Colorado Avalanche lead trader consensus at 20.6% implied probability for the 2026 Stanley Cup, buoyed by their elite young core of Nathan MacKinnon, Cale Makar, and Mikko Rantanen, who powered a strong regular season before a second-round playoff exit last spring. Tampa Bay Lightning follow closely at 14.4% despite losing Steven Stamkos to Nashville in July free agency, with Nikita Kucherov and Andrei Vasilevskiy's extension anchoring optimism. Carolina Hurricanes (11.5%) and Dallas Stars (8.6%) reflect defensive prowess and Jake Oettinger's goaltending stability post-Western Conference Final run. Buffalo Sabres' 5.9% underscores rising youth like Tage Thompson and Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen amid the league's salary cap parity, recent drafts, and offseason roster tweaks keeping the futures market tightly contested among multiple contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedColorado Avalanche 21.3%
Tampa Bay Lightning 14.6%
Carolina Hurricanes 12%
Dallas Stars 8.8%
$57,275,437 Vol.
$57,275,437 Vol.
Colorado Avalanche
21%
Tampa Bay Lightning
15%
Carolina Hurricanes
12%
Dallas Stars
9%
Buffalo Sabres
7%
Vegas Golden Knights
5%
Minnesota Wild
5%
Edmonton Oilers
5%
Ottawa Senators
4%
Montreal Canadiens
4%
Anaheim Ducks
3%
Columbus Blue Jackets
3%
Utah Mammoth
3%
Pittsburgh Penguins
2%
Boston Bruins
1%
New York Islanders
1%
Los Angeles Kings
1%
Detroit Red Wings
1%
San Jose Sharks
<1%
Seattle Kraken
<1%
Nashville Predators
<1%
Florida Panthers
<1%
Washington Capitals
<1%
Winnipeg Jets
<1%
Philadelphia Flyers
<1%
Calgary Flames
<1%
New Jersey Devils
<1%
Toronto Maple Leafs
<1%
Chicago Blackhawks
<1%
St. Louis Blues
<1%
Colorado Avalanche 21.3%
Tampa Bay Lightning 14.6%
Carolina Hurricanes 12%
Dallas Stars 8.8%
$57,275,437 Vol.
$57,275,437 Vol.
Colorado Avalanche
21%
Tampa Bay Lightning
15%
Carolina Hurricanes
12%
Dallas Stars
9%
Buffalo Sabres
7%
Vegas Golden Knights
5%
Minnesota Wild
5%
Edmonton Oilers
5%
Ottawa Senators
4%
Montreal Canadiens
4%
Anaheim Ducks
3%
Columbus Blue Jackets
3%
Utah Mammoth
3%
Pittsburgh Penguins
2%
Boston Bruins
1%
New York Islanders
1%
Los Angeles Kings
1%
Detroit Red Wings
1%
San Jose Sharks
<1%
Seattle Kraken
<1%
Nashville Predators
<1%
Florida Panthers
<1%
Washington Capitals
<1%
Winnipeg Jets
<1%
Philadelphia Flyers
<1%
Calgary Flames
<1%
New Jersey Devils
<1%
Toronto Maple Leafs
<1%
Chicago Blackhawks
<1%
St. Louis Blues
<1%
This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup based off the rules of the NHL.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NHL.
Market Opened: Jun 23, 2025, 11:35 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup based off the rules of the NHL.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NHL.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Colorado Avalanche lead trader consensus at 20.6% implied probability for the 2026 Stanley Cup, buoyed by their elite young core of Nathan MacKinnon, Cale Makar, and Mikko Rantanen, who powered a strong regular season before a second-round playoff exit last spring. Tampa Bay Lightning follow closely at 14.4% despite losing Steven Stamkos to Nashville in July free agency, with Nikita Kucherov and Andrei Vasilevskiy's extension anchoring optimism. Carolina Hurricanes (11.5%) and Dallas Stars (8.6%) reflect defensive prowess and Jake Oettinger's goaltending stability post-Western Conference Final run. Buffalo Sabres' 5.9% underscores rising youth like Tage Thompson and Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen amid the league's salary cap parity, recent drafts, and offseason roster tweaks keeping the futures market tightly contested among multiple contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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