Market icon
Sports·Golf

PGA Tour: Valero Texas Open Winner

Market icon
Sports·Golf

PGA Tour: Valero Texas Open Winner

Robert MacIntyre 13.2%

Ludvig Aberg 9.6%

Tommy Fleetwood 8.2%

Michael Kim 6.1%

Polymarket

$244,457 Vol.

Robert MacIntyre 13.2%

Ludvig Aberg 9.6%

Tommy Fleetwood 8.2%

Michael Kim 6.1%

Polymarket

$244,457 Vol.

Robert MacIntyre

$639 Vol.

13%

Ludvig Aberg

$8,066 Vol.

10%

Tommy Fleetwood

$2,243 Vol.

8%

Michael Kim

$1,355 Vol.

6%

Maverick McNealy

$1,048 Vol.

4%

J.J. Spaun

$240 Vol.

4%

Jordan L. Smith

$1,272 Vol.

3%

Steven Fisk

$10 Vol.

3%

Tony Finau

$927 Vol.

3%

Denny McCarthy

$34,933 Vol.

2%

Ryo Hisatsune

$1,320 Vol.

2%

Alex Smalley

$5 Vol.

2%

Marco Penge

$750 Vol.

2%

Andrew Putnam

$10 Vol.

2%

Kevin Roy

$10 Vol.

2%

Jordan Spieth

$2,724 Vol.

2%

Eric Cole

$230 Vol.

2%

Nicolai Hojgaard

$2,509 Vol.

2%

Austin Smotherman

$1,454 Vol.

2%

Hideki Matsuyama

$899 Vol.

1%

John Parry

$15 Vol.

1%

Johnny Keefer

$35,255 Vol.

1%

Keith Mitchell

$7,452 Vol.

1%

Zach Bauchou

$110 Vol.

25%

Daniel Brown

$25 Vol.

1%

A.J. Ewart

$40 Vol.

1%

Max McGreevy

$50 Vol.

25%

JT Poston

$13 Vol.

25%

Henry Lebioda

$25 Vol.

21%

David Lipsky

$1,666 Vol.

1%

Andrew Novak

$360 Vol.

1%

Thorbjorn Olesen

$13,843 Vol.

1%

Rickie Fowler

$224 Vol.

1%

Si Woo Kim

$46,059 Vol.

1%

Max Homa

$410 Vol.

1%

Austin Eckroat

$10 Vol.

1%

Russell Henley

$5,195 Vol.

1%

Garrick Higgo

$10 Vol.

1%

Jeffrey Kang

$10 Vol.

1%

Hao-Tong Li

$28 Vol.

1%

Adrien Dumont De Chassart

$35 Vol.

1%

Mark Hubbard

$182 Vol.

1%

Bud Cauley

$10 Vol.

1%

Mackenzie Hughes

$15 Vol.

1%

Alexander Noren

$218 Vol.

1%

Pontus Nyholm

$148 Vol.

1%

Chris Kirk

$1,063 Vol.

1%

Christo Lamprecht

$10 Vol.

1%

Kristoffer Reitan

$10 Vol.

1%

Rico Hoey

$5 Vol.

1%

Adam Schenk

$10 Vol.

1%

Brian Harman

$1,310 Vol.

1%

Doug Ghim

$10 Vol.

1%

Christiaan Bezuidenhout

$77 Vol.

<1%

Nick Dunlap

$40 Vol.

<1%

Tom Kim

$320 Vol.

<1%

Beau Hossler

$40 Vol.

<1%

Stephan Jaeger

$405 Vol.

<1%

Takumi Kanaya

$35 Vol.

<1%

Billy Horschel

$172 Vol.

<1%

Mac Meissner

$55 Vol.

<1%

Peter Malnati

$10 Vol.

<1%

Chandler Blanchet

$215 Vol.

<1%

Chad Ramey

$10 Vol.

<1%

Adrien Saddier

$10 Vol.

<1%

Brandt Snedeker

$10 Vol.

<1%

Ze-Cheng Dou

$10 Vol.

<1%

Patrick Fishburn

$135 Vol.

<1%

Emiliano Grillo

$25 Vol.

<1%

Lee Hodges

$40 Vol.

<1%

Charley Hoffman

$559 Vol.

<1%

Tom Hoge

$208 Vol.

<1%

Seong-Hyeon Kim

$1,275 Vol.

<1%

Patton Kizzire

$167 Vol.

<1%

Joe Highsmith

$167 Vol.

<1%

Kensei Hirata

$185 Vol.

<1%

William Mouw

$1,498 Vol.

<1%

Matthieu Pavon

$148 Vol.

<1%

Seamus Power

$10 Vol.

<1%

Ricky Castillo

$1,774 Vol.

<1%

David Ford

$66 Vol.

<1%

Rafael Campos

$1,008 Vol.

<1%

Marcelo Rozo

$862 Vol.

<1%

Webb Simpson

$1,942 Vol.

<1%

Lucas Glover

$1,098 Vol.

<1%

Luke Clanton

$1,106 Vol.

<1%

Matt McCarty

$35 Vol.

25%

Chandler Phillips

$1,010 Vol.

<1%

Davis Chatfield

$1,231 Vol.

<1%

Brice Garnett

$1,037 Vol.

<1%

Gordon Sargent

$645 Vol.

<1%

Neal Shipley

$1,227 Vol.

<1%

Daniel Berger

$1,768 Vol.

<1%

Patrick Rodgers

$2,567 Vol.

<1%

Isaiah Salinda

$1,252 Vol.

<1%

Matthias Schmid

$1,967 Vol.

<1%

Pierceson Coody

$2,504 Vol.

<1%

Collin Morikawa

$37,075 Vol.

<1%

Ryan Gerard

$2,838 Vol.

<1%

Kyoung-Hoon Lee

$1,150 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Valero Texas Open tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valero Texas Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the Valero Texas Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by April 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).After Round 1 suspension due to darkness at TPC San Antonio's Oaks Course, trader consensus reflects a tightly bunched leaderboard where Zach Bauchou, Matt McCarty, Max McGreevy, JT Poston, Ricky Castillo, A.J. Ewart, David Lipsky, and Daniel Brown share near-identical 25% implied probabilities, stemming from their hot starts with low-60s opening rounds amid calm early conditions that rewarded precise iron play and putting on the demanding, wind-exposed par-72 layout. Henry Lebioda trails closely at 21%, while pre-tournament favorites like Ludvig Aberg (9.6%) and Tommy Fleetwood (8.2%) sit further back after even-par or over efforts, highlighting the volatility of three rounds remaining in this large-field event serving as a final Masters tune-up where course history favors steady ball-strikers over star power.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Valero Texas Open tournament.

If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valero Texas Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".

If an unlisted player wins the Valero Texas Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If no winner is announced by April 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Volume
$244,457
End Date
Apr 5, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 30, 2026, 12:05 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.pgatour.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Valero Texas Open tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valero Texas Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the Valero Texas Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by April 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Valero Texas Open tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valero Texas Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the Valero Texas Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by April 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).After Round 1 suspension due to darkness at TPC San Antonio's Oaks Course, trader consensus reflects a tightly bunched leaderboard where Zach Bauchou, Matt McCarty, Max McGreevy, JT Poston, Ricky Castillo, A.J. Ewart, David Lipsky, and Daniel Brown share near-identical 25% implied probabilities, stemming from their hot starts with low-60s opening rounds amid calm early conditions that rewarded precise iron play and putting on the demanding, wind-exposed par-72 layout. Henry Lebioda trails closely at 21%, while pre-tournament favorites like Ludvig Aberg (9.6%) and Tommy Fleetwood (8.2%) sit further back after even-par or over efforts, highlighting the volatility of three rounds remaining in this large-field event serving as a final Masters tune-up where course history favors steady ball-strikers over star power.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Valero Texas Open tournament.

If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valero Texas Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".

If an unlisted player wins the Valero Texas Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If no winner is announced by April 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Volume
$244,457
End Date
Apr 5, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 30, 2026, 12:05 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.pgatour.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Valero Texas Open tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valero Texas Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the Valero Texas Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by April 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).

Related

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Will Austin Eckroat finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Valero Texas Open?

50%
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Will Lucas Glover finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Valero Texas Open?

51%
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Will Jordan Spieth finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Valero Texas Open?

71%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"PGA Tour: Valero Texas Open Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 100+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Zach Bauchou" at 25%, followed by "Daniel Brown" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 25¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "PGA Tour: Valero Texas Open Winner" has generated $244.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 30, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "PGA Tour: Valero Texas Open Winner," browse the 100+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "PGA Tour: Valero Texas Open Winner" is "Zach Bauchou" at 25%, meaning the market assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Daniel Brown" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "PGA Tour: Valero Texas Open Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.