Market icon

2026 Pro Football Draft: First Overall Pick

Market icon

2026 Pro Football Draft: First Overall Pick

Fernando Mendoza 95%

Arvell Reese <1%

Carson Beck <1%

Dante Moore <1%

Polymarket

$445,502 Vol.

Fernando Mendoza 95%

Arvell Reese <1%

Carson Beck <1%

Dante Moore <1%

Polymarket

$445,502 Vol.

Fernando Mendoza

$22,260 Vol.

95%

Arvell Reese

$227,059 Vol.

1%

Carson Beck

$6,233 Vol.

<1%

Dante Moore

$19,879 Vol.

<1%

Rueben Bain Jr

$41,288 Vol.

<1%

Francis Mauigoa

$19,694 Vol.

<1%

Jordyn Tyson

$8,786 Vol.

<1%

Ty Simpson

$7,277 Vol.

<1%

Spencer Fano

$11,756 Vol.

<1%

David Bailey

$6,402 Vol.

<1%

Caleb Downs

$6,761 Vol.

<1%

Cade Klubnik

$9,447 Vol.

<1%

Jayden Maiava

$0 Vol.

<1%

Aidan Chiles

$8,020 Vol.

<1%

LaNorris Sellers

$0 Vol.

<1%

Arch Manning

$18,505 Vol.

<1%

T.J. Parker

$8,587 Vol.

<1%

Drew Allar

$8,584 Vol.

<1%

Taylen Green

$8,579 Vol.

<1%

Garrett Nussmeier

$6,385 Vol.

<1%

Matayo Uiagalelei

$0 Vol.

<1%

Kyron Drones

$0 Vol.

<1%

Jalon Daniels

$0 Vol.

<1%

Caleb Lomu

$0 Vol.

<1%

Miller Moss

$0 Vol.

<1%

Nico Iamaleava

$0 Vol.

<1%

Sam Leavitt

$0 Vol.

<1%

Peter Woods

$0 Vol.

<1%

Sawyer Robertson

$0 Vol.

<1%

Raylen Wilson

$0 Vol.

<1%

Conner Weigman

$0 Vol.

<1%

Cashius Howell

$0 Vol.

<1%

Keldric Faulk

$0 Vol.

<1%

Kadyn Proctor

$0 Vol.

<1%

John Mateer

$0 Vol.

<1%

LT Overton

$0 Vol.

<1%

This is a polymarket to predict which player is drafted #1 overall in the 2026 NFL Draft.

If the listed player is drafted first overall in the 2026 NFL Draft, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or not completed by July 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$445,502
End Date
Apr 25, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2025, 4:21 PM ET
This is a polymarket to predict which player is drafted #1 overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the listed player is drafted first overall in the 2026 NFL Draft, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or not completed by July 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Pro Football Draft: First Overall Pick" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 36 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Fernando Mendoza" at 95%, followed by "Arvell Reese" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Pro Football Draft: First Overall Pick" has generated $445.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Pro Football Draft: First Overall Pick," browse the 36 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Pro Football Draft: First Overall Pick" is "Fernando Mendoza" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Arvell Reese" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Pro Football Draft: First Overall Pick" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.