Robert MacIntyre's commanding four-shot lead at 14-under after a sizzling 8-under 64 in Round 2 at TPC San Antonio's Oaks Course has solidified trader consensus at 54.8% implied probability for the Valero Texas Open winner, reflecting his birdie barrage and poise as the third straight lefty eyeing victory here ahead of the Masters. Ludvig Åberg trails at 10-under, while a quintet including Tony Finau, Bud Cauley, Kevin Roy, and Thorbjørn Olesen lurk five back at nine-under, fueling their mid-teens pricing like Åberg's 14.0% amid strong 67s. Henry Lebioda's 16.4% and Daniel Brown's 16.3% stem from recent momentum with sub-70 rounds, despite further back, as Round 2 suspensions heighten weekend volatility on this demanding track with wind-exposed par-5s favoring power and precision.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedRobert MacIntyre 54.7%
Michael Kim 25.3%
Ludvig Aberg 13.8%
Tony Finau 3.9%
$288,124 Vol.
$288,124 Vol.
Robert MacIntyre
55%
Michael Kim
25%
Ludvig Aberg
14%
Tony Finau
4%
Tommy Fleetwood
4%
Bud Cauley
3%
Thorbjorn Olesen
3%
Kevin Roy
3%
Ryo Hisatsune
2%
Jordan L. Smith
2%
Alex Smalley
2%
Maverick McNealy
1%
J.J. Spaun
1%
Zach Bauchou
11%
Max McGreevy
1%
Hideki Matsuyama
1%
Andrew Putnam
1%
David Ford
1%
Tom Kim
1%
Hao-Tong Li
1%
Brandt Snedeker
1%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
1%
Emiliano Grillo
1%
Tom Hoge
1%
Beau Hossler
1%
Mark Hubbard
1%
Takumi Kanaya
1%
Jeffrey Kang
1%
Kensei Hirata
1%
Mackenzie Hughes
1%
Doug Ghim
1%
Marco Penge
1%
Steven Fisk
1%
Andrew Novak
1%
Si Woo Kim
1%
Alexander Noren
1%
Denny McCarthy
1%
John Parry
1%
Austin Eckroat
<1%
Austin Smotherman
<1%
Eric Cole
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Russell Henley
<1%
Matt McCarty
<1%
Max Homa
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Mac Meissner
<1%
Seong-Hyeon Kim
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
Rico Hoey
<1%
Stephan Jaeger
<1%
Pontus Nyholm
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
A.J. Ewart
<1%
Marcelo Rozo
<1%
Adam Schenk
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Lee Hodges
<1%
Charley Hoffman
<1%
Chris Kirk
<1%
Luke Clanton
<1%
Joe Highsmith
<1%
Chandler Phillips
<1%
Neal Shipley
<1%
Davis Chatfield
<1%
Christo Lamprecht
<1%
Peter Malnati
<1%
Chad Ramey
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Chandler Blanchet
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Rafael Campos
<1%
Nick Dunlap
<1%
Patrick Rodgers
<1%
Adrien Saddier
<1%
Isaiah Salinda
<1%
Gordon Sargent
<1%
Matthias Schmid
<1%
Pierceson Coody
<1%
Ze-Cheng Dou
<1%
Patrick Fishburn
<1%
Garrick Higgo
<1%
Patton Kizzire
<1%
Johnny Keefer
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
William Mouw
<1%
Matthieu Pavon
<1%
JT Poston
<1%
Seamus Power
<1%
Rickie Fowler
<1%
Brice Garnett
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Henry Lebioda
<1%
Kyoung-Hoon Lee
<1%
Robert MacIntyre 54.7%
Michael Kim 25.3%
Ludvig Aberg 13.8%
Tony Finau 3.9%
$288,124 Vol.
$288,124 Vol.
Robert MacIntyre
55%
Michael Kim
25%
Ludvig Aberg
14%
Tony Finau
4%
Tommy Fleetwood
4%
Bud Cauley
3%
Thorbjorn Olesen
3%
Kevin Roy
3%
Ryo Hisatsune
2%
Jordan L. Smith
2%
Alex Smalley
2%
Maverick McNealy
1%
J.J. Spaun
1%
Zach Bauchou
11%
Max McGreevy
1%
Hideki Matsuyama
1%
Andrew Putnam
1%
David Ford
1%
Tom Kim
1%
Hao-Tong Li
1%
Brandt Snedeker
1%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
1%
Emiliano Grillo
1%
Tom Hoge
1%
Beau Hossler
1%
Mark Hubbard
1%
Takumi Kanaya
1%
Jeffrey Kang
1%
Kensei Hirata
1%
Mackenzie Hughes
1%
Doug Ghim
1%
Marco Penge
1%
Steven Fisk
1%
Andrew Novak
1%
Si Woo Kim
1%
Alexander Noren
1%
Denny McCarthy
1%
John Parry
1%
Austin Eckroat
<1%
Austin Smotherman
<1%
Eric Cole
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Russell Henley
<1%
Matt McCarty
<1%
Max Homa
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Mac Meissner
<1%
Seong-Hyeon Kim
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
Rico Hoey
<1%
Stephan Jaeger
<1%
Pontus Nyholm
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
A.J. Ewart
<1%
Marcelo Rozo
<1%
Adam Schenk
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Lee Hodges
<1%
Charley Hoffman
<1%
Chris Kirk
<1%
Luke Clanton
<1%
Joe Highsmith
<1%
Chandler Phillips
<1%
Neal Shipley
<1%
Davis Chatfield
<1%
Christo Lamprecht
<1%
Peter Malnati
<1%
Chad Ramey
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Chandler Blanchet
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Rafael Campos
<1%
Nick Dunlap
<1%
Patrick Rodgers
<1%
Adrien Saddier
<1%
Isaiah Salinda
<1%
Gordon Sargent
<1%
Matthias Schmid
<1%
Pierceson Coody
<1%
Ze-Cheng Dou
<1%
Patrick Fishburn
<1%
Garrick Higgo
<1%
Patton Kizzire
<1%
Johnny Keefer
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
William Mouw
<1%
Matthieu Pavon
<1%
JT Poston
<1%
Seamus Power
<1%
Rickie Fowler
<1%
Brice Garnett
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Henry Lebioda
<1%
Kyoung-Hoon Lee
<1%
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valero Texas Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Valero Texas Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by April 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Market Opened: Mar 30, 2026, 12:05 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valero Texas Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Valero Texas Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by April 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Robert MacIntyre's commanding four-shot lead at 14-under after a sizzling 8-under 64 in Round 2 at TPC San Antonio's Oaks Course has solidified trader consensus at 54.8% implied probability for the Valero Texas Open winner, reflecting his birdie barrage and poise as the third straight lefty eyeing victory here ahead of the Masters. Ludvig Åberg trails at 10-under, while a quintet including Tony Finau, Bud Cauley, Kevin Roy, and Thorbjørn Olesen lurk five back at nine-under, fueling their mid-teens pricing like Åberg's 14.0% amid strong 67s. Henry Lebioda's 16.4% and Daniel Brown's 16.3% stem from recent momentum with sub-70 rounds, despite further back, as Round 2 suspensions heighten weekend volatility on this demanding track with wind-exposed par-5s favoring power and precision.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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