Robert MacIntyre's blistering second-round 64—the low score of the week—propelled him to a commanding four-shot lead at 14-under par after 36 holes at TPC San Antonio's Oaks Course, setting a course record and fueling trader consensus at 54% implied probability to claim the Valero Texas Open title. His bogey-free back-nine birdie run, aided by a new driver boosting distance control, has separated him from Ludvig Åberg, steady in second at 10-under after a 67 (14.4%). The T3 group at nine-under, featuring past winner Tony Finau, surging Bud Cauley (12.2%), and Thorbjørn Olesen, keeps pressure on amid firm, windy conditions favoring precise iron play. Mid-pack traders like JT Poston (22%) and Kensei Hirata (20.5%) reflect bets on hot streaks and scrambling prowess for weekend charges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedRobert MacIntyre 54.0%
Ludvig Aberg 14.4%
Tony Finau 4.5%
Alex Smalley 4.1%
$292,563 Vol.
$292,563 Vol.
Robert MacIntyre
54%
Ludvig Aberg
14%
Tony Finau
5%
Alex Smalley
4%
Tommy Fleetwood
4%
John Parry
4%
Marco Penge
4%
Bud Cauley
12%
Ryo Hisatsune
3%
Kevin Roy
3%
Thorbjorn Olesen
3%
Pontus Nyholm
3%
Adam Schenk
3%
Peter Malnati
3%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
2%
Mark Hubbard
2%
Jordan L. Smith
2%
Mac Meissner
2%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Joe Highsmith
1%
Alexander Noren
8%
J.J. Spaun
8%
Andrew Putnam
1%
Chad Ramey
1%
A.J. Ewart
1%
David Ford
1%
Kristoffer Reitan
12%
Brandt Snedeker
1%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
1%
Jeffrey Kang
1%
Max McGreevy
1%
Zach Bauchou
1%
Hideki Matsuyama
1%
Si Woo Kim
1%
Michael Kim
1%
Austin Smotherman
1%
Steven Fisk
1%
Billy Horschel
11%
Denny McCarthy
1%
Andrew Novak
9%
Eric Cole
8%
Brian Harman
<1%
Stephan Jaeger
10%
Russell Henley
<1%
Matt McCarty
<1%
Austin Eckroat
9%
Seong-Hyeon Kim
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Doug Ghim
<1%
Max Homa
11%
Christo Lamprecht
11%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Marcelo Rozo
<1%
Gordon Sargent
<1%
Emiliano Grillo
<1%
Rico Hoey
10%
Charley Hoffman
<1%
Beau Hossler
<1%
Chris Kirk
10%
Luke Clanton
<1%
Mackenzie Hughes
<1%
Chandler Phillips
<1%
Neal Shipley
<1%
Davis Chatfield
<1%
Chandler Blanchet
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Rafael Campos
<1%
Nick Dunlap
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Hao-Tong Li
<1%
Patrick Rodgers
<1%
Adrien Saddier
<1%
Ze-Cheng Dou
<1%
Patrick Fishburn
<1%
Garrick Higgo
<1%
Lee Hodges
<1%
Tom Hoge
<1%
Takumi Kanaya
<1%
Patton Kizzire
<1%
Kensei Hirata
<1%
Johnny Keefer
<1%
William Mouw
<1%
Matthieu Pavon
<1%
JT Poston
<1%
Seamus Power
<1%
Rickie Fowler
<1%
Brice Garnett
<1%
Henry Lebioda
<1%
Kyoung-Hoon Lee
<1%
Robert MacIntyre 54.0%
Ludvig Aberg 14.4%
Tony Finau 4.5%
Alex Smalley 4.1%
$292,563 Vol.
$292,563 Vol.
Robert MacIntyre
54%
Ludvig Aberg
14%
Tony Finau
5%
Alex Smalley
4%
Tommy Fleetwood
4%
John Parry
4%
Marco Penge
4%
Bud Cauley
12%
Ryo Hisatsune
3%
Kevin Roy
3%
Thorbjorn Olesen
3%
Pontus Nyholm
3%
Adam Schenk
3%
Peter Malnati
3%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
2%
Mark Hubbard
2%
Jordan L. Smith
2%
Mac Meissner
2%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Joe Highsmith
1%
Alexander Noren
8%
J.J. Spaun
8%
Andrew Putnam
1%
Chad Ramey
1%
A.J. Ewart
1%
David Ford
1%
Kristoffer Reitan
12%
Brandt Snedeker
1%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
1%
Jeffrey Kang
1%
Max McGreevy
1%
Zach Bauchou
1%
Hideki Matsuyama
1%
Si Woo Kim
1%
Michael Kim
1%
Austin Smotherman
1%
Steven Fisk
1%
Billy Horschel
11%
Denny McCarthy
1%
Andrew Novak
9%
Eric Cole
8%
Brian Harman
<1%
Stephan Jaeger
10%
Russell Henley
<1%
Matt McCarty
<1%
Austin Eckroat
9%
Seong-Hyeon Kim
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Doug Ghim
<1%
Max Homa
11%
Christo Lamprecht
11%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Marcelo Rozo
<1%
Gordon Sargent
<1%
Emiliano Grillo
<1%
Rico Hoey
10%
Charley Hoffman
<1%
Beau Hossler
<1%
Chris Kirk
10%
Luke Clanton
<1%
Mackenzie Hughes
<1%
Chandler Phillips
<1%
Neal Shipley
<1%
Davis Chatfield
<1%
Chandler Blanchet
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Rafael Campos
<1%
Nick Dunlap
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Hao-Tong Li
<1%
Patrick Rodgers
<1%
Adrien Saddier
<1%
Ze-Cheng Dou
<1%
Patrick Fishburn
<1%
Garrick Higgo
<1%
Lee Hodges
<1%
Tom Hoge
<1%
Takumi Kanaya
<1%
Patton Kizzire
<1%
Kensei Hirata
<1%
Johnny Keefer
<1%
William Mouw
<1%
Matthieu Pavon
<1%
JT Poston
<1%
Seamus Power
<1%
Rickie Fowler
<1%
Brice Garnett
<1%
Henry Lebioda
<1%
Kyoung-Hoon Lee
<1%
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valero Texas Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Valero Texas Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by April 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Market Opened: Mar 30, 2026, 12:05 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valero Texas Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Valero Texas Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by April 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Robert MacIntyre's blistering second-round 64—the low score of the week—propelled him to a commanding four-shot lead at 14-under par after 36 holes at TPC San Antonio's Oaks Course, setting a course record and fueling trader consensus at 54% implied probability to claim the Valero Texas Open title. His bogey-free back-nine birdie run, aided by a new driver boosting distance control, has separated him from Ludvig Åberg, steady in second at 10-under after a 67 (14.4%). The T3 group at nine-under, featuring past winner Tony Finau, surging Bud Cauley (12.2%), and Thorbjørn Olesen, keeps pressure on amid firm, windy conditions favoring precise iron play. Mid-pack traders like JT Poston (22%) and Kensei Hirata (20.5%) reflect bets on hot streaks and scrambling prowess for weekend charges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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