Hoge
<1%
Doug Ghim
<1%
Matthias Schmid
<1%
Brandt Snedeker
<1%
Steven Fisk
<1%
Pontus Nyholm
<1%
Gordon Sargent
<1%
Garrick Higgo
<1%
Luke Clanton
<1%
Matthieu Pavon
<1%
Peter Malnati
<1%
Rafael Campos
<1%
Adam Schenk
<1%
Chandler Phillips
<1%
Neal Shipley
<1%
Davis Chatfield
<1%
Brice Garnett
<1%
Christo Lamprecht
<1%
Kyoung-Hoon Lee
<1%
David Lipsky
<1%
Isaiah Salinda
<1%
Patton Kizzire
<1%
Joe Highsmith
<1%
Kensei Hirata
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valero Texas Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Valero Texas Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by April 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Market Opened: Mar 30, 2026, 12:05 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valero Texas Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Valero Texas Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by April 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Denny McCarthy leads trader consensus at 25.4% implied probability for the Valero Texas Open winner, buoyed by his elite putting prowess—one of the PGA Tour's best in strokes gained: putting—and recent ball-striking uptick entering this pre-Masters tune-up at TPC San Antonio's Oaks Course. Pierceson Coody (19.1%) gains edge from Texas roots and solid approach play, while Emiliano Grillo (16.3%), Lucas Glover (15.9%), and Mark Hubbard (15.5%) cluster tightly behind on consistent irons and course history, reflecting no dominant force in a demanding layout favoring precision over power amid windy conditions. Big names like Ludvig Aberg and Tommy Fleetwood trail below 5% due to streaky tee-to-green form, underscoring upset potential and keeping the race competitive across rounds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions