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Sports·ATP

2026 Men's French Open Winner

Market icon
Sports·ATP

2026 Men's French Open Winner

Carlos Alcaraz 40%

Jannik Sinner 34%

Alexander Zverev 4.3%

Novak Djokovic 3.5%

Polymarket

$1,613,812 Vol.

Carlos Alcaraz 40%

Jannik Sinner 34%

Alexander Zverev 4.3%

Novak Djokovic 3.5%

Polymarket

$1,613,812 Vol.

Carlos Alcaraz

$30,783 Vol.

40%

Jannik Sinner

$111,303 Vol.

34%

Alexander Zverev

$191,424 Vol.

4%

Novak Djokovic

$96,229 Vol.

3%

Arthur Fils

$52,853 Vol.

2%

Casper Ruud

$15,341 Vol.

2%

Lorenzo Musetti

$219,985 Vol.

1%

Jack Draper

$45,765 Vol.

1%

Joao Fonseca

$83,493 Vol.

1%

Andrey Rublev

$61,798 Vol.

1%

Cameron Norrie

$28,701 Vol.

1%

Daniil Medvedev

$91,271 Vol.

1%

Taylor Fritz

$11,722 Vol.

1%

Tommy Paul

$10,737 Vol.

1%

Ben Shelton

$57,288 Vol.

1%

Alex De Minaur

$11,949 Vol.

1%

Jiri Lehecka

$31,905 Vol.

1%

Jakub Mensik

$11,731 Vol.

1%

Francisco Cerundolo

$12,375 Vol.

1%

Tomas Machac

$11,652 Vol.

1%

Learner Tien

$61,052 Vol.

1%

Stefanos Tsitsipas

$27,708 Vol.

1%

Sebastian Korda

$14,684 Vol.

1%

Felix Auger Aliassime

$11,842 Vol.

1%

Denis Shapovalov

$27,151 Vol.

<1%

Flavio Cobolli

$24,294 Vol.

<1%

Alexander Bublik

$12,109 Vol.

<1%

Alejandro Tabilo

$13,401 Vol.

<1%

Hubert Hurkacz

$10,729 Vol.

<1%

Alexei Popyrin

$17,146 Vol.

<1%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

$42,584 Vol.

<1%

Karen Khachanov

$10,037 Vol.

<1%

Grigor Dimitrov

$34,690 Vol.

<1%

Marin Cilic

$9,903 Vol.

<1%

Alex Michelsen

$11,772 Vol.

<1%

Jan-Lennard Struff

$16,972 Vol.

<1%

Ugo Humbert

$35,910 Vol.

<1%

Reilly Opelka

$9,135 Vol.

<1%

Matteo Berrettini

$10,980 Vol.

<1%

Frances Tiafoe

$23,409 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Carlos Alcaraz holds a slim edge as world No. 1 and two-time defending French Open champion, bolstered by his Australian Open title and 17-2 record to start 2026, including a strong serving game translating to clay. Jannik Sinner's straight-sets Miami Masters 1000 victory over Jiri Lehecka on Sunday—his second straight hard-court crown after Indian Wells—has propelled his probability to 34.5%, narrowing the gap amid both players' unbeaten streaks entering the clay swing with Houston and Monte Carlo looming. The tight contest reflects trader consensus on their peak form, clay-surface uncertainty for Sinner despite improvements, and depth from Zverev's baseline prowess and Djokovic's experience, with no major injuries disrupting the top seeds.

The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,613,812
End Date
Jun 7, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Carlos Alcaraz holds a slim edge as world No. 1 and two-time defending French Open champion, bolstered by his Australian Open title and 17-2 record to start 2026, including a strong serving game translating to clay. Jannik Sinner's straight-sets Miami Masters 1000 victory over Jiri Lehecka on Sunday—his second straight hard-court crown after Indian Wells—has propelled his probability to 34.5%, narrowing the gap amid both players' unbeaten streaks entering the clay swing with Houston and Monte Carlo looming. The tight contest reflects trader consensus on their peak form, clay-surface uncertainty for Sinner despite improvements, and depth from Zverev's baseline prowess and Djokovic's experience, with no major injuries disrupting the top seeds.

The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,613,812
End Date
Jun 7, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Men's French Open Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 40+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Carlos Alcaraz" at 40%, followed by "Jannik Sinner" at 34%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 40¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Men's French Open Winner" has generated $1.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Men's French Open Winner," browse the 40+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Men's French Open Winner" is "Carlos Alcaraz" at 40%, meaning the market assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jannik Sinner" at 34%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Men's French Open Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.